Which teams are going to "accidentally" flail & stumble with low percentage plays, untimely blitzes, foolish 4th down gambles, dropped passes, fumbles, and missed tackles?
Giants still have the least stressful path to "accidentally" lose their 2 remaining games (wink, wink)
**Interesting note: The awful Titans face the awful Jags. But unfortunately only one of them can gain the benefit of a LOSS!LOL
2 - 13 NYG
3 - 12 Raiders 3 - 12 Titans 3 - 12 Jags 3 - 12 Tom Brady's old team 3 - 12 Charlie Browns
It's the way the NFL rewards failure! Losing can be beneficial!
And we as handicappers MUST keep this in mind . . .
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[Quote: Originally Posted by fubah2]
Loss is MORE!
Which teams are going to "accidentally" flail & stumble with low percentage plays, untimely blitzes, foolish 4th down gambles, dropped passes, fumbles, and missed tackles?
Giants still have the least stressful path to "accidentally" lose their 2 remaining games (wink, wink)
**Interesting note: The awful Titans face the awful Jags. But unfortunately only one of them can gain the benefit of a LOSS!LOL
2 - 13 NYG
3 - 12 Raiders 3 - 12 Titans 3 - 12 Jags 3 - 12 Tom Brady's old team 3 - 12 Charlie Browns
It's the way the NFL rewards failure! Losing can be beneficial!
And we as handicappers MUST keep this in mind . . .
When I look at upcoming games where one team holds MASSIVE edges over their significantly weaker opponent, over the past 6 weeks my handicapping sheets revealed these results on teams I "circled" for su wins:
Week 11: 7 - 1 su Week 12: 6 - 3 su Week 13: 10 - 1 su Week 14: 7 - 1 su Week 15: 9 - 1 su Week 16: 6 - 2 su >>>>> = 45- 9 su ( 31 - 20 - 2 ats )
I subsequently used those indicators to make MOST of my su bet selections. My real bets went 44 - 14 in this 6 week time frame, with only one loss laying more then -155 juice, as we can see in the chart at the top of this page. Today I have no "circled" teams in my handicapping, because no team appears to have a DOMINANT edge over the other. However, in the KC @PITT matchup, I make this game almost DEAD EVEN but with a sliver of an edge to Steelers. Which means to me, by my analysis, Pitt sahould be favored by -1 or -1.5.....but they aren't! They are a HOME DOG (5 - 1 at home) to a good team but which seemingly STRUGGLES to claw out a one score win even against BAD teams! All the CHIEFS road opps were either weakass or mediocre - except two: and they split those. Today CHIEFS are without a few GOOD players! Mahomes plays but still has a very tender ankle... And the Steelers, who have lost their last two, both on the road @GOOD teams, are due for an angry bounceback AT HOME, particularly Russell Wilson - especially with the return of their BEST offensive weapon. STEELERS +3 -140 *BB
That said, caveat warning! I am on a 6-week 44 -14 HOT STREAK. Regression has been looming for 2 weeks and is overdue ......I continue to bet smaller because of that. You've been warned...
2
When I look at upcoming games where one team holds MASSIVE edges over their significantly weaker opponent, over the past 6 weeks my handicapping sheets revealed these results on teams I "circled" for su wins:
Week 11: 7 - 1 su Week 12: 6 - 3 su Week 13: 10 - 1 su Week 14: 7 - 1 su Week 15: 9 - 1 su Week 16: 6 - 2 su >>>>> = 45- 9 su ( 31 - 20 - 2 ats )
I subsequently used those indicators to make MOST of my su bet selections. My real bets went 44 - 14 in this 6 week time frame, with only one loss laying more then -155 juice, as we can see in the chart at the top of this page. Today I have no "circled" teams in my handicapping, because no team appears to have a DOMINANT edge over the other. However, in the KC @PITT matchup, I make this game almost DEAD EVEN but with a sliver of an edge to Steelers. Which means to me, by my analysis, Pitt sahould be favored by -1 or -1.5.....but they aren't! They are a HOME DOG (5 - 1 at home) to a good team but which seemingly STRUGGLES to claw out a one score win even against BAD teams! All the CHIEFS road opps were either weakass or mediocre - except two: and they split those. Today CHIEFS are without a few GOOD players! Mahomes plays but still has a very tender ankle... And the Steelers, who have lost their last two, both on the road @GOOD teams, are due for an angry bounceback AT HOME, particularly Russell Wilson - especially with the return of their BEST offensive weapon. STEELERS +3 -140 *BB
That said, caveat warning! I am on a 6-week 44 -14 HOT STREAK. Regression has been looming for 2 weeks and is overdue ......I continue to bet smaller because of that. You've been warned...
First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1.
Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it.
0
First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1.
Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it.
First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1. Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it.
Chiefs earned this second TD... 13 - 0
Pitts has looked *AWFUL* on inital 2 drives....1 yard net...121 for KC....on 2 drives each
0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1. Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it.
Chiefs earned this second TD... 13 - 0
Pitts has looked *AWFUL* on inital 2 drives....1 yard net...121 for KC....on 2 drives each
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1. Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it. Chiefs earned this second TD... 13 - 0 Pitts has looked *AWFUL* on inital 2 drives....1 yard net...121 for KC....on 2 drives each
Late 1Q 13 - 0....
