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DETROIT AT GREEN BAY:
The market has been solid on Green Bay -7.5 all week. It’s probably telling that Lions money didn’t come in so close to the key number of seven, but, it’s also possible that Sharps prefer the dog and are waiting to see if they can get at least +8 before kickoff. The public is likely to bet a Super Bowl contending favorite in an important home game at any price that seems affordable to them. And, this one was time-changed to a later start, which gives squares more time to bet. I wouldn’t be surprised if the eight comes into play before kickoff. Note that Green Bay is in the basic strategy teaser window, and will be a popular choice at -1.5 of -2 in two-teamers. Nothing happening on the Over/Under.
JACKSONVILLE AT HOUSTON:
Houston opened at -9.5. That line didn’t rise right away to the key number of 10, but a few stores are testing it as we go to press. Houston needs to win and get a lot of help to reach the playoffs. Jacksonville is down at the bottom of the standings worrying about the draft. Sharps haven’t shown much interest, and would likely come in on the Jags if the public drives the number higher before kickoff. If Sharps had liked Houston, that -9.5 wouldn’t have lasted very long.
CINCINNATI AT PITTSBURGH: Pittsburgh opened at -3, and has been bet up to a solid -3.5. That’s a strong move even though it’s only a half a point because three is such a high percentage number. It takes strong sentiment (i.e. money) to move off a three. There wasn’t much buyback on the Bengals with the hook. Sharps were impressed that Pittsburgh handled Cincy so easily on their home field recently, and the Bengals are on a short week after beating Denver Monday Night.
INDIANAPOLIS AT TENNESSEE:
A relatively dead spot on the schedule because Indianapolis doesn’t have much motivation to play great (similar to last week in Dallas) while Tennessee has motivation to lose for the draft. The Colts opened at -7 on the road. Stores are testing -7.5 because the only money likely to come in will be on the favorite. The Over/Under is down from 48 to 46.5 on the assumption that both teams are fine with a fast game that ends quickly.
The market has been solid on Green Bay -7.5 all week. It’s probably telling that Lions money didn’t come in so close to the key number of seven, but, it’s also possible that Sharps prefer the dog and are waiting to see if they can get at least +8 before kickoff. The public is likely to bet a Super Bowl contending favorite in an important home game at any price that seems affordable to them. And, this one was time-changed to a later start, which gives squares more time to bet. I wouldn’t be surprised if the eight comes into play before kickoff. Note that Green Bay is in the basic strategy teaser window, and will be a popular choice at -1.5 of -2 in two-teamers. Nothing happening on the Over/Under.
JACKSONVILLE AT HOUSTON:
Houston opened at -9.5. That line didn’t rise right away to the key number of 10, but a few stores are testing it as we go to press. Houston needs to win and get a lot of help to reach the playoffs. Jacksonville is down at the bottom of the standings worrying about the draft. Sharps haven’t shown much interest, and would likely come in on the Jags if the public drives the number higher before kickoff. If Sharps had liked Houston, that -9.5 wouldn’t have lasted very long.
CINCINNATI AT PITTSBURGH: Pittsburgh opened at -3, and has been bet up to a solid -3.5. That’s a strong move even though it’s only a half a point because three is such a high percentage number. It takes strong sentiment (i.e. money) to move off a three. There wasn’t much buyback on the Bengals with the hook. Sharps were impressed that Pittsburgh handled Cincy so easily on their home field recently, and the Bengals are on a short week after beating Denver Monday Night.
INDIANAPOLIS AT TENNESSEE:
A relatively dead spot on the schedule because Indianapolis doesn’t have much motivation to play great (similar to last week in Dallas) while Tennessee has motivation to lose for the draft. The Colts opened at -7 on the road. Stores are testing -7.5 because the only money likely to come in will be on the favorite. The Over/Under is down from 48 to 46.5 on the assumption that both teams are fine with a fast game that ends quickly.
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