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🏈🏈🏈 “To BEt, or not to BEt, that is the question” ...Fubah2's risky bets

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Legend
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Posted: #76

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

 

Push    Bills -3-298

W   Cowboys -3-350

W   Vikings -135   *BEST BET 

an_cheers

Now we have 2  full days of solid college football

GL with your bets this weekend, gentlemen! clover

 
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Posted: #77

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Push    Bills -3-298

W   Cowboys -3-350

W   Vikings -135        *BEST BET 

Added risky bets for Week 12:
Commanders -185
Jaguars +10.5-270
NY Jets -290
Dolphins -6-280
Browns +10-298
Seahawks -200 *BB
49ers -2.5-324 *BB
Eagles  -300 *BB

 

GL with your bets today, gentlemen! clover

 

 
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Posted: #78

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Push    Bills -3-298

W    Cowboys -3-350

W    Vikings -135     *BEST BET 

Added risky bets for Week 12:

W    Commanders -185
W    NY Jets -290
W    Dolphins -6-280

 
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Posted: #79

@fubah2

 Where’d you get these lines? Alternate lines? 

 
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Posted: #80

Quote Originally Posted by AllDay51:

@fubah2  Where’d you get these lines? Alternate lines?

Yes, correct.   Of course as you can see from the juice I do pay aheavy price to buy down the pts, but I try and pick and choose carefully the right spots to do it based on my assessment of overall probabilities of winning.

Two weeks ago I took an "alternate line" at -1 -500......and lost

It happens

 
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Posted: #81

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

7 - 3 last week

Week 12 so far:

Push   Bills -3-298
W  Cowboys -3-350
W  Vikings -135          *BEST BET
W  Commanders -185
W  NY Jets -290
W  Dolphins -6-280
W  Jaguars +10.5-270
W  Browns +10-298

Seahawks -200       *BB    pending
49ers  -2.5-324      *BB    pending
Eagles   -300          *BB    pending

 

 
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Posted: #82

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

         7 - 3 last week 

 

Week 12 so far:

Push   Bills -3-298
W  Cowboys -3-350
W  Vikings -135          *BEST BET
W  Commanders -185
W  NY Jets -290
W  Dolphins -6-280
W  Jaguars +10.5-270
W  Browns +10-298

W  49ers  -2.5-324      *BEST BET  

Seahawks -200 *BB pending            Eagles   -300 *BB    pending

 

 
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Posted: #83

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

         

                     7 - 3 last week  

Week 12 so far:

Push   Bills -3-298
W  Cowboys -3-350
W  Vikings -135          *BEST BET
W  Commanders -185
W  NY Jets -290
W  Dolphins -6-280
W  Jaguars +10.5-270
W  Browns +10-298

W  49ers  -2.5-324      *BEST BET  

 Loss  Seahawks -200       *BEST BET          

Eagles   -300 *BB    pending

 
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Posted: #84

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

7 - 3 last week  

Week 12 so far:

Push   Bills -3-298

W  Cowboys -3-350

W  Vikings -135            *BEST BET

W  Commanders -185

W  NY Jets -290

W  Dolphins -6-280

W  Jaguars +10.5-270

W  Browns +10-298

W  49ers  -2.5-324      *BEST BET    

Loss  Seahawks -200     *BEST BET   

       

Eagles   -300 *BB    pending

Who do you like in the MNF game?

"@zircon, I appreciate you brother! You're a GOOD dude, anyone can see that!" -Wizerg
 
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Posted: #85

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

                 thumbs_up         7 - 3 last week 

 

This week results:

Push   Bills -3-298
W  Cowboys -3-350
W  Vikings -135          *BEST BET
W  Commanders -185
W  NY Jets -290
W  Dolphins -6-280
W  Jaguars +10.5-270
W  Browns +10-298

W  49ers  -2.5-324      *BEST BET  

 Loss  Seahawks -200       *BEST BET          

W  Eagles -300          *BEST BET 

  9 more winners!  an_cheers

 
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Posted: #86

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

                thumbs_up         7 - 3 last week 

 

This week results:

Push   Bills -3-298
W  Cowboys -3-350
W  Vikings -135          *BEST BET
W  Commanders -185
W  NY Jets -290
W  Dolphins -6-280
W  Jaguars +10.5-270
W  Browns +10-298

W  49ers  -2.5-324      *BEST BET  

 Loss  Seahawks -200       *BEST BET          

W  Eagles -300          *BEST BET 

  9 more winners!

 

Heck of a run an_clap

 

 

 

 

 
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Posted: #87

Quote Originally Posted by Zeus4par:

    thumbs_up         7 - 3 last week 

This week results:

Push   Bills -3-298
W  Cowboys -3-350
W  Vikings -135          *BEST BET
W  Commanders -185
W  NY Jets -290
W  Dolphins -6-280
W  Jaguars +10.5-270
W  Browns +10-298

W  49ers  -2.5-324      *BEST BET  

 Loss  Seahawks -200       *BEST BET          

W  Eagles -300          *BEST BET 

 

  Heck of a run.  an_clap

cool    My first NFL bet this year was Oct. 10, 2022
Annually I prefer to sit out the first few weeks and observe
how the teams are performing before betting real money.

