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suuma's NFL week four

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Posted: #26
Gl tonight Suuma
 
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Posted: #27
Good Luck buddy, one of the very few times this year we matching up in plays. LETS CASH!!!!!

 
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Posted: #28

What a terrible game for Pitt. fans. I got a push and won the teaser.  Oh well.

Have fun in London, Heff.  

Hope you have time to post some w/e plays....

 
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Posted: #29
Thanks Dog my friend
 
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New York Jets -1 -105 BIG PLAY

3-0 on Jets games so why stopping? Some thoughts in post #25. Revis will play, Decker is GTD. Albert is out. Tannehill will see the gates of hell.


Atlanta Falcons -6 -109

The Falcons are on a roll, their OL is playing lights out and they won't stop here in their dome as the Panthers are going for 4-0 as well. On the Texans defense, aside from Watt no one looked good in pass rushing. The Bucs blew a lot of opportunities, should have won that game. Texans coming off a win and have Colts on a short week. Teams didn't do well in that spot in the past. Even though you don't necessarily see it in the numbers, Dan Quinn has transformed this defense into a very solid one. Very rarely rushing more than the front four so dropping the rest into tight zone coverage to force opposing QBs to beat them deep. The Falcons defense on 10yd+ throws: 9/27 33% against Eli Manning, Sam Bradford and Brandon Weeden. Ryan Mallett on 10+ throws: 19/44 43%. Dan Quinn also held replacement level QBs to 10 PPG during the last two years (counting CK7 in). Falcons should win this one comfortably.

New York Giants +5.5 -110

Bills off a huge division win and Giants on 10 days rest. Tom Coughlin is 6-0 ATS as a underdog on more than 9 days rest. This Giants team is going to be well prepared and Tyrod Tailor is missing two weapons in Watkins and McCoy. Giants are super thin and weak at safety but their both CBs should win the battle against Tyrod and his receivers here. I see a close game being decided in the fourth quarter with the Giants coming close to win this one.


Cincinnati Bengals -4 -105

Best overall team IMO. Sean Smith had a few days of practice and the Chiefs will suffer from the Gaines injury. Bengals are like the Cowboys from 2014, they are going to score their 21-35 points in every game and I don't trust Alex Smith on the road to compete here. Bengals by 14.


St. Louis Rams +7 -117

When the Rams visited the Cardinals last season, Palmer was held to 10 points through three quarters and the Rams were leading 14-10 with Austin Davis as their QB before they totally collapsed by throwing 3 INT in the last quarter. In the second game the Rams were in the worst spot ever after two consecutive shutout wins, losing 6-12 on TNF. The Rams should be 2-1 at this point and a lot of metrics look much better if Kendricks had caught that perfectly thrown 45-yd pass by Foles which probably would have led to a TD. The Cardinals played a cupcake schedule, probably the three worst defenses in the league. This is a top-3 defense with the best DL in the league. This is the first time the Cards OL will get exposed and Palmer and his offense will have a hard time scoring while the Rams should be able to score enough with help by their defense to have a shot at winning this game straight up. Gonna play a few bucks on the Rams ML.

MNF: Seattle Seahawks -9.5 -108


Have a great weekend fellas!

 
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Posted: #31
Plays look good. Agree huge on Rams/Dirty Birds
 
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Posted: #32
Jets and gmen  

GL Suuma!
 
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Posted: #33
I hope you bounce back suuma, good luck nfl is too crazy this year.
 
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Posted: #34
Why do you think shady is a notable loss? Kat Los Williams is a very talented player and o don't see a drop off.

Thoughts on Cole/SD? Love the browns dline here with injuries. Problem I have is Browns run the type of defense Rivers usually lights up.
 
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On my phone forgive the typos.
 
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Posted: #36
As always BOL Summa and have fun in London! 

Dont know how I feel about that Rams/Cardinals game. Bruce Arians and The Cardinal's look like a team with something to prove, Palmer gets to play against the team that ruined his hopes at a playoff run...I don't think he needs much motivation.

The Cardinals got into the playoffs and still won games with awful 2nd and 3rd string QBs and it's because their defense is absolutely dominant. I don't hear anyone saying they have a good D cause last year they played cupcakes. This defense is all they need, They held Ingram, Forte and Hyde to and average of 3.5 ypc, Foles has looked atrocious and he's not at home. 

Cardinal's are going let loose a 3 headed monster of Ellington and Johnson&Johnson. Rams run d is suspect and thats enough to take pressure off Palmer, whos helping Foles against this Cardinal's D?
 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by nygjmap:

As always BOL Summa and have fun in London! 

Dont know how I feel about that Rams/Cardinals game. Bruce Arians and The Cardinal's look like a team with something to prove, Palmer gets to play against the team that ruined his hopes at a playoff run...I don't think he needs much motivation.

The Cardinals got into the playoffs and still won games with awful 2nd and 3rd string QBs and it's because their defense is absolutely dominant. I don't hear anyone saying they have a good D cause last year they played cupcakes. This defense is all they need, They held Ingram, Forte and Hyde to and average of 3.5 ypc, Foles has looked atrocious and he's not at home. 

Cardinal's are going let loose a 3 headed monster of Ellington and Johnson&Johnson. Rams run d is suspect and thats enough to take pressure off Palmer, whos helping Foles against this Cardinal's D?

How is Rams defense a suspect?

Most likely the most talented D in NFL. They kept top RBs in check so far this season.

 

 
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Posted: #38
GL this week Bud 
R.I.P. Legend
 
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Posted: #39
my mind says Jets win easily without a doubt, but my gut's got a fishy feeling to refrain betting this game. The Jets are the apparent right side as i think the Dolphins will be overmatched and outcoached vs the Jets. BOL with your team

love the Giants and Rams(especially in the competitive NFC west. 7 points is alot for a division game. i say Rams win it SU and hand the Cards their first loss.. they ain't going 8-0 or was it 7-0 again i don't remember)
Sip on that plus money honey!
 
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Posted: #40
I like a lot of these plays, but I really wouldn't fade the Cardinals right now. Especially with the style of defense the Cardinals play. 

It's not necessarily that the Cardinals are really good on D, even though they are, it is that they play a Big Dime D and while their D line is great against the run, their secondary is awesome against the Pass. 

I honestly don't see the Rams scoring a TD for the second straight week personally. That O Line is just terrible in St Louis, not average, TERRIBLE. 
 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by mp5070:

How is Rams defense a suspect?

Most likely the most talented D in NFL. They kept top RBs in check so far this season.

 


Rams RUN DEFENSE (as stated above) is suspect. A hurt Lynch averaged over 4ypc and MATT JONES averaged over 6, only rb they held in check was Bell which was impressive but it was his first game back so idk. 
 
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Posted: #42
no Iupati. big test for the Cardinal O-line and their pass protection

Rams secondary looks legit as well and i think they can be disruptive against Carson Palmer. look for some INTs from Palmer. Both teams will need to run the ball on each other.  i'm liking the Under alot better than the side. The Rams can't seem to get going on offense but i also think 7 points is too much. 
Sip on that plus money honey!
 
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Posted: #43
i take that back Iupati is probable to start. hmmm. should be interesting
Sip on that plus money honey!
 
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Posted: #44
i'm taking the giants..don't bet em much, but when i do i win
 
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Posted: #45
Like the Giants and Jets (Fins need to be faded till they prove something) but don't like the Bungles (as usual). I think KC rebounds. Besides, they owe me!
 
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Posted: #46
Looking at your picks I can confidently say you are indeed a good NFL analyst and a huge sports fan but not a good handicapper.

Most of your picks are based on "this team is on fire".

Betting with your heart.

Vegas is going to bathe in a bathtub full of Beluga caviar tonight.
 
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Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by suuma:

New York Jets -1 -105 BIG PLAY

3-0 on Jets games so why stopping? Some thoughts in post #25. Revis will play, Decker is GTD. Albert is out. Tannehill will see the gates of hell.


Atlanta Falcons -6 -109

The Falcons are on a roll, their OL is playing lights out and they won't stop here in their dome as the Panthers are going for 4-0 as well. On the Texans defense, aside from Watt no one looked good in pass rushing. The Bucs blew a lot of opportunities, should have won that game. Texans coming off a win and have Colts on a short week. Teams didn't do well in that spot in the past. Even though you don't necessarily see it in the numbers, Dan Quinn has transformed this defense into a very solid one. Very rarely rushing more than the front four so dropping the rest into tight zone coverage to force opposing QBs to beat them deep. The Falcons defense on 10yd+ throws: 9/27 33% against Eli Manning, Sam Bradford and Brandon Weeden. Ryan Mallett on 10+ throws: 19/44 43%. Dan Quinn also held replacement level QBs to 10 PPG during the last two years (counting CK7 in). Falcons should win this one comfortably.

New York Giants +5.5 -110

Bills off a huge division win and Giants on 10 days rest. Tom Coughlin is 6-0 ATS as a underdog on more than 9 days rest. This Giants team is going to be well prepared and Tyrod Tailor is missing two weapons in Watkins and McCoy. Giants are super thin and weak at safety but their both CBs should win the battle against Tyrod and his receivers here. I see a close game being decided in the fourth quarter with the Giants coming close to win this one.


Cincinnati Bengals -4 -105

Best overall team IMO. Sean Smith had a few days of practice and the Chiefs will suffer from the Gaines injury. Bengals are like the Cowboys from 2014, they are going to score their 21-35 points in every game and I don't trust Alex Smith on the road to compete here. Bengals by 14.


St. Louis Rams +7 -117

When the Rams visited the Cardinals last season, Palmer was held to 10 points through three quarters and the Rams were leading 14-10 with Austin Davis as their QB before they totally collapsed by throwing 3 INT in the last quarter. In the second game the Rams were in the worst spot ever after two consecutive shutout wins, losing 6-12 on TNF. The Rams should be 2-1 at this point and a lot of metrics look much better if Kendricks had caught that perfectly thrown 45-yd pass by Foles which probably would have led to a TD. The Cardinals played a cupcake schedule, probably the three worst defenses in the league. This is a top-3 defense with the best DL in the league. This is the first time the Cards OL will get exposed and Palmer and his offense will have a hard time scoring while the Rams should be able to score enough with help by their defense to have a shot at winning this game straight up. Gonna play a few bucks on the Rams ML.

MNF: Seattle Seahawks -9.5 -108


Have a great weekend fellas!


King of Queens: I agree on Cin. and Giants. 

If Foster returns does that concern you? ATL has been playing well but giving up almost a TD is tough. Texans have a great front 7 with Clowney, Watts and Cushing. Foster with Hopkins can probably score on the ATL defense. Not sure if ATL is that much better if Foster plays.

I see you are backing the Rams again! If I choose this game, I choose Palmer and Arizona. ATS darlings, I think this team is that good and Rams may not be able to score where Cards can easily score that TD to get to neutral scoring.
 
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Posted: #48

BOL Heff,

Enjoy the game.

 
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Live it up in London, and lug back lots of loot.
 
 
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Let's go jets
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