Posted:
#1
I didn't post much at all in 2014 on here, and I don't think at all since October. I'm going to look at staying active in 2015 and will keep track of my record for the calendar year. For those who haven't seen me around before, I typically play NBA, NHL, NFL, and a bit on the England Premier League.
Atlanta Hawks (Friday)/Panthers ML Parlay 200 to win 204
Ravens +3.5 256.08 to win 200
I'm not comfortable laying a TD with the Panthers, regardless of how well they have played of late, and with Lindley playing. Yes, the Panthers smoked the Saints and Falcons, but they also barely scrapped by the Bucs and Browns in between those games. Carolina has a huge advantage on the ground and an advantage at QB so I don't see them losing at home. I just think the game may be closer than some believe so prefer to parlay it with the Hawks, who should win, for plus money.
I'll admit the Ravens are my team, and I was going to find a way to be on them one way or another, but I do feel fairly comfortable with this pick. With Bell officially ruled out, the Steelers are leaning on Harris who has barely touched the ball all season. Huge advantage to the Ravens and Forsett.
The concern in this one is the downfield threats Pitts has with Brown, Bryant and Wheaton vs a poor Ravens secondary. I'm not saying the Steelers won't score. They will, and they will have some big plays. But Flacco loves the deep ball as much as any other QB in the league and can match Big Ben with the HR play to Torrey Smith.
The Ravens are good against the run and with Ngata back and Bell out, I think it will make Pitt a one dimensional team. Ravens also only allow a 6th best 18.9 points per game, and have a better O line...giving up only 19 sacks all season.
Lastly, the Steelers actually allow more yards against the pass per game than the Ravens. In this game the Steelers have 2 things going for them...more passing threats, and home field. I see a number of things in favour of the Ravens - homer play or not.
BOL to all in 2015 and in the NFL playoffs.
I'll post any additional plays, including those for Sunday later tonight/tomorrow.
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