Week 12 plays

Gonna try keeping better track of my plays and win loss stats hopefully I'll be able to recognize some trends like I'm most profitable bettering home dogs of getting more than 4 points or whatever.. Been at this for a while and while I routinely pick winners at about a 60% clip when I stick to sides and not ov under i def feel like I'm not doing as much as I should or can be doing to make a profit at this and am tryin to take it a little more serious as I'm getting tired of writing off losses as entertainment funds when I have been routinely been on the right side and I know I need to cut back on the parlays and need to stop looking at is as winning a couple hundred but as throwin away Nicole's and dimes that could have been more wisely spent on a straight bet for one of my top 3 plays of the day but in the past I'm too much of a degen and action junkie where if I have say 500 to bet for a Sunday I'll bet however many 3 team parleys just so I have action everywhere even tho this has never worked for me in the past and I know playing a few straight bets would be so much smarter in the long run its hard having the patients to have the bankroll management that's obviously the key thing missing from my sports betting so far and would appreciate anyone's feedback or if anyone knows what I'm talking about and has any advice? Really appreciate it,. I'm going to try just playing a couple tiny big parlays just for fun or whatever like .001 5-8 team parlays just to fufuil the degen part of me I guess but will start trying to be more organized and have some form of bankroll management to stick to so here it goes....

1u =1000

Max play (max 1/w) 10u
Feelin good bout it play (1-3/w) 5u
Avg play 3u (0-5/w)

If anyone has any suggestions for me I'm all ears and admit I'm not going off much knowledge about how to manage a bankroll but I know I need to change something...
Pickin winners hasn't been a problem it's been terrible luck of placing the parlays right as its seemed every parlay I've laid ended up winning 2 of 3 or 3 of 4 legs but rarely if ever paying off its been pretty ridiculous...
Thanks guys appreciate any suggestions or feedback open to hearin what u think about my plays as well as the bankroll/ placing the right bets which is not as easy as I thought it be thank u guys and feel free to tail i haven't had a season picking sides lower than 65% in all 3 years documented on covers and have learned a lot in that time

1 u parlay Tampa w/ un
1u play double result jags/ jags +210
3u ATL -2.5
3u Gmen -2.5

Leans
9ers +10.5 w/ under 45
Buffalo +5.5
Fins +4

Already breakin the plan am trying to avoid taking totals just because the stats over a substantial amount of time don't like and being 65+ on sides and 45- on totals is too much too ignore so I'm not going to lay anything on totals other than the occasional value parlay when in my opinion parlay a team with the over under adds value as most of the time if the game is played a certain way and one team has its way and covers odds that the total being a certain either one way is high enough that the risk is worth it to parlay the 2 as the value offers more of a payout over time and raises the potential winning while lowering the potential losses these for sure have been one of my best plays and I'm almost always right on both or wrong on both but have definitly made more parlaying certain game than I would have otherwise and am going to keep tryin it out for now unless someone can convince me I'm not right about all that

I try avoiding betting on the gmen cuz I know I don't have the disciple to not allow me being a fan of the team to cloud my judgement for betting on or against them but being so invested in this team I definilty have picked up on some things and have made a good profit betting them when I feel real good about it and trusting myself to not play them when it don't feel the confidence i should on my team but I can't see the giants not winning today easily and finally take control of the NFC east when no one else will coming off a bye week against a qb who they've made their bit*h in recent games in JPPs first game back could get ugly for the home team in Washington who have been dealing with distractions and somehow over performing all year long but the giants are finally well rested and not in some wierd position like having to start 3 new offensive linemen for the first time or something like that and hopefully the team chemistry will finally show after it seems like the team hasn't had the same 11 players healthy 2 weeks in a row for years but nows the time for the giants to take control of their destiny and stop playing down to the competition and the D dense can't play any worse than it has so that's good and this is a high powered offense with Eli having a quiet career year that will start to show results in the ATS rerocord for giants and it's rare I'll bet along with the publics favorite game but I can't see any way any fishy stutt with the refs or whatever being enough to keep this close... Definitly going to keep an eye on the line movement until kickoff and could possibly go hard on this game hard to come up with any cons other than it being a public play