LIVE BET: Pitt +12.5 -175 *BB
1
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1. Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it. Chiefs earned this second TD... 13 - 0 Pitts has looked *AWFUL* on inital 2 drives....1 yard net...121 for KC....on 2 drives each
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1. Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it. Chiefs earned this second TD... 13 - 0 Pitts has looked *AWFUL* on inital 2 drives....1 yard net...121 for KC....on 2 drives each
Fubah, are you on the Chiefs? I couldn't watch this game since I have no subscription to the Netflix.
0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1. Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it. Chiefs earned this second TD... 13 - 0 Pitts has looked *AWFUL* on inital 2 drives....1 yard net...121 for KC....on 2 drives each
Fubah, are you on the Chiefs? I couldn't watch this game since I have no subscription to the Netflix.
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1. Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it. Chiefs earned this second TD... 13 - 0 Pitts has looked *AWFUL* on inital 2 drives....1 yard net...121 for KC....on 2 drives each Fubah, are you on the Chiefs? I couldn't watch this game since I have no subscription to the Netflix.
@Europa
Not CHIEFS, no. I posted a *BB on Pitts +3 -140 and during live play I took another position on them to set up a possible middle, by looking to grab CHIEFS on ML at heavy chalk when the time is right.....MAYBE! or not....undecided on that...
You can watch almost any game in north america on methstreams.com (30 second delay)
1
Quote Originally Posted by Europa:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1. Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it. Chiefs earned this second TD... 13 - 0 Pitts has looked *AWFUL* on inital 2 drives....1 yard net...121 for KC....on 2 drives each Fubah, are you on the Chiefs? I couldn't watch this game since I have no subscription to the Netflix.
@Europa
Not CHIEFS, no. I posted a *BB on Pitts +3 -140 and during live play I took another position on them to set up a possible middle, by looking to grab CHIEFS on ML at heavy chalk when the time is right.....MAYBE! or not....undecided on that...
You can watch almost any game in north america on methstreams.com (30 second delay)
Quote Originally Posted by Europa: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1. Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it. Chiefs earned this second TD... 13 - 0 Pitts has looked *AWFUL* on inital 2 drives....1 yard net...121 for KC....on 2 drives each Fubah, are you on the Chiefs? I couldn't watch this game since I have no subscription to the Netflix. @Europa Not CHIEFS, no. I posted a *BB on Pitts +3 -140 and during live play I took another position on them to set up a possible middle, by looking to grab CHIEFS on ML at heavy chalk when the time is right.....MAYBE! or not....undecided on that... You can watch almost any game in north america on methstreams.com (30 second delay)
End of 3Q 16 - 10 KC and driving deep....IF CHIEFS score here (1st down from the 2) then the STEELERS will NOT win SU and very likely will not cover +3 either....
0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by Europa: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1. Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it. Chiefs earned this second TD... 13 - 0 Pitts has looked *AWFUL* on inital 2 drives....1 yard net...121 for KC....on 2 drives each Fubah, are you on the Chiefs? I couldn't watch this game since I have no subscription to the Netflix. @Europa Not CHIEFS, no. I posted a *BB on Pitts +3 -140 and during live play I took another position on them to set up a possible middle, by looking to grab CHIEFS on ML at heavy chalk when the time is right.....MAYBE! or not....undecided on that... You can watch almost any game in north america on methstreams.com (30 second delay)
End of 3Q 16 - 10 KC and driving deep....IF CHIEFS score here (1st down from the 2) then the STEELERS will NOT win SU and very likely will not cover +3 either....
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by Europa: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1. Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it. Chiefs earned this second TD... 13 - 0 Pitts has looked *AWFUL* on inital 2 drives....1 yard net...121 for KC....on 2 drives each Fubah, are you on the Chiefs? I couldn't watch this game since I have no subscription to the Netflix. @Europa Not CHIEFS, no. I posted a *BB on Pitts +3 -140 and during live play I took another position on them to set up a possible middle, by looking to grab CHIEFS on ML at heavy chalk when the time is right.....MAYBE! or not....undecided on that... You can watch almost any game in north america on methstreams.com (30 second delay) End of 3Q 16 - 10 KC and driving deep....IF CHIEFS score here (1st down from the 2) then the STEELERS will NOT win SU and very likely will not cover +3 either....
TOUCHDOWN CHIEFS
0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by Europa: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: First lucky break goes to CHIEFS, when PITTS coaching decide to dropback and pass on 3rd and 1. Two good RBs and they don't give it to them to gain a single yard....So of course, Wilson is sacked for a huge loss....they punt, big run back to Pitt 42 and almost in scoring position already without earning it. Chiefs earned this second TD... 13 - 0 Pitts has looked *AWFUL* on inital 2 drives....1 yard net...121 for KC....on 2 drives each Fubah, are you on the Chiefs? I couldn't watch this game since I have no subscription to the Netflix. @Europa Not CHIEFS, no. I posted a *BB on Pitts +3 -140 and during live play I took another position on them to set up a possible middle, by looking to grab CHIEFS on ML at heavy chalk when the time is right.....MAYBE! or not....undecided on that... You can watch almost any game in north america on methstreams.com (30 second delay) End of 3Q 16 - 10 KC and driving deep....IF CHIEFS score here (1st down from the 2) then the STEELERS will NOT win SU and very likely will not cover +3 either....
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My 2024 weekly results:
[30 - 8 *Best Bets! ]
And we as handicappers MUST keep this in mind . . .
......I continue to bet smaller because of that. You've been warned...
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