1 game down,many more 2 go.i bet $110 2 get 100 on the
steelers. 4 a total of $210.4 shits and giggles i'm going 2 roll the
hold $ 210 on a 8 team parlay 4 week 1 of the pre-season.these are my
picks...
1.COWBOYS -4.5
2.LIONS
-2
3.BUCS
PK
4.JAGUARS
+1.5
5.GIANTS -1
6.BEARS
-2
7.RAIDERS
-2
8.TITANS -3
CAN SOMEONE TALK ME OUT OF IT?? BTW
IT'S $210 TO WIN $33,500..
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
1 game down,many more 2 go.i bet $110 2 get 100 on the
steelers. 4 a total of $210.4 shits and giggles i'm going 2 roll the
hold $ 210 on a 8 team parlay 4 week 1 of the pre-season.these are my
picks...
1.COWBOYS -4.5
2.LIONS
-2
3.BUCS
PK
4.JAGUARS
+1.5
5.GIANTS -1
6.BEARS
-2
7.RAIDERS
-2
8.TITANS -3
CAN SOMEONE TALK ME OUT OF IT?? BTW
IT'S $210 TO WIN $33,500..
You're pretty much giving away $210...it's nice to have a shot at $33 grr though. But, if you could really use that $210 more wisely I would. I would recommend splitting the 8 teams up into 8 straight wagers for $25 apiece. I don't know your financial situation or anything like that, but, it is YOUR money. GL...
0
You're pretty much giving away $210...it's nice to have a shot at $33 grr though. But, if you could really use that $210 more wisely I would. I would recommend splitting the 8 teams up into 8 straight wagers for $25 apiece. I don't know your financial situation or anything like that, but, it is YOUR money. GL...
come on now people, no one want's to respond to this
preceived sucka bet.personally i think it's a winner.chances are one of
them will blow my nuts off,but i'm having a hard time pinpointing that
1 game.i feel REAL GOOD about all 8.there are suppose 2 be many good
cappers on this site,yet no one has stepped up and opposed this sucka
bet..all i want is input one way or another. do i stand alone,or will
someone ride or die with me???
0
come on now people, no one want's to respond to this
preceived sucka bet.personally i think it's a winner.chances are one of
them will blow my nuts off,but i'm having a hard time pinpointing that
1 game.i feel REAL GOOD about all 8.there are suppose 2 be many good
cappers on this site,yet no one has stepped up and opposed this sucka
bet..all i want is input one way or another. do i stand alone,or will
someone ride or die with me???
L8kersFan74 ! why do you feel that i'm giving away the $.if
you look at the games,i mean really look at them,it's hard to see them
going any other way than what i picked.of course anything can
happen,but i truly like my chances in these particular game
situations.1 game has nothing 2 do with the other.they are there own
self contained entities.week 1 of the pre-season and week 1 of the rg.
season are by far the best weekstoo me anyway to beat the oddsmakers.i
do appreiciate the input..i need more please..bring it..like i said,i
am new and need lots of different perspectives to make winning
selections..
0
L8kersFan74 ! why do you feel that i'm giving away the $.if
you look at the games,i mean really look at them,it's hard to see them
going any other way than what i picked.of course anything can
happen,but i truly like my chances in these particular game
situations.1 game has nothing 2 do with the other.they are there own
self contained entities.week 1 of the pre-season and week 1 of the rg.
season are by far the best weekstoo me anyway to beat the oddsmakers.i
do appreiciate the input..i need more please..bring it..like i said,i
am new and need lots of different perspectives to make winning
selections..
I hope you win the first 7 games, then Francisco Cordero comes in with 3 seconds left on the clock and hooks a chip shot field goal to blow up your parlay.
0
I hope you win the first 7 games, then Francisco Cordero comes in with 3 seconds left on the clock and hooks a chip shot field goal to blow up your parlay.
I hope you win the first 7 games, then Francisco Cordero comes in with 3 seconds left on the clock and hooks a chip shot field goal to blow up your parlay.
0
Quote Originally Posted by BostonKen:
I hope you win the first 7 games, then Francisco Cordero comes in with 3 seconds left on the clock and hooks a chip shot field goal to blow up your parlay.
You want an statistical reason why not to do this fine:
First, Parlays are meant for bookmen to get their money back by reeling-in low to medium cash bettors. Second, if a regular capper has a hard time going on a winning streak (3 or more games won in a row) why would you try to win every scheduled game? Finally, one can only find two main reasons why to bet parlays; the events of a parlay bet can have some level of correlation, meaning to say the two or more outcomes are connected in some way that makes it more likely if one outcome wins that the other will also. And finally, parlays are acceptable if you have a significant enough advantage on a multiple single bet plays.