Really like Seattle tonight at home will wait on the line to hopefully move below the hook to an even 3 or if not will make a decision on ML or playing the spread but will probably end up having the confidence to ride with the seahawks straight up and not waste crazy value for a few half points.. Think Seattle matches up real well against the stealers who's strength at wideout will be negated by seatlles secondary who have under performed so bad in a year that they've had to deal with some changes for the first time in a while but seem due for that statement game to remind us why they have been the NFCs best for 2 straight year and reclaimed some of the respect they've lost recently to the cards and panthers as being the team to beat in the NFC and i really like how they match up against a more fitness Pittsburg team that is fresh off losing their star RB and huge part of the game plan and with brown having to go up against sherman its asking too much for Ben to go into Seattle and get it done in this one.... Like Seattle big in this one and am playing graham in a couple dfs tourneys mostly just goin with the gut on that but that has been a profitably strategy this year on fan duel for me

2u on the Dolphins +5.5
Just think the lines way too high in this one id have it at a pickem in this one because of how banged up the jets are with Revis sitting this one out I don't think Revis contributions to the jets are easily broken down and adjusted to the spread because he affects almost everything the jets do on defense even if he's not even close to the play because knowing Revis is there to erase your best wide out is what lets the jets get away with blitzing more than anyone else and not getting burned and now that their biggest strength is now such a weakness with Revis and cro gone i can't see the jets winning by a TD more often than not in this one with a banged up qb who's playing through a busted finger or 2 against an underrated Dolphins team with some serious playmakers who were playing great before having a pretty brutal stretch of schedule from the pats to the bills to a close game in philly to having to take on the Cowboys in romos first game back witch was definitly a tough stretch for a young team who were playing off adrenaline after makin it look too easy for a few weeks with a rookie head coach but its still are the same team that put up that crazy first half against the Texans and i see a lot of value with the money line in this one in what should be a low scoring division rivalry game against a very banged up opponiant and don't at the minute id take miamis roster over the jets without at the minute and the money line is too juicy to pass

2u fins +180
10u Miami +4.5 -115 @nitrogensports
Wouldn't be suprised if this falls to a fg or less at kickoff but can't see it going the other way def think nows the time to pound the fins at +4.5 buying the hook at -117

Just placed a couple small 6.5 pt open ended pleaser with Miami also at -2.5 betting 3 separate 3 team pleases with Miami -2.5 in all of them, the bills -1.5 in one and leaning towards putting the Browns -9.5 in one.. And I'll try n be pacient and wait for a good line in a college basketball game or something where the points are definilty less valuable as they are in the NFL... I'm not a pleaser player regularly but have done pretty good in the few times I've given it a shot this season... Definitly helps a lot to have a book like 5dimes that allows open parlays also

6.5 pt pleaser
1/3 a unit each at +2000
$333 to win $6666
Miami -2.5
Bills -1.5
Open

Miami -2.5
Browns -9.5
Open

Miami -2.5
Open
Open

Not seeing a few posts I wrote guess they didn't load correctly or something but...

Adding Miami +4.5 for my max play of the day going

Locked in:
10u Miami +4.5 -117 at nitrogensports
2u Miami ml +170

1/3unit each 3 team 6.5 pt pleases +2000 @5dimes
$333 to win $6666 each
Miami -2.5
Bills -1.5
Open

Miami -2.5
Browns -9.5
Open

Miami -2.5
Open
Open

I don't play pleasers often but hit a couple this year so I'm up a lot this year on them so I'll keep giving it a shot trying to spread out the money to give myself more chances has worked in the past rather have 3 chances than 1.
For the sake of this thread I'll try and fill the parlays with games today before kickoff but I will end up being pacient with my book and try and find a couple college basketball games that have some value to fill em out its a lot easier to sell some points in a college bball game than an NFL game but when the spreads are right I think it makes more sense to please a game rather than take the money line.. I could definitely be wrong and am just getting suckered by the high payout but scared money don't make money

Adding
5u jag -5
3u Rams +10.5
2u gmen -1
Locked in plays:
10u Miami +4.5 -115 @nitrogensports
2u fins +180
1u parlay Tampa w/ under
1u double result jags/ jags +210
3u ATL -2.5
3u Gmen -2.5
2u gmen -1
Adding
5u jag -5
3u Rams +10.5
And the pleasers

Adding
5u jag -5
3u Rams +10.5
2u gmen -1
Locked in plays:
10u Miami +4.5 -115 @nitrogensports
2u fins +180
1u parlay Tampa w/ under
1u double result jags/ jags +210
3u ATL -2.5
3u Gmen -2.5
2u gmen -1
Adding
5u jag -5
3u Rams +10.5
And the pleasers