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OAKLAND AT KANSAS CITY:
An opener of Kansas City -12 was bet down to -10. I’ve mentioned recently that Sharps have fallen out of love with the Chiefs. Oakland showed up for the first game against their divisional rivals, and played well last week against local rival San Francisco. The old school guys who bet all double digit dogs and the quants thought the opener was out of line. No interest yet on the Over/Under.
JACKSONVILLE AT BALTIMORE:
An opener of Baltimore -13.5 has mostly stood pat, though some stores have tested the key number of -14. The Ravens would have been bet immediately up to -14 if Sharps had liked them with any sort of passion. Most of those preferring the dog (including the old school guys) are waiting to see if +14 becomes more widely available after the public gets involved. This isn’t likely to be a heavily bet game. It´s fairly certain there would be more interest on the Jaguars +14 than there’s been so far on the Ravens -13.5.
PITTSBURGH AT ATLANTA:
Pittsburgh opened at -2.5, and wasn’t bet up to three. That tells you that Sharps like Atlanta here. Most stores are now down to Atlanta +2. If the line doesn’t change from that, you can be sure that Atlanta +8 will be popular in two-team teasers because the six-point adjustment would cross both the three and the seven in one fell swoop. Though, the fact that the game’s Over/Under is so high (54.5 or 55) means that point value is cheapened a bit for teasers.
HOUSTON AT INDIANAPOLIS:
Another game that opened near a critical number and didn’t move instantly toward the favorite. Indianapolis is -6.5 at home. If Sharps liked the Colts, they would have hit that right away. Houston has been getting a lot of respect from the Wise Guys of late. Indianapolis had been, but failed to play to those loftier expectations again last week in Cleveland. If squares bet the Colts up to the key number of seven, Sharps would fade the public pretty hard on the Texans. Any time you see a football number sit on a line like 6.5 or 2.5 for a long time, Sharp inaction is a very telling indicator. The total has come down from 50 to 49 in many spots.
An opener of Kansas City -12 was bet down to -10. I’ve mentioned recently that Sharps have fallen out of love with the Chiefs. Oakland showed up for the first game against their divisional rivals, and played well last week against local rival San Francisco. The old school guys who bet all double digit dogs and the quants thought the opener was out of line. No interest yet on the Over/Under.
JACKSONVILLE AT BALTIMORE:
An opener of Baltimore -13.5 has mostly stood pat, though some stores have tested the key number of -14. The Ravens would have been bet immediately up to -14 if Sharps had liked them with any sort of passion. Most of those preferring the dog (including the old school guys) are waiting to see if +14 becomes more widely available after the public gets involved. This isn’t likely to be a heavily bet game. It´s fairly certain there would be more interest on the Jaguars +14 than there’s been so far on the Ravens -13.5.
PITTSBURGH AT ATLANTA:
Pittsburgh opened at -2.5, and wasn’t bet up to three. That tells you that Sharps like Atlanta here. Most stores are now down to Atlanta +2. If the line doesn’t change from that, you can be sure that Atlanta +8 will be popular in two-team teasers because the six-point adjustment would cross both the three and the seven in one fell swoop. Though, the fact that the game’s Over/Under is so high (54.5 or 55) means that point value is cheapened a bit for teasers.
HOUSTON AT INDIANAPOLIS:
Another game that opened near a critical number and didn’t move instantly toward the favorite. Indianapolis is -6.5 at home. If Sharps liked the Colts, they would have hit that right away. Houston has been getting a lot of respect from the Wise Guys of late. Indianapolis had been, but failed to play to those loftier expectations again last week in Cleveland. If squares bet the Colts up to the key number of seven, Sharps would fade the public pretty hard on the Texans. Any time you see a football number sit on a line like 6.5 or 2.5 for a long time, Sharp inaction is a very telling indicator. The total has come down from 50 to 49 in many spots.
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