Over 52.5
53 is a whole lotta points for an AFC North matchup but Baltimore's efficient offense with the highest yards per completion in the league, top running offense and top red zone offense, combined with their atrocious pass defense facing Joe Burrow and Jamarr Chase on the other side, who happen to be 3rd in Red Zone TD % not far behind Baltimore, seems a good recipe for points.
Neither team is great at getting off the field on 3rd down defense ranking 30th and 26th in 3rd down conversion % allowed.
Baltimore gets a lot of penalties and Cincinnati has the least which is interesting if you're looking for an edge on the side. Though I still would lean to the top red zone team who has played a few short weeks already and won't want to lose another division game, in a division they seem to be the best in, powered by a strong run game.
It was 41-38 last time these teams met, let's hope we get another track meet.
i must be living right 
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