Now lets talk percentages and I will give YOU the chance to convince me to joint YOU on a nice and dreamful journey leading to defit by players and coaches how could care less about NFLX while they finish signing contracts and stablishing positions:
Wager
Odds
W%
ROI
W%
ROI
W%
ROI
W%
ROI
W%
ROI
single
10/11
60%
1.15
57%
1.09
55%
1.05
53%
1.01
50%
0.95
team
13/5
36%
1.30
32%
1.17
30%
1.09
28%
1.01
25%
0.90
team
6/1
22%
1.51
19%
1.30
17%
1.16
15%
1.04
13%
0.88
4-team
12/1
13%
1.68
11%
1.37
9%
1.19
8%
1.03
6%
0.81
5-team
25/1
8%
2.02
6%
1.56
5%
1.31
4%
1.09
3%
0.81
I only gave you a 5 team parlay since going on anything under the two team parlay winning percentages should be a good enough reason why to forget about that bet, save your money and then rollover on easy or at least more aceptable wagers on sides.
But, the again, I am new here and everyone is allowed to do as the please with their money so read my info and then decided!
Good luck either way AND I mean no disrespect with my post!!
0
You want an statistical reason why not to do this fine:
First, Parlays are meant for bookmen to get their money back by reeling-in low to medium cash bettors. Second, if a regular capper has a hard time going on a winning streak (3 or more games won in a row) why would you try to win every scheduled game? Finally, one can only find two main reasons why to bet parlays; the events of a parlay bet can have some level of correlation, meaning to say the two or more outcomes are connected in some way that makes it more likely if one outcome wins that the other will also. And finally, parlays are acceptable if you have a significant enough advantage on a multiple single bet plays.
Now lets talk percentages and I will give YOU the chance to convince me to joint YOU on a nice and dreamful journey leading to defit by players and coaches how could care less about NFLX while they finish signing contracts and stablishing positions:
Wager
Odds
W%
ROI
W%
ROI
W%
ROI
W%
ROI
W%
ROI
single
10/11
60%
1.15
57%
1.09
55%
1.05
53%
1.01
50%
0.95
team
13/5
36%
1.30
32%
1.17
30%
1.09
28%
1.01
25%
0.90
team
6/1
22%
1.51
19%
1.30
17%
1.16
15%
1.04
13%
0.88
4-team
12/1
13%
1.68
11%
1.37
9%
1.19
8%
1.03
6%
0.81
5-team
25/1
8%
2.02
6%
1.56
5%
1.31
4%
1.09
3%
0.81
I only gave you a 5 team parlay since going on anything under the two team parlay winning percentages should be a good enough reason why to forget about that bet, save your money and then rollover on easy or at least more aceptable wagers on sides.
But, the again, I am new here and everyone is allowed to do as the please with their money so read my info and then decided!
Good luck either way AND I mean no disrespect with my post!!
point well taken Actiontime,but these stats seem better
suited for the regular season.IF YOU LOOK AT THE GAMES you will see a
advantage for all of the teams chosen in the game situation they are in
this particular week only.cowboys(new coach at home against super bowl
champs reeling in injurys and free agent losses).lions(at home loaded
with talent needing to prove themselves to the detroit faithful).tampa
bay(qb competition at home against perceived league powerhouse need i
say more).jaguars(qb position deep and talented i can't say the same
for the dolphins).giants(at home with a competitive head coach and
gilbride as new off. coord. if you recall when they were together in
jacksonville the jags were world beaters in the pre-season).bears(tough
one,but they are deep at qb position with all having started and
winning in reg season).raiders(at home with a qb competition and 3 qb's
anxious to prove themselves and a good defense backing them
up.).titans(fisher likes to win in the pre-season.combined with tough
competition at the rb and wr positions,playing at
home,young,collins,and tim rattay as the only qb's that i know of on
the roster equals a win and cover against the skins.).I LIKE MY CHANCES
HERE GIVEN EACH GAME SITUATION.this is not something i would do in the
reg. season,but here,it seems to fit right now.i might be wrong.but why
not take the shot?
