. 
I see said the blind man to his deaf son...hmmmmm.... thanks for passing that along DU!!!
As sports betting becomes more and more mainstream the percentage of the total bets placed should increasingly be square. Especially in football, the most popular sport, and especially the Superbowl, the most popular game of the year to bet on. Normally we see square bettors counterbalanced by the huge bets placed by the sharp whales but not with this game. Squares absolutely love the favorites and tend to bet the over. If you want to bet on the under or the underdog, I am thinking wait before game time to pull the trigger. Just a thought for this game in this year, certainly not a hard and fast rule. KC has the superstar that everybody loves to watch, the square public should predictably over bet on KC and from the above comments that looks like it is happening. I happen like San Fran ML, but I will wait to place my bet right before kickoff.
everybody.
As sports betting becomes more and more mainstream the percentage of the total bets placed should increasingly be square. Especially in football, the most popular sport, and especially the Superbowl, the most popular game of the year to bet on. Normally we see square bettors counterbalanced by the huge bets placed by the sharp whales but not with this game. Squares absolutely love the favorites and tend to bet the over. If you want to bet on the under or the underdog, I am thinking wait before game time to pull the trigger. Just a thought for this game in this year, certainly not a hard and fast rule. KC has the superstar that everybody loves to watch, the square public should predictably over bet on KC and from the above comments that looks like it is happening. I happen like San Fran ML, but I will wait to place my bet right before kickoff.
everybody.
As sports betting becomes more and more mainstream the percentage of the total bets placed should increasingly be square. Especially in football, the most popular sport, and especially the Superbowl, the most popular game of the year to bet on. Normally we see square bettors counterbalanced by the huge bets placed by the sharp whales but not with this game. Squares absolutely love the favorites and tend to bet the over. If you want to bet on the under or the underdog, I am thinking wait before game time to pull the trigger. Just a thought for this game in this year, certainly not a hard and fast rule. KC has the superstar that everybody loves to watch, the square public should predictably over bet on KC and from the above comments that looks like it is happening. I happen like San Fran ML, but I will wait to place my bet right before kickoff.
everybody.
WG, I'm hard pressed to figure out why the "public" $ is so centered on KC other than the obvious love affair with P.Mahomes and that screamin offense that the Chiefs have. That being said, Every angle from a "mathematical" standpoint and SOS numbers indicates a very high probability that SF owns a decided edge in critical categories ranging from Special Teams, Time of Possession, YAC, YPC, RZ Efficiency and almost total domination in key defensive areas. So, while nothing can really measure the "human" factor of the game or how each team will respond under pressure at this level, based on the data I've seen and probability numbers, I have to conclude that the wrong team is favored in this match-up by 2.25 points. I also see a lot of evidence that this game will fly over the total of 54/54.5.
Given all this information, I locked in early @ the Mirage taking a 2 team parlay for 10 Dimes;
SF + 1.5 / O 53.5
There are some interesting and fun Props that I like, but will post on my own Topic closer to game day. GL my Brother and see you at the "Pay Window" Amigo!
WG, I'm hard pressed to figure out why the "public" $ is so centered on KC other than the obvious love affair with P.Mahomes and that screamin offense that the Chiefs have. That being said, Every angle from a "mathematical" standpoint and SOS numbers indicates a very high probability that SF owns a decided edge in critical categories ranging from Special Teams, Time of Possession, YAC, YPC, RZ Efficiency and almost total domination in key defensive areas. So, while nothing can really measure the "human" factor of the game or how each team will respond under pressure at this level, based on the data I've seen and probability numbers, I have to conclude that the wrong team is favored in this match-up by 2.25 points. I also see a lot of evidence that this game will fly over the total of 54/54.5.
Given all this information, I locked in early @ the Mirage taking a 2 team parlay for 10 Dimes;
SF + 1.5 / O 53.5
There are some interesting and fun Props that I like, but will post on my own Topic closer to game day. GL my Brother and see you at the "Pay Window" Amigo!
WG, I'm hard pressed to figure out why the "public" $ is so centered on KC other than the obvious love affair with P.Mahomes and that screamin offense that the Chiefs have. That being said, Every angle from a "mathematical" standpoint and SOS numbers indicates a very high probability that SF owns a decided edge in critical categories ranging from Special Teams, Time of Possession, YAC, YPC, RZ Efficiency and almost total domination in key defensive areas. So, while nothing can really measure the "human" factor of the game or how each team will respond under pressure at this level, based on the data I've seen and probability numbers, I have to conclude that the wrong team is favored in this match-up by 2.25 points. I also see a lot of evidence that this game will fly over the total of 54/54.5.
Given all this information, I locked in early @ the Mirage taking a 2 team parlay for 10 Dimes;
SF + 1.5 / O 53.5
There are some interesting and fun Props that I like, but will post on my own Topic closer to game day. GL my Brother and see you at the "Pay Window" Amigo!
WG, I'm hard pressed to figure out why the "public" $ is so centered on KC other than the obvious love affair with P.Mahomes and that screamin offense that the Chiefs have. That being said, Every angle from a "mathematical" standpoint and SOS numbers indicates a very high probability that SF owns a decided edge in critical categories ranging from Special Teams, Time of Possession, YAC, YPC, RZ Efficiency and almost total domination in key defensive areas. So, while nothing can really measure the "human" factor of the game or how each team will respond under pressure at this level, based on the data I've seen and probability numbers, I have to conclude that the wrong team is favored in this match-up by 2.25 points. I also see a lot of evidence that this game will fly over the total of 54/54.5.
Given all this information, I locked in early @ the Mirage taking a 2 team parlay for 10 Dimes;
SF + 1.5 / O 53.5
There are some interesting and fun Props that I like, but will post on my own Topic closer to game day. GL my Brother and see you at the "Pay Window" Amigo!
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