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Seems like everyone is trying to be TOO smart tonight..

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Posted: #1
Thinking Tampa Bay has "value" and the contrary play. It's not the contrary play when everyone thinks Tampa can cover. Over thinking this one.
 
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Posted: #2
Just like the Seahawks cardinals game! I doubt the bucs even get to 10 points.
 
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Posted: #3
"Sharps" on Tampa. There is absolutely no reason statistically to take Tampa. Forget this sharp/value/line move/Vegas angle nonsense. It doesn't mean a thing during game. Cam & Panthers D will win easy
 
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Posted: #4

Quote Originally Posted by Thesicilian0ne:

"Sharps" on Tampa. There is absolutely no reason statistically to take Tampa. Forget this sharp/value/line move/Vegas angle nonsense. It doesn't mean a thing during game. Cam & Panthers D will win easy

I like the statistics that Vincent Jackson is catching touchdown passes. I guess you forgot about that.

 
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Posted: #5
Because the ny won , so everyone thinks Tampa can do the same
 
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Posted: #6
  Yup....I kind of did it too, this game was more of a NO PLAY game but suckered into it.
 
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Posted: #7
It's early and Tampa Bay is only losing the spread by 4.5. I don't think the Carolina backers have a clue to what kind of nightmare they're in for.
 
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Posted: #8
Vincent Jackson may be good for fantasy but not to help his team play defense
 
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Posted: #9

Quote Originally Posted by Thesicilian0ne:

  There is absolutely no reason statistically to take Tampa.

There are plenty. You obviously just don't want to hear them.

 
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Posted: #10
Where is a good place to go to see what the "sharps" are betting?
 
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Posted: #11

Quote Originally Posted by Flvacs:

Where is a good place to go to see what the "sharps" are betting?

 

No such place exists

 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner:

There are plenty. You obviously just don't want to hear them.



I'd like to hear them.
 
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Posted: #13

Quote Originally Posted by monroekelly21:



I'd like to hear them.

 

For starters home dogs of 7 or more the last 10 years cover 65% of the time.

Winless underdogs week 6 and beyond hit at 71% ATS.

 

Those are some pretty strong stats.

 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by monroekelly21:



I'd like to hear them.


Ill be honest and tell u I took TB on a carolina fade but trust me their was no statistical reason to play them
 
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Posted: #15
TB is a reflection of their record and they are playing like it
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner:

 

For starters home dogs of 7 or more the last 10 years cover 65% of the time.

Winless underdogs week 6 and beyond hit at 71% ATS.

 

Those are some pretty strong stats.



Those aren't too shabby, if you are into that sort of thing.  How many instances apply to those two trends? 

I meant more like stats as to why this Bucs team is going to beat this Panthers
 
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Posted: #17

Quote Originally Posted by Kaname484:



Ill be honest and tell u I took TB on a carolina fade but trust me their was no statistical reason to play them

Sure there is and I just gave you two strong statistical reasons. You don't have to agree with them, but they are statistically strong.

 
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Posted: #18

Quote Originally Posted by monroekelly21:



Those aren't too shabby, if you are into that sort of thing.  How many instances apply to those two trends? 

I meant more like stats as to why this Bucs team is going to beat this Panthers

the second one is 85-35 ATS

the first one, I don't have the current number at the moment, but, trust me that it is 65% over a 10 year span with a large sample size.

 
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Posted: #19

Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner:

the second one is 85-35 ATS

the first one, I don't have the current number at the moment, but, trust me that it is 65% over a 10 year span with a large sample size.


Niner dont even waste your time trying to educated these idiots on here they wouldnt know good statistics if it bit them in the a.s.s  Thats why all the people who posted on here so much before have left
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by BigNiner:

the second one is 85-35 ATS

the first one, I don't have the current number at the moment, but, trust me that it is 65% over a 10 year span with a large sample size.



Sure, sure, I'll just trust you.

 I can't imagine that there have been a ton of large home dogs over the past ten years.  And I am not sure this game even counts.  The line hit 7, but seems to have closed at 6.5.  There have only been 4 (5 if you are counting Bengals/Bills, which closed at 6) this year and two of them are Jacksonville, which both lost. 

You didn't give any stats as it relates to this game.  Is this the only way you bet, with these trends? 
 
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Posted: #21

Quote Originally Posted by monroekelly21:



Sure, sure, I'll just trust you.

I am not sure this game even counts.  The line hit 7, but seems to have closed at 6.5. 

 

Haha. Are you serious??? I got +7 30 minutes before kickoff

 
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Posted: #22

Quote Originally Posted by monroekelly21:



Sure, sure, I'll just trust you.

 I can't imagine that there have been a ton of large home dogs over the past ten years. 

Really? Why don't you look yourself how many there have been THIS YEAR already.

 
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Posted: #23
It's only an 8 point game in the 3rd quarter, 1.5 difference ATS. I didn't expect Tampa Bay to play like gangbusters. Just beat the spread.
 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by miniman44444:


Niner dont even waste your time trying to educated these idiots on here they wouldnt know good statistics if it bit them in the a.s.s  Thats why all the people who posted on here so much before have left


It's funny you were making fun of people for being stupid, but didn't even use the proper tense when doing so.  That's the internet for you, I guess. 

I guess trying to educated myself is to tall of a task.
 
 
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Posted: #25

Quote Originally Posted by monroekelly21:



Sure, sure, I'll just trust you.



You didn't give any stats as it relates to this game.  Is this the only way you bet, with these trends? 

If you want different "stats" that were already mentioned, other than ones that pertain to betting, go log onto NFL.com. I mean what stats are you looking for? You want a betting advantage, these are the stats you should be looking at.

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