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SDQL Week 6 (nfl ytd 88-65)

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Posted: #1

Sitting at 57.6% for first 153 plays. Anchor teasers are the focus

now.

This week only 2 candidates: MINNESOTA 5-0 ats (W) but they are on a bye

and LAC (0-4) under,so my anchor teaser this week will be

LAC OVER 29.5

The satellites will be posted as they are developed.

 
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Posted: #2

AD and week<7 and p:L and p:margin>=-7 and p:DIV and season>2015

65%

Teaser additions

NO +4.5

NO over 37.5

 
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Posted: #3

day=Thursday and p:LF and F and season>2011

67%

SF +3

 
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Posted: #4

#2

 
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Posted: #5

Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo:

AD and week<7 and p:L and p:margin>=-7 and p:DIV and season>2015 65% Teaser additions NO +4.5 NO over 37.5

 

This is backwards: Should be

TB +4.5

TB over 37.5

 
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Posted: #6

DIV and start time>1700 and total>=45 and season>2021

70%

SF under 53.5

 
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Posted: #7

D and surface=artificial and NDIV and PRSW<6 and p:L and p:points + po:points<40

62%

NE/HOU over 31.5

 
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Posted: #8

S(ats margin>0)/tS(ats margin<100)<=.20 and HD and o:WP>50 and week>4 and line>=3

71%

CAR +12.5

NE +13

 
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Posted: #9

S(ats margin>0)/tS(ats margin<100)<=.20 and HD and o:WP>50 and week>4 and line>=3

71%

CAR +12.5

NE +13

 
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Posted: #10

AD and p:AL and op:AL and p:margin <= -14

65%

CLEV +15.5

 
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Posted: #11

H and total<42 and week<8 and line>2 and C and season>2017

80%

DEN +9

LV +9

NYJ +8.5

 

 
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Posted: #12

H and total<42 and week<8 and line>2 and C and season>2017

80%

DEN +9

LV +9

NYJ +8.5

 

 
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Posted: #13

p:points>35 and op:points>28 and AF and P:L and season>2012

82%

SF -3 -120

 
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Posted: #14

p:points>35 and op:points>28 and AF and P:L and season>2012

82%

SF -3 -120

 
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Posted: #15

p:points>35 and op:points>28 and AF and P:L and season>2012

CINCY -3 -120

 
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Posted: #16

@jowchoo

 This is great stuff. Glad to see you’re doing well with this as this season has been brutal so far for many.

I don’t really understand much about what you’re doing but what do the percentages above the plays mean? Based on trends?

 
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Posted: #17

Quote Originally Posted by brn2loslive2win:

@jowchoo  This is great stuff. Glad to see you’re doing well with this as this season has been brutal so far for many. I don’t really understand much about what you’re doing but what do the percentages above the plays mean? Based on trends?

After inputting a query into data base over at killersports, the percentage is the winning % of that query. Vegas rarely mishandles situational nfl data,

so these queries can expose those +EV games. I query dog and under filters bc the public generally like the other side and bc I am basically a contrarian

punter.........................gl

 
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Posted: #18

The % over the queries is ats and does NOT include the additional insurance from teasing these choices.

 
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Posted: #19

tA(RY)>oA(RY) and D and p:HL and op:HW and line<=7 and season>2019 and total<52

75%

NE +13.....this becomes a (double play)

in light of Maye taking over qb for NE and Texans best WR hurt.

 
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Posted: #20

tA(sacks)>oA(sacks) and D and p:AL and op:AL and season>2016 and 37

 
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Posted: #21

Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo:

tA(sacks)>oA(sacks) and D and p:AL and op:AL and season>2016 and 37

Covers copy and paste function gets a grade of F

CLEV +14.5

NO +10

 
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Posted: #22

tA(sacks)>oA(sacks) and D and p:AL and op:AL and season>2016 and 37

 
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Posted: #23

Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo:

tA(sacks)>oA(sacks) and D and p:AL and op:AL and season>2016 and 37

 
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Posted: #24

p:HL and AF and week<8 and season>2017 and line

 
 
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Posted: #25

p:HL and AF and week<8 and season>2017 and line

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