Week 05:  1 - 1        (1 - 0 *Best Bets)
Week 06:  1 - 1        (1 - 1 *Best Bets)
Week 07:  4 - 3        (3 - 1 *Best Bets)
Week 08:  7 - 2        (4 - 2 *Best Bets)
Week 09:  9 - 1        (5 - 1 *Best Bets)
    **Reduced my bet sizes for Week 10 anticipating correction to 2 week HOT Streak
Week 10:  6 - 5 an_burningbag  (5 - 4 *Best Bets)  
     **Beatdown on juice, but would've been worse if I had not reduced bet sizes
         Resumed normal bet size for Week 11
Week 11:  7 - 3        (5 - 3 *Best Bets)
Week 12:  9 - 1        (3 - 1 *Best Bets)
------------------------------------
YTD: 44 -17

**Reducing my bet sizes again, anticipating a correction to this 2nd HOT streak

 
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Posted: #88

Quote Originally Posted by zircon:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: 7 - 3 last week   Week 12 so far: Push   Bills -3-298 W  Cowboys -3-350 W  Vikings -135            *BEST BET W  Commanders -185 W  NY Jets -290 W  Dolphins -6-280 W  Jaguars +10.5-270 W  Browns +10-298 W  49ers  -2.5-324      *BEST BET     Loss  Seahawks -200     *BEST BET            Eagles   -300 *BB    pending

 

Who do you like in the MNF game?

Neither........should be close........probably within 7 max either way

 
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Posted: #89

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

YTD: 44 -17

**Reducing my bet sizes again, anticipating a correction to this 2nd HOT streak

 

 

Who do you like in the MNF game?

 

 

Neither........should be close........probably within 7 max either way

In fact, I think I won't make a serious pre-game bet this evening and just play around with live action props.

But since I believe this is no more than a TD either way here's a fun prop I grabbed:

Steelers +8.5 -307  *AND* Colts +4.5 -256

 

*Note: posted after kickoff  (Pitt gets 7 yds on 1st down) and will not count on my YTD regardless win or lose.

 

 

 
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Posted: #90

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

YTD: 44 -17

**Reducing my bet sizes again, anticipating a correction to this 2nd HOT streak     

 

......should be close........probably within 7 max either way In fact, I think I won't make a serious pre-game bet this evening and just play around with live action props. But since I believe this is no more than a TD either way here's a fun prop I grabbed: Steelers +8.5 -307  *AND* Colts +4.5 -256   *Note: posted after kickoff  (Pitt gets 7 yds on 1st down) and will not count on my YTD regardless win or lose.

 

First and goal, down 6 pts at home................ and the fumble the handoff for a sure TD.......and lose it.

Flukes happen like that.   There's just no consistent way to handicap when, where, or how often the breaks will occur

 
Legend
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Posted: #91

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by zircon:   Who do you like in the MNF game?

 

Neither........should be close........probably within 7 max either way

 

Thursday game...

Ordinarily I would lean toward Bills on Thursday night at -3.5 as the road fav at Patriots,  but the absense of Vonn Miller now gives serious pause.  He's a force  and they won't have him for at least a week if not two.

Pats looking better now

 
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Posted: #92

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by zircon:   Who do you like in the MNF game?   Neither........should be close........probably within 7 max either way   Thursday game... Ordinarily I would lean toward Bills on Thursday night at -3.5 as the road fav at Patriots,  but the absense of Vonn Miller now gives serious pause.  He's a force  and they won't have him for at least a week if not two. Pats looking better now

 

I see it the other way.  While Miller is a serious loss to the front 7 they get two defensive ends back on the line.  Epenesa and Rousseau.  They can now freely substitute in that defensive front wall and keep them fresher with quality bookend pass rushers.  Bills don't have to worry about Jones taking off with the ball.   Advantage Bills!

 

 
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Posted: #93

Quote Originally Posted by Zeus4par:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by zircon:   Who do you like in the MNF game?   Neither........should be close........probably within 7 max either way   Thursday game... Ordinarily I would lean toward Bills on Thursday night at -3.5 as the road fav at Patriots,  but the absense of Vonn Miller now gives serious pause.  He's a force  and they won't have him for at least a week if not two. Pats looking better now   I see it the other way.  While Miller is a serious loss to the front 7 they get two defensive ends back on the line.  Epenesa and Rousseau.  They can now freely substitute in that defensive front wall and keep them fresher with quality bookend pass rushers.  Bills don't have to worry about Jones taking off with the ball.   Advantage Bills!

I see your point

 
Legend
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Posted: #94

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

cool    My first NFL bet this year was Oct. 10, 2022
Annually I prefer to sit out the first few weeks and observe
how the teams are performing before betting real money.