0
point well taken Actiontime,but these stats seem better
suited for the regular season.IF YOU LOOK AT THE GAMES you will see a
advantage for all of the teams chosen in the game situation they are in
this particular week only.cowboys(new coach at home against super bowl
champs reeling in injurys and free agent losses).lions(at home loaded
with talent needing to prove themselves to the detroit faithful).tampa
bay(qb competition at home against perceived league powerhouse need i
say more).jaguars(qb position deep and talented i can't say the same
for the dolphins).giants(at home with a competitive head coach and
gilbride as new off. coord. if you recall when they were together in
jacksonville the jags were world beaters in the pre-season).bears(tough
one,but they are deep at qb position with all having started and
winning in reg season).raiders(at home with a qb competition and 3 qb's
anxious to prove themselves and a good defense backing them
up.).titans(fisher likes to win in the pre-season.combined with tough
competition at the rb and wr positions,playing at
home,young,collins,and tim rattay as the only qb's that i know of on
the roster equals a win and cover against the skins.).I LIKE MY CHANCES
HERE GIVEN EACH GAME SITUATION.this is not something i would do in the
reg. season,but here,it seems to fit right now.i might be wrong.but why
not take the shot?
I wish you the best, but do not forget that math and statistics have nothing to do with preseason or favorites , , , the are numbers and meant to be looked at as numbers regardless on which side of the board they are on.
Gambling is an enterprise just like any other businesses and they will only offer what is best for the house if they are willing to pay you x by x, then you should know that their return is about 100x by 1x!! By this I mean all advantages are on the house and that is why they are often called sucker bets, eventually someone will hit one of these and I really hope it is you . . . just remember a smart gambler is a profitable gambler and a greedy gamblers is just a gambler!
Last year I had 4 friends try to get me to jump in on a 10K 4 team parlay with them and I decided to go with the my straight bet . . . they got paid 8 to 1 since it was MLB and I got paid 1 to 1, so that fact is that people can make a lot of money in these long shots, but will eventually give it all back . . . I guarantee you that you will keep trying to hit more if you win this one like my friends and end up losing more than what you started with at the long run thinking that it will happen again or that if you hit an 8 teamer why not a 4 or 5 team parlay now!!
Anyways, good luck and hope you get this one in a life time cashing type of bet and then when you do leave them alone and go back to straight bets which is where the real and somewhat more secure money will be!
0
I wish you the best, but do not forget that math and statistics have nothing to do with preseason or favorites , , , the are numbers and meant to be looked at as numbers regardless on which side of the board they are on.
Gambling is an enterprise just like any other businesses and they will only offer what is best for the house if they are willing to pay you x by x, then you should know that their return is about 100x by 1x!! By this I mean all advantages are on the house and that is why they are often called sucker bets, eventually someone will hit one of these and I really hope it is you . . . just remember a smart gambler is a profitable gambler and a greedy gamblers is just a gambler!
Last year I had 4 friends try to get me to jump in on a 10K 4 team parlay with them and I decided to go with the my straight bet . . . they got paid 8 to 1 since it was MLB and I got paid 1 to 1, so that fact is that people can make a lot of money in these long shots, but will eventually give it all back . . . I guarantee you that you will keep trying to hit more if you win this one like my friends and end up losing more than what you started with at the long run thinking that it will happen again or that if you hit an 8 teamer why not a 4 or 5 team parlay now!!
Anyways, good luck and hope you get this one in a life time cashing type of bet and then when you do leave them alone and go back to straight bets which is where the real and somewhat more secure money will be!
Actiontime! parlays aren't something i do very
often.straight bets are the way 2 go.however,this week with the
numbers(spread), player, and coaching situations it seems like
lightning can be caught in a bottle..THIS TIME.
0
Actiontime! parlays aren't something i do very
often.straight bets are the way 2 go.however,this week with the
numbers(spread), player, and coaching situations it seems like
lightning can be caught in a bottle..THIS TIME.
You're pretty much giving away $210...it's nice to have a shot at $33 grr though. But, if you could really use that $210 more wisely I would. I would recommend splitting the 8 teams up into 8 straight wagers for $25 apiece. I don't know your financial situation or anything like that, but, it is YOUR money. GL...
Take this advice. If you feel like parlaying, wait until it's even possible to have a shot. It's preseason man. GL
0
Quote Originally Posted by L8kersFan74:
You're pretty much giving away $210...it's nice to have a shot at $33 grr though. But, if you could really use that $210 more wisely I would. I would recommend splitting the 8 teams up into 8 straight wagers for $25 apiece. I don't know your financial situation or anything like that, but, it is YOUR money. GL...
