Quote Originally Posted by MPbets:
Going with the public on both bets? You really think Vegas is gonna let that happen? These two games are gonna get big money since they are the 4 best teams and 1 is from Boston (east coast) and 1 from San Fran (west coast). Maybe 1 of the dogs covers but certainly not both. By the way, ESPN had future Vegas spreads for the Super Bowl for all 4 possible matchups. Seattle was -3 in both of their matchups so obviously Vegas believes they are the best team, and so do I.
Goodell and the NFL wants a Seattle (best defense) vs Denver (best offense) matchup, and they will get it. Vegas knows this, that's why these spreads in the Championship round are so high.
I'm going with Denver and Seattle, no matter the spread. Fading the public all the way. The public will only win the O/U.
I disagree with everything you've said.
I'm not a bettor that believes games are fixed, like so many around these forums. Therefore, I don't ask questions such as, "You really think Vegas is gonna let that happen?"
In my opinion, public percentages can be a valuable tool when handicapping individual games during most of the regular season. I almost never pay attention to them at all after about week 14 or so.
To say that both underdogs 'certainly' won't cover is ridiculous. The outcome of one game is not dependent on the other.
I'm not sure what future spreads ESPN was touting, but Seattle will not be a favorite over Denver, if that matchup happens. Pickem at best.
Why does the NFL want a Seattle/Denver Super Bowl? Will that pull better ratings than any other matchup?
You keep mentioning Vegas, the public, conspiracy theories, etc... You've said nothing about the games themselves. No mention of a single player or coach. Nothing about offense or defense. You didn't even mention the damn weather, which seems to be on a lot of people's minds for some reason. Good luck this weekend.