All Forums | NFL Betting

Rare POY brewing in the Forecast for Week 9

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 65495
Posts: 409
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2006
Posts: 624
Posted: #201
I'm "ON" the play... loving it!!!
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 6378
Posted: #202
Quote Originally Posted by RJSizzle:



You are just an average capper.

It doesnt matter what you would do.







 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2009
Posts: 51
Posted: #203
Quote Originally Posted by jammac72:

Nice record ,floyd.

Uriss, if any of us gave a flying @#$% about your opinion we'd be reading your thread. For someone who claims to "only be worried about the integrity of this forum", one would think you'd do your best to avoid all this drama.

     I'll take this opportunity to speak for the masses. We come on this forum to see how other cappers( perhaps better cappers) are picking games we'd like to bet. The vast majority of us rarely or never post. If we wanted to listen to know-it-alls and drama queens we'd quit gambling and hang out with our wives. 10+ posts on this thread and not one helpful bit of info. That, my friend, is an attention person.



Excellent post. I'm here to see what smarter capers than I have to say about certain games. I take it all in and then decide how I'm going to bet. Having so many different opinions forms the best decisions for me, and I appreciate everything FF and the like have to say. Tout or no tout. If someone has a strong opinion on a game, I want to read it. Plain and simple.

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2009
Posts: 51
Posted: #204
And to add, I also like Detroit here too. At home and on their turf. The Jets will not be able to stop Megatron. As someone else noted, they will find a way to get Best into the open field. The Jets will be trailing the entire game and will not be able to score enough points to pull it out.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2008
Posts: 3154
Posted: #205
For all the posts about how opportunistic or "lucky" the Lions have been in their recent games the exact same thing can be said for the Jets.  The Jets are a good team, they are not an elite team.  They played extremely well for a three game stretch against the Pats, Dolphins, and Bills.  During this stretch, the Jets went away from their normal offense and opened up the playbook for Sanchez.  As a result I think teams were caught off guard.  Sanchez played brilliant during that stretch with no interceptions. 

It's not just that the Jets played poorly last week.  For those who watch the games and don't just look at the box scores or win/loss records, one could see the tide turning in their game against the Vikings, a game the Jets were somewhat "lucky" for winning or at least covering.  The Vikings dropped at least a couple sure interceptions thrown their way.  If Favre hits Percy Harvin who was wide open with about 40 yards in front of him instead of throwing it over his head, the Jets probably lose that game outright.  Alas, Favre throws a pick six the next play and the Jets are still untouchable world beaters.  Their next game at Denver was an even worse performance by the Jets, a game they were truly outplayed in and did not deserve the win and subsequent cover they received.  Not only did the Broncos drop several potential interceptions thrown directly into their breadbasket (at least one of which was a guaranteed pick six), a botched snap on a short field goal deprived them of 3 easy points.  In addition, the miracle 4th and long throw where the Broncos DB pulls the facemask, setting up the go ahead touchdown, happens maybe 4% of the time.  The Jets were getting every bounce, every break in those two games at critical moments.

Maybe the Jets bounce back this week or maybe the Jets aren't as good as everyone thinks they are.  Maybe the teams in this league have started to adjust to the dynamic things they were doing on offense weeks 2-4.  Maybe the Jets make the proper adjustments to rectify the poor offensive showing of late.  It's questions like these that remind us that sports handicapping is no sure thing, otherwise we'd all be billionaires.

Regardless, it's still tough to win on the road in this league.  What have the Jets shown you in the past 3 weeks that makes you think they are a dominant team capable of just turning the switch on for their offense.  The Lions have played their hearts out week in, week out.  They will continue to do so with a big challenge coming into their building.  This line is saying the Jets would be a 10 point favorite at home against the Lions.  How many Jets backers would be on the Lions in that situation?
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2007
Posts: 61
Posted: #206
Quote Originally Posted by dnt_fade_me_bro:



The NFC North has not been kind to the Jets so far.  From just a glance, Lions look like the play.  Its nice that theres no rush for potential Lions backers.


love the avatar, Bid Daddy Kane!....is that scoob or scrab given him a fade?
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 978
Posted: #207

Quote Originally Posted by bushman9:

For all the posts about how opportunistic or "lucky" the Lions have been in their recent games the exact same thing can be said for the Jets.  The Jets are a good team, they are not an elite team.  They played extremely well for a three game stretch against the Pats, Dolphins, and Bills.  During this stretch, the Jets went away from their normal offense and opened up the playbook for Sanchez.  As a result I think teams were caught off guard.  Sanchez played brilliant during that stretch with no interceptions. 

