Posted:
#1
any valuable insight on whether i should hedge or let it ride would be greatly appreciated
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Titans +5 as last leg in a 10 team parlay $36 to win $4634...hedge or let it ride
......Hedge!
Posted:
#7
Nice position to be in. The odds say that you'd have been better off leaving the last game off of your parlay in the first place if you are just going to hedge. That being said, if you really need money, then hedge. If not, let it ride....you made great choices to get this far, so trust yourself....just my opinion
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Posted:
#11
Hedge. I've been in this position. I let the majority ride but I hedge for like $500. If you win, it doesn't cut into your profit that much. If you lose, you walk with 5 bills on a $36 wager. Some people, most people, say parlays are sucker bets. They are but if you're good enough, and lucky enough, they can be very profitable. I've won metric f*ck tons on parlays over the years and to be long term profitable with them, hedging is a must. You went 9-0. You deserve something to show for it. Hedge.
R.I.P. #94 MARSHAWN KNEELAND - DC4L
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Posted:
#15
Quote Originally Posted by DollarAndaDream:
... The odds say that you'd have been better off leaving the last game off of your parlay in the first place if you are just going to hedge...
... The odds say that you'd have been better off leaving the last game off of your parlay in the first place if you are just going to hedge...
That's all you need to know. Let it ride or don't play parlays or drop the last bet that you would hedge. You come out ahead in the long run if you parlay this way (I mean, you don't really come out ahead in parlays in general, but when you do win, this is the way to maximize winnings and minimize losses.
That and I have Dallas -4.5, so you're a lock to win since I always lose betting on or against the Titans :)
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Posted:
#21
Quote Originally Posted by statfreak:
Quote Originally Posted by justliketoplay:
need me to explain mathematically why i am correct?? You wanna be my bookie? set it up for me to be able to trust you and im in. Quote Originally Posted by statfreak:
this shouldnt ever be a question. Let it ride
Need a bookie?this shouldnt ever be a question. Let it ride
If he let's it ride and Dallas covers he will have lost $36.00 letting it ride your way correct? Now my way If he bets half of his potential winning bankroll with a titans cover on Dallas...Roughly $2300 and Titans still covers he is still up 2,530.00 Correct? 2300 lost on Dallas straight up minus 10% juice equals a lost of 2530.00 subtracted from his winnings of $4634.00 still nets him a profit of 2,104.00 correct? Now if Dallas wins and covers he wins $2300 dollars on his straight up bet on Dallas correct? He's in a win win situation doing it this way with NO RISK just sit back and enjoy the game because you are a guaranteed a couple grand either way.....Now Your mathematical explanation please statfreak?
When I win Money it's my money and NOT house money
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Posted:
#24
Quote Originally Posted by statfreak:
Quote Originally Posted by StumpTownStu:
I guarantee anyone that says let it ride is a losing gambler. Like I said, bet the $634.
I can bet you any amount you want and provide proof saying otherwise. Escrow is a must of courseI guarantee anyone that says let it ride is a losing gambler. Like I said, bet the $634.
I'll bet you any amount you want that you have a small penis. Escrow is a must, of course!
R.I.P. #94 MARSHAWN KNEELAND - DC4L
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Posted:
#25
Quote Originally Posted by JohnHyett:
when was this parlay put in? Titans opened up at +4 and it just moved to +5 today. Did you buy points when the parlay was put in to bring it to +5?
This line bounced around early in the week. I saw Dallas open -4, then it went to -5.5 and -6.5 pretty damn quick. Quick buy back followed and the line slowly trickled back down to -4. Now it gone back to -5 in the last 24 hours.
I watch these like a psycho. You can check line history at oddshark.
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