Posted:
#1
You can find this line at Jets -3 (+140) right now.
So you are going to give me almost one and half times my original bet to back the Jets laying a field goal on the road to one of the most inferior teams in all football?
Why?
Because the Dolphins beat the Raiders last week? A Raiders team that had a 10:30 pm EST start the week prior on Monday Night football who then has to take an East Coast flight and play a 1 pm EST game that Sunday (10 am in reality for them)? It was the fortunate of scheduling situations for the Dolphins to not only get a terrible Raiders team, but a terrible one on short rest.
And who had the monster game against the Raiders to lead the Dolphins to victory? Reggie Bush who came back from the dead with 175 yards!! and two TD's and Dolphin backers will depend on him again? The Jets can stop the run and at a minimum, keep it in check. Don't judge the Jets on the garbage time yardage they gave up to the Bills which inflated their OPP YPG stats so far.
Sanchez knows he needs a big win with consistent production here to keep the Tebow media and fan acolytes from screaming for his head and job. Jets have San Fran, Houston, and New England coming up in their next 3 of 4 games. If there was one game you circled on the Jets schedule as a win at the beginning of the year, it was this one. And to lay 3 to get almost 1.5 times your bet it a no-brainer. The Jets have had 5 great quarters and 3 bad ones in the past 2 games. Now they get a bad team to dominate like the Bills.
In addition, the big thing no one is talking about is that this is Tony Sparano's return home. Obviously, outside of the starting QB, he knows this team inside out and will be able to tell the Jets about every leak in their offensive and defensive games. And the starting QB for the Dolphins doesn't scare me one bit. The Jets D will pressure him more than he can handle.
Don't overthink a game like this and follow the sharp money (if that is truly what is driving this line down and the ML up).
Revis, the cornerstone of the D will almost certainly be back to give the Jets a comfortable win.
The Pick:
JETS -3 (+140) vs. Dolphins
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