It's not just that the Jets played poorly last week.  For those who watch the games and don't just look at the box scores or win/loss records, one could see the tide turning in their game against the Vikings, a game the Jets were somewhat "lucky" for winning or at least covering.  The Vikings dropped at least a couple sure interceptions thrown their way.  If Favre hits Percy Harvin who was wide open with about 40 yards in front of him instead of throwing it over his head, the Jets probably lose that game outright.  Alas, Favre throws a pick six the next play and the Jets are still untouchable world beaters.  Their next game at Denver was an even worse performance by the Jets, a game they were truly outplayed in and did not deserve the win and subsequent cover they received.  Not only did the Broncos drop several potential interceptions thrown directly into their breadbasket (at least one of which was a guaranteed pick six), a botched snap on a short field goal deprived them of 3 easy points.  In addition, the miracle 4th and long throw where the Broncos DB pulls the facemask, setting up the go ahead touchdown, happens maybe 4% of the time.  The Jets were getting every bounce, every break in those two games at critical moments.

Maybe the Jets bounce back this week or maybe the Jets aren't as good as everyone thinks they are.  Maybe the teams in this league have started to adjust to the dynamic things they were doing on offense weeks 2-4.  Maybe the Jets make the proper adjustments to rectify the poor offensive showing of late.  It's questions like these that remind us that sports handicapping is no sure thing, otherwise we'd all be billionaires.

Regardless, it's still tough to win on the road in this league.  What have the Jets shown you in the past 3 weeks that makes you think they are a dominant team capable of just turning the switch on for their offense.  The Lions have played their hearts out week in, week out.  They will continue to do so with a big challenge coming into their building.  This line is saying the Jets would be a 10 point favorite at home against the Lions.  How many Jets backers would be on the Lions in that situation?

I couldn't have said it better.  And when u have the Broncos outclassing u...ur not that good!  I'm not saying the Lions will win this one for sure, but its def. not gonna be the blowout that some of the Jets backers seem to believe.

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 1014
Posted: #208
It's nice to see things are a little more civil in here today, and I have enjoyed reading the insight people have that are on each sides of this game.  Certainly valid arguments can be made for both sides. 

I also appreciate the kind words members have offered that have either seen or contributed in my threads the past few years, and know how I have represented myself around here through my posts and picks. 

I am pretty confident in my play, but to try and keep things fun around here, if a cold front pushes through in the forecast and the POY doesn't work out..... this is what you will see as my avatar for the forecast next week https://oi52.tinypic.com/vdpmdk.jpg .  Let's hope it doesn't come to that.

Let's keep things fun, and all have a profitable Week 9. 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2008
Posts: 189
Posted: #209

Quote Originally Posted by URISS2302:



Don't be a baby bro, you brought in on yourself with the title of the thread and the way you went about everything...delaying the pick, saying ur record speaks for itself, and so on...  You are not on that level man... Be a man... and if you win your bet you get to be a hero..yay for u

Lol dude you are a huge hyprocrite.  The only baby i've seen so far in this thread is definitely you.  The guy has less than 400 posts and on top of that he was #1 in nfl on covers contests picking ats and you actually had the balls to say he doesn't know sh*t about the nfl he is just craving attention....

Dude nobody cares about your opinion just stfu and let him say what he wants. We don't need someone like you looking out for us like a parent because we are too "stupid to see the real truth" like you claim to know.  You have done nothing to help anybody

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 1708
Posted: #210
Quote Originally Posted by ForecastinFloyd:


This is what I have in store for the Week 9 Forecast, these plays are final.

"THE WARM FRONT"

POY DETROIT +4 AND ML AGAINST IT, JETS 20-10
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS +3 AGAINST IT, REID 11-0 off Bye Week
MIAMI +5.5 AGAINST IT, Ravens roll.

Early Games
Buffalo +2.5 LEANING BEARS
Houston +2.5 LIKE IT, ML TOO
Cleveland +5 LIKE IT, ML TOO
Carolina +6.5 LIKE IT
Arizona +9.5 LIKE THE UNDER FOR SOME REASON
Atlanta -9 LOVE IT, BLOW OUT   

Late Games
Seattle +6.5 NO OPINION
Oakland -3 AGAINST IT 

Sunday Night Game
Dallas +9 IF I HAVE A GOOD DAY   

Monday Night Game
Cincinnati +4.5 LOVE IT    

Season Recap (68-46-2 ATS) 59.6%
Week 1 (9-6 ATS)(60%)
Week 2 (11-5 ATS)(68.7%)
Week 3 (10-6ATS)(62.5%)
Week 4  (9-5ATS) (64.2%)
Week 5 (9-5ATS) (64.2%)
Week 6 (7-5-2ATS)(58.3%)
Week 7 (6-8ATS)(42.8%)
Week 8 (7-6ATS)(53.8%)
Totals (1-1)


Big card, usually I get hammered when I play too many games.  For sure I'm playing Atlanta, Cincy, Philly, Jets, Ravens.