Week 05:  1 - 1        (1 - 0 *Best Bets)
Week 06:  1 - 1        (1 - 1 *Best Bets)
Week 07:  4 - 3        (3 - 1 *Best Bets)
Week 08:  7 - 2        (4 - 2 *Best Bets)
Week 09:  9 - 1        (5 - 1 *Best Bets)
    **Reduced my bet sizes for Week 10 anticipating correction to 2 week HOT Streak
Week 10:  6 - 5 an_burningbag  (5 - 4 *Best Bets)  
     **Beatdown on juice, but would've been worse if I had not reduced bet sizes
         Resumed normal bet size for Week 11
Week 11:  7 - 3        (5 - 3 *Best Bets)
Week 12:  9 - 1        (3 - 1 *Best Bets)
------------------------------------
YTD: 44 -17

**Reducing my bet sizes again, anticipating a correction to this 2nd HOT streak

Very risky bets for Week 13 (due to anticipation for correction):

*I have once again trimmed my bet sizing by 25%; and buying pts on some

Lions +3.5-177  *Best Bet

Bengals +3.5-177  *Best Bet

 

GL with your bets this weekend, fellas! clover

 
Legend
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Posted: #95

GL 4 peace_5peaceclover

Learn, be content and stay disciplined.
 
Legend
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Posted: #96

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

k Very risky bets for Week 13 (due to anticipation for correction): *I have once again trimmed my bet sizing by 25%; and buying pts on some Lions +3.5-177  *Best Bet Bengals +3.5-177  *Best Bet   GL with your bets this weekend, fellas!

Tonight:

Patriots +10.5 -260

I see this one possibly going either way, actually.  Can make a good case for either team.  That said I like the cushion of 10.5 points on the homies here (yes I am paying for it but the odds it stays within 10 pts are heavily in my favor)

 
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Posted: #97

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: k Very risky bets for Week 13 (due to anticipation for correction): *I have once again trimmed my bet sizing by 25%; and buying pts on some Lions +3.5-177  *Best Bet Bengals +3.5-177  *Best Bet   GL with your bets this weekend, fellas! Tonight: Patriots +10.5 -260 I see this one possibly going either way, actually.  Can make a good case for either team.  That said I like the cushion of 10.5 points on the homies here (yes I am paying for it but the odds it stays within 10 pts are heavily in my favor)

Upgrading my Patriots +10.5-260 to a  *BEST BET

and going for a middle here, adding:   BILLS -198

 
Legend
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Posted: #98

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: k Very risky bets for Week 13 (due to anticipation for correction): *I have once again trimmed my bet sizing by 25%; and buying pts on some Lions +3.5-177  *Best Bet Bengals +3.5-177  *Best Bet   GL with your bets this weekend, fellas! Tonight: Patriots +10.5 -260 I see this one possibly going either way, actually.  Can make a good case for either team.  That said I like the cushion of 10.5 points on the homies here (yes I am paying for it but the odds it stays within 10 pts are heavily in my favor) Upgrading my Patriots +10.5-260 to a  *BEST BET and going for a middle here, adding:   BILLS -198

Starting LT for Bills in trouble now.  It's obvious.

Pats are definitely going to exploit this on Josh Allen's blind side!!

 

 
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Posted: #99

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:YTD: 44 -17 

Very risky bets for Week 13 (due to anticipation for correction): *I have once again trimmed my bet sizing by 25%; and buying pts on some Lions +3.5-177  *Best Bet Bengals +3.5-177  *Best Bet   GL with your bets this weekend, fellas! Tonight: Patriots +10.5 -260 I see this one possibly going either way, actually.  Can make a good case for either team.  That said I like the cushion of 10.5 points on the homies here (yes I am paying for it but the odds it stays within 10 pts are heavily in my favor) Upgrading my Patriots +10.5-260 to a  *BEST BET and going for a middle here, adding:   BILLS -198

an_light**Reducing my bet sizes again, anticipating a correction to 2nd HOT streak


Split my middle shot on Thursday

Sunday's risky bets following hot streak = very risky!:
Lions +4.5-222    *BB
Vikings -150
Eagles -220         *BB
Giants +3.5-160

 
 
Legend
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Posted: #100

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:YTD: 44 -17  Very risky bets for Week 13 (due to anticipation for correction): *I have once again trimmed my bet sizing by 25%; and buying pts on some Lions +3.5-177  *Best Bet Bengals +3.5-177  *Best Bet   GL with your bets this weekend, fellas! Tonight: Patriots +10.5 -260 I see this one possibly going either way, actually.  Can make a good case for either team.  That said I like the cushion of 10.5 points on the homies here (yes I am paying for it but the odds it stays within 10 pts are heavily in my favor) Upgrading my Patriots +10.5-260 to a  *BEST BET and going for a middle here, adding:   BILLS -198

an_light**Reducing my bet sizes again, anticipating a correction to 2nd HOT streak


Split my middle shot on Thursday

Sunday's risky bets following hot streak = very risky!:
Lions +4.5-222    *BB
Vikings -150
Eagles -220         *BB
Giants +3.5-160

GL with your bets today, fellas!!  clover thumbs_up

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