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NY GIANTS AT DENVER: Sharps hit the Giants hard at -5, and we're now seeing -7 everywhere at press time. Denver just looked awful last week at home against San Diego. They weren't very good in the second half at Washington after Kyle Orton got hurt either. I was surprised myself the line shot up this high so quickly. Clearly the sharps didn't like what they saw from Denver...and they knew the public would be all over Eli Manning and the Giants on Thursday. Sharps always get the best numbers! I'd expect some buyback on Denver to shoot a middle if the line keeps going up Thursday. I can't believe how fast some of these sharps jumped off the Denver bandwagon.
INDIANAPOLIS AT HOUSTON: We move to Sunday games now. Indianapolis is in a very tough schedule spot having to play on the road after their road war at Baltimore last week...and the thriller with New England the week before. How many more close games can this team win? Well, they're facing a Houston team that seems to find ways to lose close games. The line is hopping between 3 and 3.5, with the obvious sharp action based on the number (favorite -3, dog +3.5). I would expect that to continue through the weekend...with the public probably coming in once again on Indianapolis on game day just like they did last week. The total has dropped a point from 49 down to 48.
CLEVELAND AT CINCINNATI: We saw some interest on the Over, which has gone up from 37.5 to 39 or so at many places. Brady Quinn looked good last week, and the Browns played a high scoring thriller at Detroit. That's the main influence based on the discussions I've been having with sharps. Also the fact that weather has been mild in the Midwest so far. Nobody's afraid of playing Overs right now across the places that are usually pretty scare. Maybe November weather is waiting until December to arrive this year. No action yet on the team side. Sharps who bet this game Sunday will likely be on the double digit underdog in the rivalry game. That's their custom. And, dogs have been doing much better in recent weeks.
CHICAGO AT MINNESOTA: Big move on Minnesota from an opener of 9.5 up to 10.5. Crossing the 10 is a pretty big deal because that's a critical number. This one didn't just cross it, it FLEW past the 10! Minnesota has been naming the score against bad teams. Chicago now looks like a bad team based on how poorly Jay Cutler has played in recent weeks. Chicago has ugly stats, and they haven't even played Minnesota yet. Sharps expect a one-sided game, and wanted to take positions below the key number. They can buy back some on the Bears to try and hit a middle in garbage time once the public jumps on the Brett Favre bandwagon. The public has been rewarded for their love of Favre in recent weeks.
WASHINGTON AT PHILADELPHIA: There seemed to be a half-hearted attempt to take positions on Philadelphia at -9. But, the number stalled at 9.5 rather than reaching 10 or more. I think oddsmakers know a flood of money would come in on Washington at +10 based on their solid form of late. They play great defense...and that's a lot of points to give a strong defense. Many sharps won with the Skins plus double digits at Dallas last week. I think the sharps will be on Washington before kickoff, even if we saw a slight move toward Philly on the opener. The total has dropped a tick down from 41 to 40.5.
MIAMI AT BUFFALO: Not much interest in this game yet. The line is sitting at a field goal for the visitors. Sharps don't want to lay that price on the road with a Florida team in northern New York unless they see the weather is going to be nice. It's hard to invest much in Buffalo because the quarterback is so shaky. This may be a relatively dead game betting wise come Sunday. Weather could change that. Or a line move based on public action.
INDIANAPOLIS AT HOUSTON: We move to Sunday games now. Indianapolis is in a very tough schedule spot having to play on the road after their road war at Baltimore last week...and the thriller with New England the week before. How many more close games can this team win? Well, they're facing a Houston team that seems to find ways to lose close games. The line is hopping between 3 and 3.5, with the obvious sharp action based on the number (favorite -3, dog +3.5). I would expect that to continue through the weekend...with the public probably coming in once again on Indianapolis on game day just like they did last week. The total has dropped a point from 49 down to 48.
CLEVELAND AT CINCINNATI: We saw some interest on the Over, which has gone up from 37.5 to 39 or so at many places. Brady Quinn looked good last week, and the Browns played a high scoring thriller at Detroit. That's the main influence based on the discussions I've been having with sharps. Also the fact that weather has been mild in the Midwest so far. Nobody's afraid of playing Overs right now across the places that are usually pretty scare. Maybe November weather is waiting until December to arrive this year. No action yet on the team side. Sharps who bet this game Sunday will likely be on the double digit underdog in the rivalry game. That's their custom. And, dogs have been doing much better in recent weeks.
CHICAGO AT MINNESOTA: Big move on Minnesota from an opener of 9.5 up to 10.5. Crossing the 10 is a pretty big deal because that's a critical number. This one didn't just cross it, it FLEW past the 10! Minnesota has been naming the score against bad teams. Chicago now looks like a bad team based on how poorly Jay Cutler has played in recent weeks. Chicago has ugly stats, and they haven't even played Minnesota yet. Sharps expect a one-sided game, and wanted to take positions below the key number. They can buy back some on the Bears to try and hit a middle in garbage time once the public jumps on the Brett Favre bandwagon. The public has been rewarded for their love of Favre in recent weeks.
WASHINGTON AT PHILADELPHIA: There seemed to be a half-hearted attempt to take positions on Philadelphia at -9. But, the number stalled at 9.5 rather than reaching 10 or more. I think oddsmakers know a flood of money would come in on Washington at +10 based on their solid form of late. They play great defense...and that's a lot of points to give a strong defense. Many sharps won with the Skins plus double digits at Dallas last week. I think the sharps will be on Washington before kickoff, even if we saw a slight move toward Philly on the opener. The total has dropped a tick down from 41 to 40.5.
MIAMI AT BUFFALO: Not much interest in this game yet. The line is sitting at a field goal for the visitors. Sharps don't want to lay that price on the road with a Florida team in northern New York unless they see the weather is going to be nice. It's hard to invest much in Buffalo because the quarterback is so shaky. This may be a relatively dead game betting wise come Sunday. Weather could change that. Or a line move based on public action.
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