Trust the Birds or hedge...

Question

This time last year I started sports betting again with a set amount of money that I now would consider to be only 2 units. Long story short, I have had crazy success and turned those 2 units into 100 units over the last year.

But this last week I stupidly (drunkenly) got myself into a vicious downward spiral of parlays and hedging with more parlays. Basically I'm down 30 units with this 10 unit parlay still live:

Packers (-900), Vikings (-750), Browns (-340), Ravens (-290), Dec. 8 Miami Heat (-320), Eagles (-450)

I hit the first 5 plays and just need an Eagles W. I'm also a huge Eagles fan and can't look at this without bias.

Do I let it ride and trust they'll beat the Giants which would pay 35 units and put me up to 105 total?

Or hedge on the Giants ML to guarantee I get back to 94ish units?

And yes I know this is a very stupid way of gambling. I am usually much more disciplined and stick to my systems.

Blaine_Wesley · Answer