titans @ colts discussion

Question

This line has opened at colts -4 wtf? just 11 days ago colts were -2.5 at tennessee. with the 6 point swing for home field, i would have expected this line to be -8.5. vegas typically doesnt over-react to the last game and there is no significant injuries since that game 11 days ago, so what gives? even with indys recent up and down play, i would have expected this line to be at -7 at the lowest.

is this a huge red flag that the colts are out of gas, have too many injuries and linemakers think they are toast in terms of being a serious contender?

bob696969 · Answer

This line has opened at colts -4 wtf? just 11 days ago colts were -2.5 at tennessee. with the 6 point swing for home field, i would have expected this line to be -8.5. vegas typically doesnt over-react to the last game and there is no significant injuries since that game 11 days ago, so what gives? even with indys recent up and down play, i would have expected this line to be at -7 at the lowest.

is this a huge red flag that the colts are out of gas, have too many injuries and linemakers think they are toast in terms of being a serious contender?

redsxfn3321 · Answer

Fitzpatrick has had time to play with his receivers, colts got spanked yesterday and only beat Tennessee by 3.. why would you expect it to be almost 9...

bob696969 · Answer

Redsxfan - lol i gave my reason why i would expect it to be 8.5 if you can read. unless there is a specific injury reason, vegas does not overreact to last weeks game, as guys like you do. in fact, teams usually play well coming off of blowout losses.

Colts -4 is going to attract heavy colts money from day one. could see this line is upto -6.5 by gametime

TO81 · Answer

I think the line should be a pk.  Stay away game for me.

ScottomonZ · Answer

My exact read on this game...Titans &#x2B;4

HutchEmAll · Answer

If you think that, you&#x27;re an absolute fool if you don&#x27;t take TN &#x2B;4.  Are you allergic to value?

degengambler34 · Answer

Im taking the titans. This colts team is in utter disarray right now. They&#x27;ve been absolutely blasted in first halfs for a month now, not just beat but destroyed. Titans 1h, titans ml, titans &#x2B;4 for me.

redsxfn3321 · Answer

Your reasoning was because they were favored weeks ago by 3 they should be favored by 9. You&#39;re an idiot. They have two 30 point losses in the last 3 weeks. Vegas isn&#39;t overreacting,  they are adjusting the line accordingly based on idiots like you who think they are a great team when they aren&#39;t

Riceboi · Answer

I sure hope colts got blown out because they were looking ahead to this game. I got a huge parlay and I need Colts to win the division as last leg. If they tailspin; titans could take it. Never know.

zamigo6 · Answer

the colts have finally lost their status as a public favorite...they are allowed to cover again and the line is set as such

bob696969 · Answer

Redsxfan - cant read and now you are gettin emotional. not surprised coming from some with the handle "redsxfan".

note the title of my thread says "discussion". every experienced gambler on this forum will agree that homefield means 3 points and its usually a six point swing from one teams home field to another.

i did not say that the colts were a great team, in fact i specifically wrote ".....they are toast in terms of being a serious contender?"

redsxfan - just because you have the ability to speak and write, doesnt mean you have to. the world would be a better place if people like you just shut the f*ck up for a change

zamigo6 · Answer

not saying they will just saying they are allowed to...if the titans lost in oakland and the colts won at the rams this would look different

redsxfn3321 · Answer

You&#39;re name is bob696969, that&#39;s real clever and funny. You&#39;re getting butt hurt because you can&#39;t predict lines lololol. Please bet your trailer on the colts next week

bob696969 · Answer

Zamigo - thats my whole point. linemakers dont typically overreact by 4 points just becuase of the last game or becuase "fitzpartick has had more time to practice with their recievers".

tennessee won on a coinflip vs oakland and could have easily lost that. Conversely, the colts got blown out on the road vs a rising cardinals team, but the game before they were in control vs the titans in the second half. the final score in that game might have been 30-27, but titans got a late back door touchdown to make the score closer than it looked.

No doubt the colts have not played with the same consitency since the denver game and the loss of reggie wayne. but once again, the question arises, what has fundamentally changed for these teams since they played 11 days ago? i would argue nothing.

now you can argue that the colts shouldnt have been a 2.5 favorite over the titans in tennesee in the first place and that was an overreaction to the titans losing to the lowly jaguars. i can buy that argument.

bob696969 · Answer

Redsxfan - (shakes hand) we both got our shots in againts each other and it was fun. lets move on and keep this discussion analytical and logical.

Your point was that "ftizpatarick has gotten used to his recivers". that fact is not enough to swing a line by 4 points. let me ask, how would you feel about this game if the titans kicked a field goal vs the raiders to tie the game and then lost in overtime? you realize matt mcgloin drove down the lenght of the field vs this defense to take a lead in the 4th quarter

Wizerguy · Answer

Same season 2nd division revenge game.. 68% ats angle

zamigo6 · Answer

well perception at the time of the first meeting was that the colts were phenomenal and that the titans weren't any good...everyone around here thought that was a "trap" line...many of those backing the colts were as confident with that play as any...they pushed or barely won depending on your line...having watched the game the people who previously loved them were second guessing themselves (if i remember correctly the colts were down 2 tds at one point) and the people who backed the titans thought wow this titans team kind of stinks too they blew a big lead. Since then the colts lost by 29 to a team that for whatever reason public perception has been below where it should be (in my opinion) in the cardinals (granted now perception is quite high

) and the Titans won on the road and covered in a game nobody watched from the east coast.

While none of what I'm saying determines anything about the game or who to bet...when the line was set in there first meeting it sure felt like the colts are not allowed to blow the titans out tonight while getting probably over 70% of the money, but based on all of these things this time they are allowed to i'd imagine the money will be far more even this time around even though as you'd suggested based on the road line you'd expect the colts to be laying more

just how i see it GL

Riceboi · Answer

Colts roll

degengambler34 · Answer

I would not put a dime to a team that&#x27;s been outscored by a margin of 92-14 in the first half of their  last 4 games, would you??

degengambler34 · Answer

I honestly think the titans have improved offensively since locker went down. Fitzpatrick has played well in every game and doesn&#x27;t make mistakes. I see this as a fg game either way, so im riding with the titans. Perception is that the colts are a top tier team and they are not at all. Perception is that the titans are a bottom feeder and i&#x27;d disagree with that also. I see this game as a flip, so im taking the points.

rg3skins · Answer

Dude have you seen the Colts play football lately? You thought it would be -8.5? LOL.

doggs · Answer

Titans are a live dog.&#xD;&#xA;If anyone has been watching the Colts the last two games they haven&#x27;t just gotten beat they have gotten destroyed.  &#xD;&#xA;Titans have some new energy after coming from behind to beat the Raiders.  I know beating the Raiders isn&#x27;t too much to celebrate but it gave this team some confidence and belief that there is still more to play for in this season.  &#xD;&#xA;I think the Titans will win this game and the Colts just might get another thumping.

NONEED4LUCK · Answer

No way Colts should be anything over -4. They have sucked the last few weeks and really should not have won that game on Tennessee.

bmiller1632 · Answer

Bob before the arizona game the colts odds to win the bowl was 20 to 1 after that blowout loss the odds are curently 37 to 1      ..  I think its safe to say this one blowout loss to az really changed the perception of the colts atleast to linesmakers

Alldaygambler28 · Answer

The Home loss to the Rams should of done that.  This team is plain weird beating 3 of the top 5 teams in league, but they really haven&#x27;t shown garbage since Wayne went down.  They also still have a little wiggle room being up 2 games ahead and the heads up.  Titans need this game more.

titans @ colts discussion

Hot Forum Topics