SDQL/Regression teasers UPDATE

Last minute bomb sank the anchor ;-(

YTD (138-115) with MNF to come

MNF ..win...lol

YTD (139-115)  55%

SMASH week! both anchors hit and satellites went 26-5-2    ;-)

+42

YTD: 181-115  (61.1%)

Only 1 MNF teaser going...KC-2.5

update after MNF (week 9)

YTD:

185-115 (61.7%)

Week 10: (38-13) =  +25 with 4MNF pending

YTD: 223-128 (63.5%)

MNF  (2-2)

YTD: (225-130)

WEEK 11

(24-9) with 6 outcomes pending (MNF)

YTD: (249-139)

Fabulous year.  Many congratulations.

@DogbiteWilliams

MNF (4-2)

YTD: (253-141)

the 7% of bankroll on HOUSTON FUTURES is looking great, will create some nice hedging in playoffs!

correction: duplicated a winner

YTD: (252-141) 64.1%

correction: duplicated a winner

YTD: (252-141) 64.1%

week 12 (19-29)

YTD: (271-170)  61.5%

@jowchoo

 Looks like the satellites did awesome. At least you went 1-1 with anchors so I’d imagine you can’t get too upset on weeks like that. Still great work for the season 

Thx, what really hurt was KC had a chance to stop a 4th and 7 late where they could have just sat on the ball and the under was a winner.

oh well, it was like a swing of over 30 outcomes.

can u do 2 ANCHORS THE TEAMS ONLY INSTEAD OVER AND UNDER ANCHOR BC I SAW U LOSS THE ANCHORS GAME BAL@CLE UNDER 2 weeks ago and this week is another one Anchor UNDER the GAME kc@ caro. Sad!!

I saw u picked MIA-1 double play and that win easy from the 1H. Shld picked MiA-1 as the 2nd Anchor instead.

HOW ABOUT DO 2 OF THE TEAMS ANCHORS ONLY :

1 FAV TEAM

2 DOG TEAM

ALL of the satellites are regressive candidates,so just pick from that list.

Obviously at 61% you're doing great, but I've wondered about the whole anchor thing, how you decide which is the most regressive side. Just pairing various candidates from your list, I wonder how you'd do. The clear drawback to the way you do it is that one anchor loss gives you a 0-19 on that side.

Data research points to which candidate section has the best probability to regress.Over the last 5 years,teams that get an OVER imbalance regress the most, followed by the WIN candidates. Recency bias and Vegas over reaction ensure VALUE. Obviously, some outside influences can not be discounted,  ie. injuries,SOS, and weather. My research suggested 58% for a sample size of 450 plays was possible, I am way over performing thusfar.

week 13 (31-29)

YTD

(302-199) 60.3%

WEEK 14:  (36-16)

YTD: (338- 215)   61.1%.........:-)

WEEK 15: (7-36) Thanks Tua for your 2 redzone picks.......  ;-)

YTD: (345-251)  58% smack on the model's year long projections.

It showed 58% for 450+ selections, so holding true for near 600 plays is awesome!