Okay, okay, okay. First off, I like SD a lot more if Paxton Lynch is playing. If in fact Siemian is playing I like SD a lot less, and it looks like it'll be a game time decision or close to it. That being said even if Siemian plays, I'm still holding my bet of SD +4.
I have an entire system I've build over decades of sports gambling that I use to assist me in selecting only the best games. However, based on all public accessabke data, I like them for the following reasons.
- Kubiak is out as HC for this game and I respect his style. Without him, the lose a sideline and strategy leader.
- Denver has a potent defense but SD has an explosive offensive. It reminds me of the Falcons last week.
- SD can put up a lot of points and could be 5-0. I believe most of there losses came from stupid mistakes in the 4th quarter.
- Like getting them plus 4 cause even if Denver wins, I can see them winning by a FG
- SD has stayed close in every game, losing by just a couple of points each game. I think there largest loss was by 6.
- SD is putting up over 30 points in a game
- Rivers had a terrible game. If he can hook up with Gates, and Melvin Gordon can get some rushing, I think they will play well.
- SD needs this win. Their HQ McCoy needs to turn this team around now or he may be gone and now is the best time to do this. At home, playing against a rookie or an injured QB. They will play to Denvers defense.
- SD is better in every facet of offense, yards, passing yards, points, etc. they are slightly behind in rushing. However, SD is ranked 8th in defending the rush.
- Overall not a very strong game, but I think think SD come out to win or stay within 4 points.
- That, plus my system has this game at a PK.