Superbowl Play...

If it wasn't for the worst collapse I have ever seen, I wouldn't even be making a bet and I would be watching the Packers win another Superbowl.

That said, I am now in position to make the biggest bet I have ever made on a game.  My 2nd largest bet was Auburn against FSU in the Championship game (should have won the ML wager on that too)...

Plain and simple, New England is going to win and win easily.  Seattle is not that good, and nowhere as good as they were last year. 

Yes, their D is impressive, as they kept them in the game against GB before GB decided to run and hide in the last 3 mins. 

GB dominated them for 57 mins, allowing just 7 points (because of a fake fg) and 200yds in 57 mins of that game.  That's it!! 

As shady as NE is, cheater Bill is the best out there.  He takes away what you do best and makes you beat them with your 2nd and 3rd options. 

NE will not allow to Seattle to win on the ground.  He will force Wilson to win, and we saw how that went against GB until they went to 4 man prevent to end the game.  NE secondary is much better than GB.

Just like other teams, NE will be able to run the power game on offense, as well as throw on Seattle.

Too be honest, I think this game can get very UGLY and be a 21+ win or even worse for NE. 

Seattle hasn't played very many good teams the last half of the season.  They didn't impress me against Car, they didn't impress me at all against Gb and im still shocked GB folded like they did...

My largest bet on a game, placing 80% of my online account on this game....

Without defensive scores, or very very short fields, I don't see Seattle putting up more than 17

$8k on the Pats -1 (gtbets) to win the Superbowl  

GB would have won this game

One of the best defenses of all time losing by 21 points in a superbowl simply won't happen. Even if this game was played 50 times. It wouldn't happen. That game vs GB was the only bad game Seattle has played since before Thanksgiving...and you are basing almost everything off of that game.

For the life of me I will never understand how anyone can bet against one of the best defense of all time. Probably the best secondary of all time. Clutch QB and one of best RBs in the league. AND lay points. If that's not a -EV play, I don't know what is.

If it wasn't for the worst collapse I have ever seen, I wouldn't even be making a bet and I would be watching the Packers win another Superbowl.

That said, I am now in position to make the biggest bet I have ever made on a game.  My 2nd largest bet was Auburn against FSU in the Championship game (should have won the ML wager on that too)...

Plain and simple, New England is going to win and win easily.  Seattle is not that good, and nowhere as good as they were last year. 

Yes, their D is impressive, as they kept them in the game against GB before GB decided to run and hide in the last 3 mins. 

GB dominated them for 57 mins, allowing just 7 points (because of a fake fg) and 200yds in 57 mins of that game.  That's it!! 

As shady as NE is, cheater Bill is the best out there.  He takes away what you do best and makes you beat them with your 2nd and 3rd options. 

NE will not allow to Seattle to win on the ground.  He will force Wilson to win, and we saw how that went against GB until they went to 4 man prevent to end the game.  NE secondary is much better than GB.

Just like other teams, NE will be able to run the power game on offense, as well as throw on Seattle.

Too be honest, I think this game can get very UGLY and be a 21+ win or even worse for NE. 

Seattle hasn't played very many good teams the last half of the season.  They didn't impress me against Car, they didn't impress me at all against Gb and im still shocked GB folded like they did...

My largest bet on a game, placing 80% of my online account on this game....

Without defensive scores, or very very short fields, I don't see Seattle putting up more than 17

$8k on the Pats -1 (gtbets) to win the Superbowl  

GB would have won this game

"Seattle is not at home and doesn't have their crowd.  Seattle is not the same team on the road".

I hate to be the bearer of bad news if this is what you are basing your argument on but this crowd will be 80% Seattle fans.  I have spoken to a ticket broker who claims there has been almost NO interest from NE and all the sales are coming from Seattle.  Remember last year when everyone thought it was going to be a Manning crowd?  That was on the east coast, this crowd is going to be loud as hell and it will all be coming from the 12th man.

GL either way, but don't think for a second this isn't going to have their crowd because they most certainly will.

WHO IS THE PUBLIC BETTING ON?

Seattle didn't play their worst game possible, the offense did!  The defense played AMAZING because it easily could have been 24-0 or 28-0 at half and game over...

Im not betting off 1 bad game, Im betting off their last half of the season, not playing any good teams, struggling in almost every first half and then coming on late...

Despite the score, Car was in that game until Cam threw a terrible pick 6...and Car is AWFUL...

GB flat out choked or Seattle wouldn't be here.  GB played scared and played prevent...

The one thing about NE and Bill, they wont stop scoring if they get the chance....they wont take the foot off the gas like GB did.

Seattle is not at home and doesn't have their crowd.  Seattle is not the same team on the road. 

I have many, many factors into this play...

With what GB did for the first 57 mins, that is what NE and Bill will do, and instead of only being up 16-0, 16-7 and 19-7, it will be much worse