Take this advice. If you feel like parlaying, wait until it's even possible to have a shot. It's preseason man. GL
Euler,i feel like i have better than a good shot.i know it's
pre-season.that's why i'm taking the chance.LOOK AT THE SITUATIONS
HERE. I MEAN REALLY LOOK AT THEM.i know 1 of them could fuck me
over,but can you look at the games and tell me which one is most likely
2 do it..it's not easy.that's WHY MY NUTS ARE HANGIN DOWN TO THE
FLOOR.ANYBODY HAVE A 12 GAUGE 2 BLOW THEM OFF OR WHAT??all arguments
are decent,but not convincing enough.the statistical analysis are
better suited for the regular season.i don't think u guys are
considering the coaching angles here.it could be possible you all are
thrown off by the fact it's 8 games.ALL I'M SAYING IS LOOK AT THE GAMES
THEMSELVES,NOT THE NUMBER OF GAMES BEING PLAYED......
0
Euler,i feel like i have better than a good shot.i know it's
pre-season.that's why i'm taking the chance.LOOK AT THE SITUATIONS
HERE. I MEAN REALLY LOOK AT THEM.i know 1 of them could fuck me
over,but can you look at the games and tell me which one is most likely
2 do it..it's not easy.that's WHY MY NUTS ARE HANGIN DOWN TO THE
FLOOR.ANYBODY HAVE A 12 GAUGE 2 BLOW THEM OFF OR WHAT??all arguments
are decent,but not convincing enough.the statistical analysis are
better suited for the regular season.i don't think u guys are
considering the coaching angles here.it could be possible you all are
thrown off by the fact it's 8 games.ALL I'M SAYING IS LOOK AT THE GAMES
THEMSELVES,NOT THE NUMBER OF GAMES BEING PLAYED......
1 game down,many more 2 go.i bet $110 2 get 100 on the steelers. 4 a total of $210.4 shits and giggles i'm going 2 roll the hold $ 210 on a 8 team parlay 4 week 1 of the pre-season.these are my picks...
1.COWBOYS -4.5 i like the Cowboys to win at home with teaser pts
2.LIONS -2 i like the Lions to win at home with teaser pts
3.BUCS PK i like TB plus teaser pts
4.JAGUARS +1.5 i'm passing on this one
5.GIANTS -1 i'm passing on this one
6.BEARS -2 i would go with teaser un 38.5
7.RAIDERS -2 i like Oak to win at home with teaser pts
8.TITANS -3 i would go with teaser un 41.5
CAN SOMEONE TALK ME OUT OF IT??
BTW IT'S $210 TO WIN $33,500..
6 game / 6 pt teaser
Det + 4
Dal + 1.5
TB + 5
Chi-Hou un 38.5
Oak + 4
Was-Ten un 41.5
the teaser odds here are only x 7
but i think this has a better chance to hit than your parlay
does your book allow teasers ?
imho
0
Quote Originally Posted by mmstinson98:
1 game down,many more 2 go.i bet $110 2 get 100 on the steelers. 4 a total of $210.4 shits and giggles i'm going 2 roll the hold $ 210 on a 8 team parlay 4 week 1 of the pre-season.these are my picks...
1.COWBOYS -4.5 i like the Cowboys to win at home with teaser pts
2.LIONS -2 i like the Lions to win at home with teaser pts
3.BUCS PK i like TB plus teaser pts
4.JAGUARS +1.5 i'm passing on this one
5.GIANTS -1 i'm passing on this one
6.BEARS -2 i would go with teaser un 38.5
7.RAIDERS -2 i like Oak to win at home with teaser pts
8.TITANS -3 i would go with teaser un 41.5
CAN SOMEONE TALK ME OUT OF IT??
BTW IT'S $210 TO WIN $33,500..
6 game / 6 pt teaser
Det + 4
Dal + 1.5
TB + 5
Chi-Hou un 38.5
Oak + 4
Was-Ten un 41.5
the teaser odds here are only x 7
but i think this has a better chance to hit than your parlay
no teasers for pre-season football.i live in las vegas.i'm
not a rookie at betting football.i'm new to this website...father time
will let us know either the foolishness or wisdom of my ways.THIS WEEK
ONLY LADIES AND GENTLEMAN.THAT SEEMS 2 BE LOST ON MOST OF YOU..
0
no teasers for pre-season football.i live in las vegas.i'm
not a rookie at betting football.i'm new to this website...father time
will let us know either the foolishness or wisdom of my ways.THIS WEEK
ONLY LADIES AND GENTLEMAN.THAT SEEMS 2 BE LOST ON MOST OF YOU..
