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HOUSTON AT CLEVELAND:
Cleveland has stayed solid on the key number of -3. It tells you a lot about the relative skepticism of the Browns as a playoff contender that they rate even with the Texans on a neutral field. Home field advantage is generally worth three points in the NFL. Sometimes more in situations like this where a team from the South is facing a team from the North in cold temperatures. Houston did have a bye last week though, which is probably getting some consideration in the number. Note that Ryan Mallet will be making his first career NFL start this week. A lot of Sharps do respect his big arm. If the public drives the game off the three, expect Sharps to bet the game back to the number. The opening total is down a half a point from the opener of 42. .
MINNESOTA AT CHICAGO:
Another game frozen on the key number of three. Chicago’s fallen very quickly in Vegas ratings. They might have been -5 or -6 if this game had been played a month ago. But, very poor showings in recent weeks have made it clear that Chicago doesn’t have a playoff caliber team. Worse, the bulk of the roster may have given up on the head coach and/or the starting quarterback. Given that this game has stayed on the three so long, you can assume here as well that Sharps would fade any public move off -3.
PHILADELPHIA AT GREEN BAY:
Looks like a tug-of-war developing between Green Bay -5.5 and Philadelphia +6. Both teams are getting respect from Sharps in recent weeks. And, Mark Sanchez showed enough this past Monday Night to keep him from being an auto-fade in a big game like this. Smart money preferring the Packers is in at the opener. More might come in on the six if it looks like the public is going to pound the Packers. Sharps will take a position on six then come back on the Eagles at +7 to maximize their profit options. If the public doesn’t flood Green Bay, the tug-of-war that’s already in play would likely continue. The opening total of 56.5 has been bet down to 54.5, possibly because game-time temperatures will be in the 20’s. Note that this is a time change to a later start for a better TV window.
Cleveland has stayed solid on the key number of -3. It tells you a lot about the relative skepticism of the Browns as a playoff contender that they rate even with the Texans on a neutral field. Home field advantage is generally worth three points in the NFL. Sometimes more in situations like this where a team from the South is facing a team from the North in cold temperatures. Houston did have a bye last week though, which is probably getting some consideration in the number. Note that Ryan Mallet will be making his first career NFL start this week. A lot of Sharps do respect his big arm. If the public drives the game off the three, expect Sharps to bet the game back to the number. The opening total is down a half a point from the opener of 42. .
MINNESOTA AT CHICAGO:
Another game frozen on the key number of three. Chicago’s fallen very quickly in Vegas ratings. They might have been -5 or -6 if this game had been played a month ago. But, very poor showings in recent weeks have made it clear that Chicago doesn’t have a playoff caliber team. Worse, the bulk of the roster may have given up on the head coach and/or the starting quarterback. Given that this game has stayed on the three so long, you can assume here as well that Sharps would fade any public move off -3.
PHILADELPHIA AT GREEN BAY:
Looks like a tug-of-war developing between Green Bay -5.5 and Philadelphia +6. Both teams are getting respect from Sharps in recent weeks. And, Mark Sanchez showed enough this past Monday Night to keep him from being an auto-fade in a big game like this. Smart money preferring the Packers is in at the opener. More might come in on the six if it looks like the public is going to pound the Packers. Sharps will take a position on six then come back on the Eagles at +7 to maximize their profit options. If the public doesn’t flood Green Bay, the tug-of-war that’s already in play would likely continue. The opening total of 56.5 has been bet down to 54.5, possibly because game-time temperatures will be in the 20’s. Note that this is a time change to a later start for a better TV window.
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