Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:
15-4-1 playoffs
Not gonna post a bunch of stats or trends for one reason: I dont know them. Dont care. Looking at trends and crap like that is futile. There is no model or "system" that can predict winners. As long as the pigskin bounces funny and people are allowed to make stupid decisions, games will always have too many variables to accurately calculate.
Covers has become a landfill of wanna be touts and high school kids. Thats fine with me, its a free site/country. I actually enjoy all the retards that think they can get to me by posting burning money bags and saying I suck.....Its pure comedy gold.
On to the big game.......
I only see 3 real advantages in the game, and they all favor Baltimore.
#1) Special teams .....Akers is a liability, Justin Tucker is not.
Jacoby Jones is a pro bowl kick returner and Ted Ginn doesnt scare me in the least.
#2)
San Frans secondary is suspect.....SF is 4th in the league, only giving up 200 passing yards per game. Pretty good.....on paper. Playing the Jets, Buffalo, AZ x2, STL x2, and Sea x 2 will skew your numbers (save the Russell Wilson is awesome speech). Boldin and Smith matchup very well, and with Rice being a huge threat out of the backfield, they should get more isolation. SFs pass rush has gone downhill as shown in the Falcons game.....Flacco has been very accurate lately and has been spreading the ball around.
#3)
Experience . Flacco has been doing this for 5 years. Hes won almost as many playoff games as Kapernick has started in his career.
Lewis and Reed will have that defense amped, no doubt.
Should be a good game. I think folks looking for a defensive struggle are gonna be disappointed. I think VD and Pitta will both have pretty big games. I really dont think Kap will brave enough to throw deep very often with Reed ball hawking, which is smart, but playing scared is never good. Gore and Lamichael James just arent the combo Rice/Pierce are.
Will have props when available.
Flacco is your MVP. Should go 24-34 for about 300 yds and 3 tds. Will be interested to see a Rice receiving yds prop as I expect several screens and dump passes to curb the 49er rush attack.....
Baltimore 37 SF 23
Current bets:
Ravens +4.5 & O47 -120
Ravens ML +160
Ravens +11/O40.5 teaser
The rest:
SF TT U26
Ravens win by (all very small):
6-10 +800
11-15 +1100
16-20 +1600
21-25 +2500
SF punts more +175
1st quarter O9.5 -125
Balt wins both halves +450
Props to come.......
GL everyone