All Forums | NFL Betting

Revealing the 11 Key Factors to Win In Sports Betting and Beat Vegas!

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 5512
Posts: 59
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2006
Posts: 247
Posted: #26

Ah got it.

Thanks very much!

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2004
Posts: 6724
Posted: #27

Quote Originally Posted by JulioFrazao:



Ill give u a perfect example week 2..while they are similar they are different.


ex...Chicago @ Dallas


Coming into this game Dallas had a bad game at washington and lost...after the game the public immediately began to doubt them,whats wrong with dallas?!?! etc....BUT the public was STILL on them vs Chicago in hopes that what they had seen week 1 was not what they thought....so while the public WAS doubting them....they still backed them.

 Not true.  The public heavily backed the BEARS and were right, as Dallas dropped from a 9.5 point favorite to 7. 

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2010
Posts: 742
Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by wizardofroz:

 Not true.  The public heavily backed the BEARS and were right, as Dallas dropped from a 9.5 point favorite to 7. 



um no wrong line might have dropped initially but the public was on Dallas

https://contests.covers.com/Handicapping/ConsensusPick/consensus-pick.aspx?sport=nfl&sportID=1&eventID=27809
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2004
Posts: 6724
Posted: #29

Quote Originally Posted by JulioFrazao:



um no wrong line might have dropped initially but the public was on Dallas

https://contests.covers.com/Handicapping/ConsensusPick/consensus-pick.aspx?sport=nfl&sportID=1&eventID=27809

 Real money moves lines, not Wagerline consensus picks for play units.

 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2007
Posts: 16348
Posted: #30
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 6368
Posted: #31
Who's' this "public" guy? He any good?
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2010
Posts: 31
Posted: #32
Hi there mate,

Like the thread, what would we use the bounce back for?

Would that be the week before's performance?
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2007
Posts: 16279
Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by wizardofroz:

 Real money moves lines, not Wagerline consensus picks for play units.




 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2010
Posts: 742
Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by juniorwaugh:

Hi there mate,

Like the thread, what would we use the bounce back for?

Would that be the week before's performance?



exactly....but most effective when a team thats favored loses or a team gets blown out.They should be really focused to make up for it in the next game.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2010
Posts: 742
Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by wizardofroz:

 Real money moves lines, not Wagerline consensus picks for play units.




thats just from wagerline but the public was on them on the other sites also.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2010
Posts: 742
Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by nc1capper:



something you dont understand? you apply those 11 factors to handicapping a game ,if 7 or more apply then u got a strong play...I personally like to play teams that have 9 or more of these factors,those are very strong.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 2219
Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by veto22:

Agree but matchups should be #1

no way
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2007
Posts: 2219
Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by JulioFrazao:



something you dont understand? you apply those 11 factors to handicapping a game ,if 7 or more apply then u got a strong play...I personally like to play teams that have 9 or more of these factors,those are very strong.

some guys are just douches... and yea public was on Dallas big time... reffer this guy to reverse line movement.

money = / public
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2008
Posts: 46
Posted: #39
I guess turnovers don't matter. I have been told that who wins the turnover battle wins the game
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2001
Posts: 59799
Posted: #40

12.  Longsnapper.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2001
Posts: 59799
Posted: #41

Quote Originally Posted by JulioFrazao:

Im gonna reveal to everyone here the 11 keys to win in sports betting.Been doing this for a while and I can tell u this is pretty much the holy grail on how to win and win consistently.


The more of these Factors you have in Favor of YOUR team the more likely your team will win/cover. Trust me this is all you need. Now you can imagine if your team fits into everyone one of these 11 factors or 10 then it is play of the year material.


Here is the 11 Key Factors that will determine if you got a good play or not,not in any order,Like I said the more your team has the higher % your team will cover,so everyone take notes so we can take down the books together.


1.Motivation Edge
2.Momentum
3.Homefield
4.Bounceback
5.Letdown
6.Revenge
7.Matchups
8.Who is the public doubting ?
9.Who is Better team
10.Fade the public
11.Line Value


There it is the 11 Keys Factors on how to choose your games to beat Vegas.


Goodluck to everyone and much success....



Julio F









Why am I doing this?  Everything in me is telling me not to make this post, but here goes anyway because I just cant take the useless drivel that this site is littered with, and sometimes - rarely anymore - I have to post about it.

Tell me, how do you tell me who has more motivation?  Momentum and Bounce Back - arent they opposites? 

Who is the public doubting?    Who is the better team? 

Did you just throw together 11 things you have heard in the media?

Here is my top 11 keys to picking a stock that will go up:

1.  Good company
2.  Popular stock
3.  Likely to go up
4.  Situation
5.  Earnings
6.  Economy
7.  Management
8.  Value
9.  Historical lows or highs
10.  Public likes it
11.  Momentum

There you go.  Now go make a fortune in the stock market.

 

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2001
Posts: 59799
Posted: #42

Here are my 11 factors for making the best sandwich:

1.  Bread
2.  Lettuce
3.  Tomatoes
4.  Hummus
5.  Cheese
6.  Fresh Herbs
7.  Spices
8.  Cucumber
9.  Onion
10.  Spinach
11.  Mushrooms

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2006
Posts: 6349
Posted: #43
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2010
Posts: 26
Posted: #44

Matchups/talent/talent differential and COACHING are way more important than most of what you posted ...  focusing on motivation, revenge and what the public is doing is a sure recipe for disaster in my opinion ...   thanks for posting the list though ...

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2010
Posts: 742
Posted: #45
vanzack,who are you? do you not have anything better to do? you dont have to apply these factors to your games if you dont like,I dont have to prove anything to you but using this system and following me you will win 80%...now you dont have to follow or listen its your choice nobody is forcing you to do anything
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2010
Posts: 742
Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by canadiantrav:

Matchups/talent/talent differential and COACHING are way more important than most of what you posted ...  focusing on motivation, revenge and what the public is doing is a sure recipe for disaster in my opinion ...   thanks for posting the list though ...




follow me an dyou will see these 11 factors is all you need in handicapping a game,promise
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2010
Posts: 742
Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by canadiantrav:

Matchups/talent/talent differential and COACHING are way more important than most of what you posted ...  focusing on motivation, revenge and what the public is doing is a sure recipe for disaster in my opinion ...   thanks for posting the list though ...



and for your information.....matchups is one of the factors,so is talent differential....but if you dont think MOTIVATION is the single MOST important factor in handicapping a game means you just have alot of learning to do.goodluck though
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2001
Posts: 59799
Posted: #48

Quote Originally Posted by JulioFrazao:

vanzack,who are you? do you not have anything better to do? you dont have to apply these factors to your games if you dont like,I dont have to prove anything to you but using this system and following me you will win 80%...now you dont have to follow or listen its your choice nobody is forcing you to do anything

You dont have to prove anything to me.  That is correct.

You have already proven everything I need to know.

Good luck with everyone else here.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2001
Posts: 59799
Posted: #49

Quote Originally Posted by JulioFrazao:



and for your information.....matchups is one of the factors,so is talent differential....but if you dont think MOTIVATION is the single MOST important factor in handicapping a game means you just have alot of learning to do.goodluck though

Why am I doing this......

Dont you think that either side for almost any game can be logically argued to have the motivation?

Tell me in Dallas vs Houston who has more motivation.  Or Atlanta vs New Orleans.  Or Oregon State vs Boise.  Or Alabama vs Arkansas.

Cant you see that anyone can make a motivation debate for any side there?

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2010
Posts: 742
Posted: #50
vanzack,there is always a team that has a bit more motivation than the other,if you really put your mind to it you will figure it out
All Forums | NFL Betting
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.