Super Bowl XLVIII Write-up inside...

Also, what you don't add is in many cases these turn overs came at the ends if half some games where the outcome of a turnover did not effect the game.  Example, in the divisional game vs. SD manning threw an int at the end of the 1st half resulting in no possibility of SD turning it into points.  We cannot compare apples to oranges.  The patriots and Chargers are far superior to the Seahawks.  Again, opinions.  Let's let it play out Sunday and see what happens.  

No dude, the regular season losses the margins were -2 turnover vs Colts, -1 vs Chargers, -1 vs the Patriots.  The average margin for loss was 5.3 points.

I'm saying turnovers are important, but for Seattle to come close to covering, they need to be +2 in the turnover margin.

You're talking regular season too which is another thing altogether, I prefer looking at stats in the post season where every game counts, when attempting to cap the Superbowl...be all end all.

Personally, I think Denver goes +1 in the turnover margin.

I think that puts them up 10+ points.

Truth be told, Seattle defense is all about the secondary.  Against a strong pocket passer with experience and skill, that strength is slightly mitigated.

Seattle has the talent to cover, I'm not saying that.

What I'm saying is, if they don't force turnovers, the Broncos will run away with this game.

If Seattle can not run the ball and is forced to pass, I can't see them keeping up with Manning...and that's with the consideration that the Seahawks pass successfully.

Denver's run defense is solid and their pass defense is under rated.

If I was going to play a prop bet, I'd play it on a defensive player winning MVP - Champ Bailey, Dominque Rodgers-Cromartie, or Duke Ihenacho.

Broncos defense can hold competent offenses under 20 points, case in point Chargers and Patriots.

Yes, yes...Chargers aren't the most high powered offense, but they're decent.  Phillip Rivers is a better passer than Russ Wilson.  The Patriots are injured and hurting for weapons, but they still have Tom Brady to make it happen...and they couldn't make it happen.

What's my point.  Denver takes care of the ball...they cover this easily...by 10 or more.

Also, thanks for the response.  I respect your opinions and you could very well be correct come game day.

BOL. Appreciate the insight.

THIS GAME WILL BE FIXED, U JUST NEED TO KNOW WHAT SIDE, THE SPREAD IS THERE TO FOOL YOU OF COURSE, YES SEAHAWKS OPENED AT -1.5, DENVER JUMPED TO -2.0, -2.5, WITH SUPPOSEABLY PUBLIC MONEY, DID ANYONE SEE THE BCS CHAMPIONSHIP FLA ST WAS FAVORITE -7.5 to -8 AND ON GAMEDAY THEY JUMPED TO -9 to -10 WITH PUBLIC LOVING AUBURN WITH THE SPREAD, THAT WHOLE GAME FLA STATE HAD NO CHANCE ON COVERING THE SPREAD , ALL IM SAYING IS THE NFL AND THE BOOKS KNOW WHAT THEY'RE DOING AND WILL U BE SUPRISED IF SEATTLE GETS THE BEST OF MANNING OR WILL U BE SUPRISED IF MANNING PICKS APART ANOTHER DEFENSE??DOES ANYONE REMEMBER DURING THE SEASON SEAHAWKS WERE SUSPENDED FOR USING PED'S AND GUESS WHAT THAT BOY RICHARD SHERMAN WAS ON THAT LIST AND NOW HE'S THE BEST PASS DEFENDER THAT EVERYONE IS TALKING ABOUT , EVEN HAD THAT COMMERCIAL PROBABLY MADE BEFORE THE 9ers GAME....GL TO YNOT BUT PEYTON MANNING WILL GET A 2nd RING JUST LIKE ELI AND THEY'LL BE HAVING THE NEXT COMMERCIALS

lol alot u know about wagering. there is more than for every $2bet on den for every one on seattle. the line moves according to what the public bets. most ordinary ppl would have set this game at -4 for the broncos or more. seattle has  been the most disrespected of the top tier teams at the betting window this whole season

I'll be at the LVH this weekend....sending a friend request

Long methodical drives will keep Seattle D on field they will b tired in the 4th Q
JMO

Bol bro - I think you gonna cash well in this matchup.

If Seattle win this game, I believe Wilson will be spectacular and he will win the MVP IMO cause they will need that kind of game from him. He is prolly the biggest underdog on that team.

Adding: Denver team total under 24.5 

Best of luck bro, you and I are on opposite ends here with about the same amount of money on the line.

Yes, the public is all over Manning.  The sharp money will put the line at -1.5 Denver or less at the kick off.  Regardless, we will see a great Super Bowl.  Looking forward to it.  Just can't see Denver flying home with the Lombardi trophy.  If they do, so be it.  I think "person" Sherman and the thugs from the Pacific Northwest are gonna bring this one home though! 

Don't know too much about gambling but why is Vegas letting the sharps bet the ML and giving Denver +. Also, remember the Vikings with Purple people eaters defense never won and neither did the Rams with the Fearsome Foursome. Also, the 2 QBs that lost to the Ravens and TB great defenses were Kerry Collins and Rick Gannon.

Denver is 3-3 while losing the TO battle to a playoff team.

Seattle is 5-0 while winning the TO battle VS a playoff team.

Why were the 90 Giants 7 pt dogs to the Bills ?

Why was 2002 Tampa 3 pt dogs to the Raiders ?

 

YNOT_15 your right on target with Seat. They win next year to.

  BOL

[Quote: Origy Posted by YNOT_15] Yes, 11-11 or as Richard Sherman would say, "mediocre, mediocre...at best." He is however the greatest regular season QB of all time.   [/Quote]

LV opening the line at Seattle -1 seems strange.   They had to know they could open the line at Denver -2.5 and still gotten a lot of Denver action.  But they didn't.

It really seems like they were begging for Denver action.  Almost like a home seller listing the price at a 10% discount, hoping to create a bidding frenzy. 

Who knows how the game will turn out, but it seems like oddsmakers are taking a stance.  They know they'll get unbalanced action toward Denver and they're perfectly fine with it.   IMO

In short, I think LV is betting on Seattle. They'll probably be fine even if Denver wins -- but they'll make a lot more if Seattle wins.