The smoking 12 gauge will be all the games you have that is less then a FG to cover. That is your smoking gun. Games that can go either way usually do. I hope you hit it and I might bet it myself, but the 12 gauge is right in front of you cocked and loaded. But you seem to have a selective reading impariment. Maybe seeing the doc for 210.00 will cure it.
0
The smoking 12 gauge will be all the games you have that is less then a FG to cover. That is your smoking gun. Games that can go either way usually do. I hope you hit it and I might bet it myself, but the 12 gauge is right in front of you cocked and loaded. But you seem to have a selective reading impariment. Maybe seeing the doc for 210.00 will cure it.
The smoking 12 gauge will be
all the games you have that is less then a FG to cover. That is
your smoking gun. Games that can go either way usually do. I hope you
hit it and I might bet it myself, but the 12 gauge is right in front of
you cocked and loaded. But you seem to have a selective reading
impariment. Maybe seeing the doc for 210.00 will cure it.
a smoking gun implies it's already been fired.yet i still
stand.the line is what it is to generate equal action on both sides.it
has very little to with what's going on on the gridiron.HAS ANYONE
REALLY LOOKED AT THESE GAMES.PRE-SEASON FOOTBALL SHOULD BE CALLED
(SITUATION FOOTBALL).JUST LOOK AT THEM.i'm trying to feed you,but you
don't want to eat...i also have my straight bets,so i feel like this is
a risk worth taking.(IF YOU TRULY OPEN YOUR EYES AND LOOK)YOU GUYS ARE
HUNG UP ON THE TOTAL # OF GAMES BEING PLAYED,NOT TAKING INTO
CONSIDERATION THE GAMES THEMSELVES..i admit i could be wrong that's the
nature of gambling,but it is also about taking risk...(THIS IS A GOOD
ONE)..AND YES I AM STUBBORN..BUT THAT'S WHY I LIVE THE WAY I
LIVE....GOOD,HARD,AND FAST..it has served me well my 40+ years on this
big blue marble...
0
Quote Originally Posted by jfflee:
The smoking 12 gauge will be
all the games you have that is less then a FG to cover. That is
your smoking gun. Games that can go either way usually do. I hope you
hit it and I might bet it myself, but the 12 gauge is right in front of
you cocked and loaded. But you seem to have a selective reading
impariment. Maybe seeing the doc for 210.00 will cure it.
a smoking gun implies it's already been fired.yet i still
stand.the line is what it is to generate equal action on both sides.it
has very little to with what's going on on the gridiron.HAS ANYONE
REALLY LOOKED AT THESE GAMES.PRE-SEASON FOOTBALL SHOULD BE CALLED
(SITUATION FOOTBALL).JUST LOOK AT THEM.i'm trying to feed you,but you
don't want to eat...i also have my straight bets,so i feel like this is
a risk worth taking.(IF YOU TRULY OPEN YOUR EYES AND LOOK)YOU GUYS ARE
HUNG UP ON THE TOTAL # OF GAMES BEING PLAYED,NOT TAKING INTO
CONSIDERATION THE GAMES THEMSELVES..i admit i could be wrong that's the
nature of gambling,but it is also about taking risk...(THIS IS A GOOD
ONE)..AND YES I AM STUBBORN..BUT THAT'S WHY I LIVE THE WAY I
LIVE....GOOD,HARD,AND FAST..it has served me well my 40+ years on this
big blue marble...
why not have a little extra pts insurance with the teaser
the only way i play preseason online is with teasers
" it's too bad " you don't have the opportunity to play teasers
teasers don't pay enough.i gamble on sports for fun as well as
a living.i do alright if i do say so myself.your reason may be
different.hence your conservativness.when i gamble(I WANT THE WHOLE
CAKE AND THE CRUMBS TO),and sometimes i lick the bowl (parlays).
0
Quote Originally Posted by NFL:
what would you rather have
Det + 4 or Det - 2
Dal + 1.5 or Dal - 4.5
i like both teams to win SU at home
why not have a little extra pts insurance with the teaser
the only way i play preseason online is with teasers
" it's too bad " you don't have the opportunity to play teasers
teasers don't pay enough.i gamble on sports for fun as well as
a living.i do alright if i do say so myself.your reason may be
different.hence your conservativness.when i gamble(I WANT THE WHOLE
CAKE AND THE CRUMBS TO),and sometimes i lick the bowl (parlays).
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.,but i did ask for all perspectives
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