VANRUSH NFL WEEK 8

37-32-2   +5.7 UNITS    1 UNIT = $100

WEEK 1:  +1.5 UNITS

WEEK 2:  -26.5 UNITS

WEEK 3:  +7.5 UNITS

WEEK 4:  -9.1 UNITS

WEEK 5:  +24.0 UNITS

WEEK 6:  +2.8 UNITS

WEEK 7:  +5.5 UNITS

POW:      5-2        +14.0 UNITS

Sides:     14-15-2  -11.5 UNITS

Totals:    3-4         -3.5 UNITS

Parlays:  7-6         +4.0 UNITS  

TT:         13-7       +16.5 UNITS

2 early bets:

Miami TT UNDER 17.5  -120  3 UNITS to win 2.5 UNITS    Miami's offense will struggle against a pissed off Buffalo team that has had 2 weeks to stew on their loss at Tennessee.  I would play it at 17 as well.

ML PARLAY:  BUFFALO/LA RAMS/CINCINNATI  5 UNITS to win 2.5 UNITS  The first two are virtual gimmees and if the Bengals lose to the hapless Jets, then I deserve to lose 5 Units.  

I like Atlanta, but waiting for a better line than heavy juiced -2.5 or 3.  

I also like Detroit, but I HATE betting on shitty teams.  Same goes for Atlanta.  

Not really sold on anything yet.  

ADDED:

CINCINNATI TT OVER 26.5  -110  2.2 UNITS to win 2 UNITS  Jets are a wreck on both sides of the ball.

DALLAS TT OVER 27.5  -125  2.5 UNITS to win 2 UNITS  This should be a high scoring Sunday Night game.  

ADDED:

CINCINNATI TT OVER 26.5  -120  2.4 UNITS to win 2 UNITS.  This is now a 4 UNIT play and my PLAY OF THE WEEK.

Like it Van ..BOL friend

Love Detroit this week, They get their first win of the year.

@Wizerguy

Thanks   I am surprised it is not at least 27.  It should go up to that and maybe 27.5 or 28 by game time.  The juice is rising LOL.  Again if Cincinnati cannot score 27 points against the Jets then I deserve to lose this bet.  Your posts are always good reads........

@toiletsnake

 I probably will play this at +3.5 small wager maybe 1-1.5 units but not yet......this is one of the 2 remaining games on the schedule they have a chance to win.

ADDED:

DETROIT +4  -120  1.8 UNITS to win 1.5 UNITS    This goes against my own rules and what I try to stay away from always......betting on shitty teams.  This is a great spot for Detroit, and all they have to do is lose by 3 for me to win!  HA if Detroit doesn't cover I will tell myself I told you so.  Phily is not a good team, and Detroit knows that this game is actually winnable.  We shall see.

What am I missing with the seemingly really low TT for Cincinnati (26.5).  Jesus New England scored 54 points against them last week.  I GET that Cincinnati is in a let down spot, and NYJ cannot play as badly as last week, but they only have to get to 27 points,  It's super fishy, but it's still my POW.  Someone please help me understand!  I would have this at 28 or 28.5 if I was Vegas.

Good luck this week!

These teams ARE BOTH prime BOUNCE candidates, tread carefully..

@Romans12

@Crusher13

 Yes I agree.......still liking those.

ADDED:

ATLANTA -3  -110  2.2 UNITS to win 2 UNITS.   Betting another crappy team, but Carolina is a total mess right now and Atlanta should take care of business at home against a struggling Carolina team.

The Dallas TT is iffy as Dak is more iffy than I thought.  I may buy out of that once he is deemed out or not.  It went up to 29 and then dropped to 26.5.  LAME.

I am on the Bengals over 27.5, wish I got them @ 26.5 like you though.  A few points doesn't really matter against the Jets IMO, I agree that if Cincy cant score at least 28 then we deserve to lose, lol.

I'm loving 

Detroit, Pittsburgh, Titans and Bears all with the points. But I'm Looking for a killer ML parlay play

@Alomar  Let's hope this isn't a trap line.

ADDED:

BUFFALO -14  -110  2.2 UNITS to win 2 UNITS  Buffalo should rout this team.  I don't care who is the QB for Miami.  I don't see them scoring much either on the road against a pissed off Buffalo team that blew their last game at Tennessee.

ADDED:

CHICAGO +4  -110  1.65 UNITS to win 1.5 UNITS  Two beat up teams.......Chicago being at home and early start time for SF equals close game.

ADDED:

NEW ORLEANS TT UNDER 21.5  -110  1.65 UNITS to win 1.5 UNITS:  Winston showed where he is at last week at Seattle.  New Orleans will try to ground and use short passes to keep game close and lower scoring as they cannot keep up with Tampa's offense.  I also like the under for the game but no play as of yet.

Most of these plays are smaller as I do not like this week.......tread carefully.   Lots of plays on shitty teams.......

@Vanrush

I have the Lions ML straight up, I hit on the Titans last week and dont see why the Lions cant win against a shitty Philly team, still looking for another game to parlay that with.  Good luck this weekend Van

@Alomar

My writeups are usually very short and to the point.  Other guys on this forum put a lot into their write ups, which I appreciate and value.  I only write up my main points lol and they are usually short at that. 

   GL today and let's hit the CINCY OVER!  I like it at 27.5 as well.  Anything OVER 28 I would play.

ADDED:

PHILADELPHIA TT UNDER 26.5  -110  2.2 UNITS to win 2 UNITS.   I am banking on this being Detroit's Super Bowl.  As such, Phily will not score 27.  Detroit defense has shown signs of life recently.  At home against a beatable opponent.  Again a smaller play and probably my last.  These last 4 plays I have been following the lines all week and like them enough to wager on.  I may add some bets on the late games if I have a good morning and feel a bit more confident about the card.