Either it's gonna be a great weekend for you or me buddy!

BOL

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 2317
Posted: #211
Quote Originally Posted by semperfi19:

There is a system that goes against the Lions here.

From 1992-2009 there have been 18 times this siutation has occured.   A Non-Division road team that was shutout at home the previous week.

The results?  The Non-Division road teams have covered 83% of the time 15-3. 

Tough for me to back the Lions here but I respect your research.

 

Good Luck




and of those 18, how many of the non-divisional road teams were the favorite? i bet not many.

Its when a shit team that the public already dislikes gets shutout... they normally catching too many points the next week... this is a reverse situation. the apparent 'better team' was the one shutout, and are still laying points and the public is still backing them heavily.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2007
Posts: 19
Posted: #212
Floyd... Can you give a little insight on some of your picks especially... FLOYD  are these dogs going to be barking loud this week? I know you love the dogs weekly but WOW it's a dog pound this week! Best of Luck! Please Help 

SEA over NYG 

DAL over GB 

CIN over PIT 

CAR over NO 

CLE over NE 

BUF over CHI 
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 10003
Posted: #213
Quote Originally Posted by ForecastinFloyd:

For those of you that were wondering earlier, this is my documented record on here as far as the NFL goes.  And yes, I do bet every single game on the card.  There were brief mentions earlier about fading my fades, that's fine, and I wish you the best of luck  As I have always said, go with your first instinct and never second guess yourself, and hopefully we are all winners in the end.

I guess we can consider this a preliminary write up for the unhappy camper that's decided to dampen the mood in here.  

2009-2010 Regular NFL Season 151-98-7ATS 60.6%

Week 1  11-4-1
Week 2  11-5
Week 3  11-5
Week 4   9-5
Week 5   9-5
Week 6   9-5
Week 7   8-5-1
Week 8   6-7
Week 9   8-6
Week 10 8-7
Week 11 8-7
Week 12 6-10
Week 13 10-6
Week 14 9-7
Week 15 8-4-2
Week 16 12-3-2  
Week 17 8-7-1

2010-2011 NFL Regular Season ATS (68-46-2 ATS) 59.6%
Week 1 (9-6 ATS)(60%)
Week 2 (11-5 ATS)(68.7%)
Week 3 (10-6ATS)(62.5%)
Week 4  (9-5ATS) (64.2%)
Week 5 (9-5ATS) (64.2%)
Week 6 (7-5-2ATS)(58.3%)
Week 7 (6-8ATS)(42.8%)
Week 8 (7-6ATS)(53.8%)

Total Record ATS
219-144-9 60.3%

Nice Numbers.....60.3% Makes

Keep up the good work ..

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 8
Posted: #214
Quote Originally Posted by ForecastinFloyd:


Monday Night Game
Cincinnati +4.5

Floyd why Cincy? Ive been following them all year and this team is about to self implode. They are having problems in all phases of the game and see them choking against the Steelers on Monday.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 36
Posted: #215

Hey Floyd,I check your thread every week and play many of the same games.You've helped me greatly with your picks.I'm sure others feel the same way.Keep up the good work and please keep sharing with us.I check Uris every week and he's very good,also.Whichever way you make your picks is fine with me.You're winning and that's what counts.I don't believe you should have to tell anyone why you make a play.Best of luck to everyone this week

 

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 1566
Posted: #216
thanks for sharing ur POY Floys. i appreciate it. as for URIS ... i m disappointed. i used to read his thread with much respect. not anymore. GL Floyd
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2009
Posts: 612
Posted: #217
FF, you know I'm on the Over and I explained what methods I used to handicap the total.  I haven't kept up with this thread since my last post.  I've skimmed over some of it and stopped because I found very little value in the content, however, I did find a nugget.  Another poster asked what research you have done to make this pick.  I'm curious as well.  Please add me so we can share strategies.

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 1728
Posted: #218

 

         gl   to us all        keep on truckin' Floyd        

 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 16299
Posted: #219
Quote Originally Posted by jammac72:

Nice record ,floyd.

Uriss, if any of us gave a flying @#$% about your opinion we'd be reading your thread. For someone who claims to "only be worried about the integrity of this forum", one would think you'd do your best to avoid all this drama.

