Vegas is wrong tonight

Quote Originally Posted by bettorjon:

I honestly think that raiders should be favored vs KC

Really Vegas is giving as a gift here and trying to confuse us

Not me

Oak+3@2.05 $750 to win $788
Oak ml@2.58 $750 to win $1163
Oak+7.5@1.52 $3000 to win $1560

Let's go raiders

Show them what you've got

Quote Originally Posted by Ed-Collins:

I can see you're confused.  Vegas doesn't make predictions and because they don't, they can never "right" or "wrong."

The line/pointspread initially set out by any sportsbook/bookmaker/casino is not and never was a prediction of the final score. 

With a line of -3, "Vegas" was not predicting a Kansas City victory at all, let alone a victory by three points.

The pointspread is simply a number with the intention of generating equal action on both sides.  (Yes folks, it really is.)  After the line is initially set, it's the betting public who will then be responsible for the line.  If too much action comes in on one side, the line will be adjusted to help sway action on the other side.

Even if "Vegas" had a crystal ball, and "knew" ahead of time the final score would be 21-13 KC, they would still have set the line at KC -3.  They really do want equal action on both sides.  They really don't care which team wins and which team loses. 

Sure, at times they will have slightly more action from the betting public on one side and will take a bath.  And just as often they will have slightly more action on the other side and will clean up.

They survive by the juice they charge.  They survive with a low variance...  which they can get with equal action on both sides.

"Vegas" wasn't trying to fool you... but you did exactly what you should have.  If you like the Raiders and the points, then you bet the Raiders and take the points.  Lots of other people did too.

Don't look into it more than what it is. 

(Oh, and there's no such thing as a "trap game" simply because no one is trying to "trap" you.)

Quote Originally Posted by Ed-Collins:


(Oh, and there's no such thing as a "trap game" simply because no one is trying to "trap" you.)

Quote Originally Posted by Ed-Collins:

I can see you're confused.  Vegas doesn't make predictions and because they don't, they can never "right" or "wrong."The line/pointspread initially set out by any sportsbook/bookmaker/casino is not and never was a prediction of the final score.  With a line of -3, "Vegas" was not predicting a Kansas City victory at all, let alone a victory by three points.The pointspread is simply a number with the intention of generating equal action on both sides.  (Yes folks, it really is.)  After the line is initially set, it's the betting public who will then be responsible for the line.  If too much action comes in on one side, the line will be adjusted to help sway action on the other side.Even if "Vegas" had a crystal ball, and "knew" ahead of time the final score would be 21-13 KC, they would still have set the line at KC -3.  They really do want equal action on both sides.  They really don't care which team wins and which team loses.  Sure, at times they will have slightly more action from the betting public on one side and will take a bath.  And just as often they will have slightly more action on the other side and will clean up.They survive by the juice they charge.  They survive with a low variance...  which they can get with equal action on both sides."Vegas" wasn't trying to fool you... but you did exactly what you should have.  If you like the Raiders and the points, then you bet the Raiders and take the points.  Lots of other people did too.Don't look into it more than what it is.  (Oh, and there's no such thing as a "trap game" simply because no one is trying to "trap" you.)

Quote Originally Posted by bpickin: