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#1
After 5-0 and 4-1 weeks over the past two weeks, the system now sits at 62% with a 37-23 record. Trust me, I realize the sample size is way way too small to get excited. So only follow me at your own risk. I can guarantee nothing. I do know that I am now 14 games over .500 which is better than a sharp steak in the eye :-)
As I've maintained all along, the only way to establish if any system is good is to test it by predicting games in advance, in public, and over many many hundreds of trials. I do not wish to post more than 5 system picks a week, as that increases my success rate, and it's also consistent with my Westgate SuperContest system card. So far so good, but at the same time, so far from being acknowledged as any good! I am hopeful that it is great since I have modeled this monster on over 8000 games and have used the highest level of analysis possible using stats, football expertise, and even psychology, but until it's a proven public success with doing well in the Super Contest and/or showing the success right here publicly, I am humble and realize that 50 games does not a system make.
Having said all that, I am very excited about what is brewing. I will let you know my 5 system picks later this week after the Westgate contestants have made their picks, so by Saturday later in the day. Occasionally I will make the picks earlier to include the Thursday game, but I am not doing that this week. In other words, hint, that is not in my view a good game to bet on!
But as a little preview, and to see what the readers think, here is an extremely early and far from complete review of what looks possibly good so far this week:
Jets +7 (vs. Steelers)
Bucc +6 (vs. Panthers)
Bills +3 (vs. Rams)
Browns +10 (vs. Patriots)
Titans +3.5 (vs. Dolphins)
Now keep in mind, those picks might change drastically by the time I present my actual picks Saturday, but if I had to make them today, that would be my card.
Thoughts?
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