     I'll take this opportunity to speak for the masses. We come on is this forum to see how other cappers( perhaps better cappers) are picking games we'd like to bet. The vast majority of us rarely or never post. If we wanted to listen to know-it-alls and drama queens we'd quit gambling and hang out with our wives. 10+ posts on this thread and not one helpful bit of info. That, my friend, is an attention person.

 Uriss get a fu%$ing life
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2008
Posts: 13715
Posted: #220
Quote Originally Posted by fab14:

 Uriss get a fu%$ing life


I have a bigger life than you will ever have
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2008
Posts: 10345
Posted: #221

Quote Originally Posted by bushman9:

For all the posts about how opportunistic or "lucky" the Lions have been in their recent games the exact same thing can be said for the Jets.  The Jets are a good team, they are not an elite team.  They played extremely well for a three game stretch against the Pats, Dolphins, and Bills.  During this stretch, the Jets went away from their normal offense and opened up the playbook for Sanchez.  As a result I think teams were caught off guard.  Sanchez played brilliant during that stretch with no interceptions. 

It's not just that the Jets played poorly last week.  For those who watch the games and don't just look at the box scores or win/loss records, one could see the tide turning in their game against the Vikings, a game the Jets were somewhat "lucky" for winning or at least covering.  The Vikings dropped at least a couple sure interceptions thrown their way.  If Favre hits Percy Harvin who was wide open with about 40 yards in front of him instead of throwing it over his head, the Jets probably lose that game outright.  Alas, Favre throws a pick six the next play and the Jets are still untouchable world beaters.  Their next game at Denver was an even worse performance by the Jets, a game they were truly outplayed in and did not deserve the win and subsequent cover they received.  Not only did the Broncos drop several potential interceptions thrown directly into their breadbasket (at least one of which was a guaranteed pick six), a botched snap on a short field goal deprived them of 3 easy points.  In addition, the miracle 4th and long throw where the Broncos DB pulls the facemask, setting up the go ahead touchdown, happens maybe 4% of the time.  The Jets were getting every bounce, every break in those two games at critical moments.

Maybe the Jets bounce back this week or maybe the Jets aren't as good as everyone thinks they are.  Maybe the teams in this league have started to adjust to the dynamic things they were doing on offense weeks 2-4.  Maybe the Jets make the proper adjustments to rectify the poor offensive showing of late.  It's questions like these that remind us that sports handicapping is no sure thing, otherwise we'd all be billionaires.

Regardless, it's still tough to win on the road in this league.  What have the Jets shown you in the past 3 weeks that makes you think they are a dominant team capable of just turning the switch on for their offense.  The Lions have played their hearts out week in, week out.  They will continue to do so with a big challenge coming into their building.  This line is saying the Jets would be a 10 point favorite at home against the Lions.  How many Jets backers would be on the Lions in that situation?

 

Totaly disagree with your post. Personally, I had Vikes against the Jets in that game and lost on that pick-6.

That situation was completely different from this one, in the Vikes game the Jets came into that on an "unsustainable roll", in this game it's the Lions who come in on an "unsustainable roll".

All teams, bar none, including the Jets produce "luck based plays" during the season, the question is, which team is on an "unsustainable run of luck based plays".

Looking at "luck based plays" is not enough, you must also look at "repeatable skills", the ratio of "luck based plays" to "repeatable skills", in this regard the Lions are the 2cd most "overvalued team" in the league, in other words their "repeatable skills" are no-where near as good as the Lions appear.

The Jets remain one of the most "undervalued teams" in the league, ranking as the 7th most undervalued team, in other words the Jets out-play their opponents in "repeatable skills" better then they appear.

 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 16299
Posted: #222
Quote Originally Posted by URISS2302:



I have a bigger life than you will ever have
Yeah in your mom`s basementJust by reading your post kiddo you have a lot of growing up 2 do...U don`t go into someones thread and bash there pick at every chance you get...Also i see you never know when 2 Quit...It must be the water in newyork.
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2008
Posts: 16675
Posted: #223

 

Good luck, buddy...

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2010
Posts: 49
Posted: #224
 MONEYTALK AND BULLSHYT WALKS. Make that money brother.
 
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2008
Posts: 13715
Posted: #225
Quote Originally Posted by fab14:

Yeah in your mom`s basementJust by reading your post kiddo you have a lot of growing up 2 do...U don`t go into someones thread and bash there pick at every chance you get...Also i see you never know when 2 Quit...It must be the water in newyork.


My moms basement? thats your best come back, but yet I have a lot of growing up to do, Irony at its finest!  P.S. I never bashed his pick, you troll.. Secondly the water in New York is excellent...And when I actually give a shit about your opinion of me, you will be the first to know, Ok kiddo?
All Forums | NFL Betting
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.