The more things change, the more they stay the same. The Detroit Lions have held the Thanksgiving tradition of hosting a game for 73 years. But, lately there is another growing tradition: The Lions eating humble pie on this holiday. They have now lost eight straight Turkey Day games. Detroit finally made a playoffs appearance last year, but it was a quick and decisive exodus. Hope was high last season as the Lions started off on fire but it was quickly exposed as a mirage. The Lions had a rather easy schedule last season and made the playoffs despite no wins vs. a winning team. They have beaten just one winning team this season, marking the last 26 games played with just one victory over a winning team. They came out smoking last year at 5-0, but have been just 9-13 since. The defense is still below average, and an offense that produced 34 points or more seven times last year, has reached that mark just once this season. On the season the Lions are averagi ng a very pedestrian 23.6 points per game. So while they are considered all offense that has not been the case this season. Detroit is just 2-27 strasight-up in their last 29 games vs. top level teams (those above .750). Under Jim Schwartz, the Lions are 8-29 straight-up as an underdog and 1-16 straight-up vs. elite quarterbacks (teams with 64%+ completion rate). Detroit is off a hard-fought loss to Green Bay and underdogs that are coming off a loss to a division rival win their next game just 29.8% of the time. When facing a team at .800+, that figure drops to 20%. While I think Houston probably wins and covers here, I think the best bet is Houston on the moneyline. I also like the UNDER in this game. The Houston defense is ranked No. 4 in the league. They are allowing just 18 points per game (13.7 per game on the road). So, a Detroit offensive explosion is not likely here. The Texans are 10-1 to the UNDER after allowing 30+ points in their previous game and after that showing vs. Jacksonville, you can be sure this defense will be out to make a statement here. Under Gary Kubiak, the Texans are 14-5 UNDER in late-season play when facing a losing team. Houston has the ground game to shorten the game with a lead and this total is high. Take the Texans to win, and the UNDER
Also likes NE and Under and IF you must bet dallas wash ...likes Dallas moneyline
The more things change, the more they stay the same. The Detroit Lions have held the Thanksgiving tradition of hosting a game for 73 years. But, lately there is another growing tradition: The Lions eating humble pie on this holiday. They have now lost eight straight Turkey Day games. Detroit finally made a playoffs appearance last year, but it was a quick and decisive exodus. Hope was high last season as the Lions started off on fire but it was quickly exposed as a mirage. The Lions had a rather easy schedule last season and made the playoffs despite no wins vs. a winning team. They have beaten just one winning team this season, marking the last 26 games played with just one victory over a winning team. They came out smoking last year at 5-0, but have been just 9-13 since. The defense is still below average, and an offense that produced 34 points or more seven times last year, has reached that mark just once this season. On the season the Lions are averagi ng a very pedestrian 23.6 points per game. So while they are considered all offense that has not been the case this season. Detroit is just 2-27 strasight-up in their last 29 games vs. top level teams (those above .750). Under Jim Schwartz, the Lions are 8-29 straight-up as an underdog and 1-16 straight-up vs. elite quarterbacks (teams with 64%+ completion rate). Detroit is off a hard-fought loss to Green Bay and underdogs that are coming off a loss to a division rival win their next game just 29.8% of the time. When facing a team at .800+, that figure drops to 20%. While I think Houston probably wins and covers here, I think the best bet is Houston on the moneyline. I also like the UNDER in this game. The Houston defense is ranked No. 4 in the league. They are allowing just 18 points per game (13.7 per game on the road). So, a Detroit offensive explosion is not likely here. The Texans are 10-1 to the UNDER after allowing 30+ points in their previous game and after that showing vs. Jacksonville, you can be sure this defense will be out to make a statement here. Under Gary Kubiak, the Texans are 14-5 UNDER in late-season play when facing a losing team. Houston has the ground game to shorten the game with a lead and this total is high. Take the Texans to win, and the UNDER
Also likes NE and Under and IF you must bet dallas wash ...likes Dallas moneyline
Thanks for the picks Eddiew. I can use the help in both College and NFL. Been a roller coaster ride so far. Do you happen to know when you might post the College pics on Friday.
Thans again!
Thanks for the picks Eddiew. I can use the help in both College and NFL. Been a roller coaster ride so far. Do you happen to know when you might post the College pics on Friday.
Thans again!
