Titans Vs. Bears.

Titans +4.5

Both teams have really improved their rosters and should be much better this season.  But I really like what the Titans have done bringing in the Callahan's to coach and building around Levis who showed a lot of Grit and toughness after getting smacked around last year.  The Titans QB's were sacked 64 times LY, 2 more than Bryce Young who also took a beating.  The O line was BAD!  But Will would hang in the pocket and take hit after hit. ... When he had time he made good decisions and accurate throws.  I think this new Oline will give him more time to get the ball downfield with the accuracy he flashed last season.  The Titans added Dogs on a Defense that was not bad at getting presure and stopping the run.    CB  LJ Sneed is player who led the KC secondary.  Rookie DT Sweat from Texas looks good next to DT Jeffery Simmons.  The Titans added a bunch of talent on both sides of the ball but The head coaches father Bill Callahan coaching up the newly remodeled offensive line should give Levis more time and more TD's.  Give me 4.5 in what should be a close game that I think the Titans can win.  

Good Luck!

I've been thinking the +4' was not a bad wager and may join ya. 

@Biscuiteater1

@Lucky Luciano

 Leaning the same way, and there's an incredibly strong angle backing your play.  NFL QBs selected #1 overall in the NFL draft are 3-20-1 SU in their first career start since 1983!  Fading Caleb Williams is the play, and I also believe O-line coach Bill Callahan is the single most important acquisition the Titans made this off-season.

@Boisestateand8

I like it! 

4.5 points against a rookie starting his first game is a deal. That Titans defense will be all over that young QB.

I lean TEN.  CHI has had a lot of off-season hype; TEN has had virtually none.

Most of those QBs who went #1 went to a dog crap roster. Not the case here. Not saying taking Tennessee  plus the points is a bad bet but I would not put too much into this trend

@worm23

 Agree, The Chicago Roster looks good and there is a lot of hype around this team.  Not much talk about Levis and the Tenn revamped roster.  I just really like the toughness and leadership Levis has shown so far vs a rookie QB making his 1st NFL start.  Caleb Williams looks like the real deal but there might be some growing pains and adjustments made before he shines.  

@worm23

 Well, maybe that's why the Bears are favored.  That probably hasn't been the case in most ot the other 24 instances.  Because Williams WAS the first overall all pick he'll be under pressure to play well.  Let's see how he handles it.  

I'm on the under here as the Bears defense is solid and on offense they will look mostly to the running game to take the pressure off Williams.

@Lucky Luciano

 Fair points, but someone has to give a proper devil's advocate opinion for arguments sake. I won't be betting on this game, but here goes nothing...

Even though the Titans made improvements to this year's roster, keep in mind that the Bears have been doing the same for the last 2 years(3rd offseason with new gm and HC).

The free agent pickups and drafting by this organization has been near flawless. 

Hear me when I say this, the Bears will have the best secondary in the nfl this year. They have 3 cornerbacks that could start for any team in the nfl. They should have the strongest Nickel package in the nfl. At free safety, Kevin Byard was a decent pickup. But more importantly was getting rid of Eddie Jackson. Imo he was the weakest link of this defense the last 2 years.

While the main storyline in Chicago is that they need another DE to pair with Montez Sweat, I don't think they are in bad shape with Demarcus Walker, newly acquired DE Darrell Taylor from Seattle, and rookie Daniel Hardy has shined all of pre season. The common fan wants another stud opposite of Sweat, but the gm has to balance money and assets(future draft picks). And Ryan Poles has done a terrific job.

The LB core is stout. One of the best pass coverage units in the nfl. And let's not forget, that the Bears run D was one of the best in the league last year. This also includes the interior D line.

As far as the offense goes, their weakest link last year was at center. They got rid of Cody Whitehair and Lucas Patrick. These guys were horrible. Bringing in Ryan Bates and Coleman Shelton weren't blockbuster moves, but a definite upgrade.

