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SUPERBOWL!!!! Pick n writeup coming...

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Legend
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Posted: #26
Quote Originally Posted by NinjaNight:

I swear Rams seem like a super stacked team I'd make in the Madden games lmao.

I even forgot to mention the kicker. They're loaded with talent all over the place...

Ironically, Madden Super Bowl LIII simulation has 38-31, Patriots win. 

That appears to be serious dooming forecast for the LA Rams and their backers. Madden SB simulations have earned pretty accurate predictions. 

link:

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/super-bowl-2019-madden-simulation-patriots-sneak-past-rams-in-wild-fashion-for-sixth-lombardi-trophy/
 
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Posted: #27
(All of the following adjusted for opponent strength to have the most accurate measurement)

Rams & Patriots offenses almost exactly the same level of performance in these playoffs.

Rams defense slightly better

Patriots special teams slightly better

Going purely by this it's tempting to just take the clutch team with the greatest QB & coach.
 
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by Europa:


Ironically, Madden Super Bowl LIII simulation has 38-31, Patriots win. 

That appears to be serious dooming forecast for the LA Rams and their backers. Madden SB simulations have earned pretty accurate predictions. 

link:

https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/super-bowl-2019-madden-simulation-patriots-sneak-past-rams-in-wild-fashion-for-sixth-lombardi-trophy/

Haha very interesting, didn't hear anything about that
 
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Posted: #29
Quote Originally Posted by NinjaNight:


Haha very interesting, didn't hear anything about that

I'm pulling for the Rams and don't like to see that prediction from that Madden Simulation for sure. 
 
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Posted: #30

Great discussion! I really appreciate the input. I’m definitely going to keep digging. I do know Pats have surprisingly had horrible 1st qtrs in these superbowls. I’m really hoping for a fast start from the Rams as that sets them up to play there style! The Rams have also proved to be very reasilent all year battling from behind as well. I’m not just going off NFC title game either. 

 
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Posted: #31

A friend of mine who couldn’t pick his nose with a shovel is on the Pats! So that counters the Madden simulator? reallyhappy Str8 up I think the guy not counting the complete obvious is like 2-5 these playoffs and that’s just SU no spreadsan_popcorn

 
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Posted: #32

He had KC vs Who Dat in the title games. Take it with a grain of salt if you want. He also had...

carolina vs Denver...Seattle vs. Pats...Pats vs. Eagles...Dodgers vs Red Sox...Dodgers vs Astros...The only one he’s got right that I’m aware of since I’ve known him is Pats vs Falcons an_popcorn

 
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Posted: #33

He also had Rockets being swept in the WCF last year. He is such a Houston hater though. 

I am worried about Gronk in this game more n more. Rams caught a huge break last week with Ben Watson being out. Rams have had no answers this year for really any TE. I expect Talib to be on Edelman? 

 
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Posted: #34
I'm considering just live betting this instead of guessing what's going to happen haha
 
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Posted: #35
In the madden simulator Goff had 3 interceptions and a fumble. I can't see that happening in reality.
 
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Posted: #36

Quote Originally Posted by NinjaNight:

In the madden simulator Goff had 3 interceptions and a fumble. I can't see that happening in reality.

Haha Goff has had a few head scratching games this year,but all were against elite D’s for the most part. He’s looked outstanding for the most part these playoffs! He’s had quite a few oh wow throws like the dime he tossed to Cooks in New Orleans! 

 
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Posted: #37

Quote Originally Posted by NinjaNight:

I'm considering just live betting this instead of guessing what's going to happen haha

I’ll definitely be live betting this game as well of course! Thinking of adding a parlay today! Jazz ML + Rams +4 (buy 1.5) +160

 
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Posted: #38

Just a thought. Don’t bet much NBA,but do use nba plays as parlay boosters sometimes 

 
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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by Htowngoat:

I’ll definitely be live betting this game as well of course! Thinking of adding a parlay today! Jazz ML + Rams +4 (buy 1.5) +160


I've been doing very well at NBA. Jazz is a little too risky there imo, Denver is top 10 in the league. I do side with Jazz, but seems too risky. I'd look at teasing Pacers with the Raptors Kawhi Leonard out and Toronto on a b2b. Or wait for a better day in NBA

Do whatever you want, just my warning attempting to help ^.^
 
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Posted: #40

Thanks for the advice! I’ve done a little digging into that Raptor/Pacer game! 

I feel like the Jazz are about to make one of there historical runs again in Mormon land at home. They have owned Denver at home for the last decade if memory serves me correct 

 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by Htowngoat:

Thanks for the advice! I’ve done a little digging into that Raptor/Pacer game! 

I feel like the Jazz are about to make one of there historical runs again in Mormon land at home. They have owned Denver at home for the last decade if memory serves me correct 


Interesting, maybe so! Cool, like I said I like the Jazz anyway I might have money on them tonight. 
 
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Posted: #42
Quote Originally Posted by Htowngoat:

Thanks for the advice! I’ve done a little digging into that Raptor/Pacer game! 

I feel like the Jazz are about to make one of there historical runs again in Mormon land at home. They have owned Denver at home for the last decade if memory serves me correct 


LC has a 5 unit play on the Jazz. He almost always wins those. All systems are go! Haha
 
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Posted: #43

Did a str8 bet on Jazz -3.5 -108 already! 

Also! Parlay...

jazz -3...heat -5...pistons +4.5...Rams +4

+970

 
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Posted: #44

Str8 bet is for 2 units 

parlay is for 0.2 units 

 
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Posted: #45

Agreed with your pick. BOL

 
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Posted: #46
I just noticed the Rams have a great chance to win this if they contain the Patriots running game. Check out my "Major advantage for the Rams" thread
 
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Posted: #47

All MVP bets...

Suh 125-1 (0.2 units) 

Talib 80-1 (0.1 units) 

legatron 125-1 (0.1 units) 

 
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Posted: #48

Quote Originally Posted by Htowngoat:

Quick adds... Revenge from 2001 Brandon Cooks against his all teams! He burned the Saints twice this year! Once in the regular season. Then again on Sunday.  Rams are no doubt in my mind the more athletic team on both sides of the ball. Sure,Belichek is the god. Sure he will always take XYZ away from the opposing team. But will he? He didn't fair so well against the Falcons who were just as loaded if not more loaded then this Rams team. Julio shreeded them! That was the obvious stopper for the Pats.  If the Rams have any legit success running the ball. Which I believe they will! If the Rams are able to slow down the Pats run. Which I believe they will. THEY'LL WIN!  I'd say stopping Elliot and the killer 2 headed monster of Kamara/Ingram is pretty damn good! Wouldn't you?  Rams D is clicking on all levels at the perfect time!  Another revenge player! Talib island haha vs his old team

YES SIR!!!!! Huge key to the game

 
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Posted: #49

Quote Originally Posted by NinjaNight:

I just noticed the Rams have a great chance to win this if they contain the Patriots running game. Check out my "Major advantage for the Rams" thread

Love reading these discussions! 

 
 
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Posted: #50

120 mins of no holds or false starts new_praisean_popcorn

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