The New England Patriots offense has been executing with precision for years and especially over the last three seasons. Over that span, they have averaged 32.1 points per game or more every season. This year they are even better at 35.6 ppg. But, things may be a bit different for the Pats here, as they lost Rob Gronkowski to a broken forearm last week. Gronkowski was in the midst of a spectacular season, having caught 10 of the Pats’ 21 TD passes on the season. Having a short week and playing on the road against the Jets, I look for the Patriots to run the ball a lot more in this game. The Jets rank No. 6 against the pass, but are just No. 30 against the run. So Belichick is likely to play to those numbers. Aaron Hernandez may play this week, but likely won't be near 100%. That is a big part of the Pats’ passing game that will be missing. Stephan Ridley is nearing 1,000 yards, so looks for the Pats to turn to the ground against the Je ts poor run-stop unit. New York has QB problems as Mark Sanchez has gone six of their ten games with a passer rating in the 60s or less. He has just 11 TD passes to 9 INTs and has fumbled frequently. The Jets’ offense often bogs down. As a result, this team has scored 10 points or less in four of their ten games. The Patriots own a 53-25-3 ATS mark in their last 81 road games, including 11-2 ATS in their last 13 in New York. The Pats should win big here and Belichick won't take the pedal off the gas. Take New England to win and cover here. I also like the UNDER. This total is very high given the Jets offense. It opened higher and has been bet down but I still think it's too high. I look for a lot more running from both teams here as the Jets' run defense is their achilles heel, and they want to limit Brady's field time. The Jets will also use the run to limit Sanchez' risk on offense. After a 59-point offensive outburst last week from the Pats , contrarian is the way to this week. Play on New England and take the UNDER.
The New England Patriots offense has been executing with precision for years and especially over the last three seasons. Over that span, they have averaged 32.1 points per game or more every season. This year they are even better at 35.6 ppg. But, things may be a bit different for the Pats here, as they lost Rob Gronkowski to a broken forearm last week. Gronkowski was in the midst of a spectacular season, having caught 10 of the Pats’ 21 TD passes on the season. Having a short week and playing on the road against the Jets, I look for the Patriots to run the ball a lot more in this game. The Jets rank No. 6 against the pass, but are just No. 30 against the run. So Belichick is likely to play to those numbers. Aaron Hernandez may play this week, but likely won't be near 100%. That is a big part of the Pats’ passing game that will be missing. Stephan Ridley is nearing 1,000 yards, so looks for the Pats to turn to the ground against the Je ts poor run-stop unit. New York has QB problems as Mark Sanchez has gone six of their ten games with a passer rating in the 60s or less. He has just 11 TD passes to 9 INTs and has fumbled frequently. The Jets’ offense often bogs down. As a result, this team has scored 10 points or less in four of their ten games. The Patriots own a 53-25-3 ATS mark in their last 81 road games, including 11-2 ATS in their last 13 in New York. The Pats should win big here and Belichick won't take the pedal off the gas. Take New England to win and cover here. I also like the UNDER. This total is very high given the Jets offense. It opened higher and has been bet down but I still think it's too high. I look for a lot more running from both teams here as the Jets' run defense is their achilles heel, and they want to limit Brady's field time. The Jets will also use the run to limit Sanchez' risk on offense. After a 59-point offensive outburst last week from the Pats , contrarian is the way to this week. Play on New England and take the UNDER.
have some Balls with your turkey??
The Cardinals have had a satisfying season at 8-3 and will be playing in a Bowl game. But, itt hasn't quite been as satisfying as they woukd have liked as they will not be in the MAC Championship game. This becomes somewhat of a throw-away game for them and I think it will be hard for them to deliver the "A' game here. This is the end of the line for the Redhawks as they enter here at just 4-7. They have dropped five of their last six but the win shows they are more than capable as they beat a then-unbeaten Ohio U team here for the lone win. When you consider that three of Miami's losses came to Ohio State, Boise State and Cincinnati, the Redhawks aren't as bad as the record suggests. In their last 25 games vs. good teams (.600 to .750), Miami is 19-6 ATS. Ball State has had trouble in this series at 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings. I see a close game on their hands. Play on Miami Ohio.
have some Balls with your turkey??
The Cardinals have had a satisfying season at 8-3 and will be playing in a Bowl game. But, itt hasn't quite been as satisfying as they woukd have liked as they will not be in the MAC Championship game. This becomes somewhat of a throw-away game for them and I think it will be hard for them to deliver the "A' game here. This is the end of the line for the Redhawks as they enter here at just 4-7. They have dropped five of their last six but the win shows they are more than capable as they beat a then-unbeaten Ohio U team here for the lone win. When you consider that three of Miami's losses came to Ohio State, Boise State and Cincinnati, the Redhawks aren't as bad as the record suggests. In their last 25 games vs. good teams (.600 to .750), Miami is 19-6 ATS. Ball State has had trouble in this series at 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings. I see a close game on their hands. Play on Miami Ohio.
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