At RB DeAndre Swift will be an upgrade. Over in Philly they seem to think that signing Saquon Barkley in place of swift was a huge upgrade. I betcha they'll have the same output. If Swift does better it wouldn't shock me. Khalil Herbert is a legit #2, and still a #1 caliber guy imo. He played hurt most of the year last year, he's much healthier. These 2 guys should get a close to even split which will keep them healthy down the stretch. 

Either the best FB, or #2, in the nfl resides on this roster in Khari Blasingame. 

There's not much to say about the wr room. Moore, Allen, and Odunze are a triple threat that will be a challenge for most secondaries to cover.

So to your point(and the trends show it), a rookie qb in their first game have had a horrible track record. But you have to ask yourself if a rookie qb has ever been thrown in a better situation/roster than Caleb Williams has? Most rookie qb's starting out of the gate are on a roster that's rebuilding. I think the Bears have just about finished their rebuild. 

Caleb might not be great week 1, but I don't think that he will have to. One thing I've noticed in camp and the preseason is that EVERY Bears qb on the roster did very well. This system that new OC Shane Waldron is running seems to be QB friendly. If you look at his past stops, Russell Wilson cooked when he was in Seattle. After Russ left he fell off a cliff. Geno Smith was a travesty with the Jets, then went to Seattle and revived his career under Waldron. Just something to think about.

Good Luck this season 

@undermysac

 Great post!  I never bet ANY game just because of an angle, but I WILL use an angle to support whatever way I'm leaning.  Justin Fields actually wasn't bad during the second half of last season when the Bears went 5-3.  So the question remains, will Williams be better than Fields in his first start?  One thing about the preseason, very few teams played their starters for any length of time, so how will Williams do against the Titans' defensive starters?  Personally I have the Bears favored by 3, so +4' is a lean for me.

@Lucky Luciano

The Bears beat nobody really good except maybe the Lions last year…double digit losses in the first 3 games , most of their wins were vs very avg NFL teams last year, I don’t buy C.Williams as the savior , he was dominated in college by Utahs defense and didn’t beat anybody very good at usc either, not sold and I think he will be trying to do to much

The Bears beat nobody really good except maybe the Lions last year…double digit losses in the first 3 games , most of their wins were vs very avg NFL teams last year, I don’t buy C.Williams as the savior , he was dominated in college by Utahs defense and didn’t beat anybody very good at usc either, not sold and I think he will be trying to do to much

@JKIDDS

 The Bears went 7-10 last year. The Titans went 6-11.

Titans wins last year: 

Chargers (OT)

Bengals 

Falcons

Panthers

Dolphins 

Jaguars 

@richamp

 Yup under seems in play...46.0???

27-20?? Seems high as fuck

@undermysac

No doubt the Bears GM Poles has done well with this roster and acquiring draft picks but I have some question marks.  

Is head coach Matt Eberflus the guy?  Is he capable of making in game adjustments offensivly or is he a good D coordinator. 

Is the offensive line fixed?  Because the Tenn DLine was the strength of the team LY and it got better. 

How is the rookie QB going to handle NFL pressure?  In college he sometimes forced throws and often times hit the panic button.  

The Bears Kool aid has been served often by many experts, I am not drinking it week 1.  The Titans roster and COACHING improved and I like what I saw from Will Levis.  

@Lucky Luciano

 I can't argue much of what you said, especially about Caleb. I wasn't the biggest fan of his either in college. 

About Eberflus, I do think that he is the guy. Despite the record in the last 2 seasons, it was a complete rebuilding situation. He has created a good culture in Chicago. 

The line will be better with the new center. Completely fixed? I don't know. Not expecting them to be a top 5 unit. They are stout at guard and decent at the tackle positions.

Is it enough to cover -4.5? I don't know, hopefully for you it isn't. 

Good luck LL.  

@Lucky Luciano

 Lucky I am on the other side boss but I love and respect your opinion. Someone’s gotta win 

Gl ll

Down to 3'