Week 13 = SANTA CLAUS is coming to TOWN with 2 BIG WINNERS $$$$$

What's Up Family ??

Are YOU ready for another week of the World's greatest sports entertainment business ???  Full of flags , non calls on blatant holding , pick plays , tanking , bad coaching and backdoors ..LOL 

Sorry to anyone who LOST on the BILLS TEAM TOTAL OVER ( 27.5/28.5/29.5) last week...Tough loss considering they had 24 points 4 minutes into the 3rd quarter ...

On to the NEXT ONE ...

.SANTA is coming to TOWN , with 2 BIG WINNERS 

BOTH MONDAY NIGHT GAMES are INSTA INVESTMENTS  $$$$$$   Might be my only 2 Standard wagers for the week ..

BEST OF HEALTH, BLESSINGS, AND LUCK TO ALL !!!!! 

NFL YTD 

22-14-1.  +3,129.13. OR + 15.6 UNITS 

1 UNIT = $200 

If you TAKE OUT the ONLY  LOSING WEEKS ( 6,8,12 ) The overall record is 19-5 ....

This business is tough sledding ,  I'm ecstatically Lucky to have won $$$ 9 of 12 weeks this far ....

NFL FUTURES

Futures could be tough sledding because it should be more of a war of attrition with Covid's possible impact ..

BUFFALO BILLS TO WIN AFC EAST +450

$1140/5,130

Bet this as posted before the trade for Diggs ..The BILLS enter week 13 the healthiest they've been since week 1 . ....Already hedged on MIAMI at long odds but those locally inflated odds dont count here on Covers .

BUFFALO BILLS TO WIN AFC +1600
$312.50/$5000

Defense is playing much better the last 5 games ..Milano and Dodson are back this week as well ...Probably need a miracle to beat the NFL'S GOLDEN GOOSE = KC CHIEFS...

To Play in AFC CHAMPIONSHIP +475

$420/$1,995

The Steelers Bud Dupree injury is a big one . 

To meet in Super Bowl
BILLS VS

COWBOYS 177.50-1. $17.30.  Love watching them lose ..

BEARS. 288-1. $10.70. Trash

BUCCANEERS 390-1. $8.50.

CARDINALS 526-1. 8.80.

SKYRATS 130-1. $19.70

Skyrats. 133- . $7.70

Vikings 225-1. $14.20.Anything is possible right ??? 

Falcons 275-1. $9.75. Burnt money

Aints 96-1. $11.15

SAINTS 86-1. $12.

SF 49ERS UNDER 10.5 WINS -120

$600/500

Better play all 16 games ..

STEELERS to win North +400

$125/500

Regret not betting more on them..My Steelers homer buddy bet this for $500 at the sportsbook..I should have listened ...

To REACH NFC CHAMPIONSHIP

SAINTS +240. $300/720

Are they better with Taysom Hill at QB ??? Sounds crazy , but the Defense has sure raised their play over the last 2 games ..

PATRIOTS to miss playoffs +140

$360/504

Much Respect to the Seneca sportsbook who clarified that if the NFL adds an 8th seed it will not impact the playoff Futures ( Only the top 7 seeds will be considered Playoff appearances) ..

WASHINGTON DC TO WIN NFC EAST +250 

$420/1,050 

Cant believe they were offering this before the MNF game ..Sure the Giants own the tiebreaker, but I don't see New Jersey winning more than 2 out of the 5 remaining games ..+210 Is still out there,  and I'm tempted to throw a little more down ...

Packers 11-5

Vikings 8-8 +1

Bears. 7-9.

Lions 5-11. -1

Cowboys 5-11.  -1 

Eagles 4-11-1.  -1

Giants 6-10.  +1.

*DC. 7-9. +1

Saints. 13-3 

Falcons. 6-10. +1

Buccaneers 10-6

Panthers 5-11

Seahawks 12-4

CARDINALS 9-7

49ers.7-9,  +1

Rams 10-6.  -1 

Playoffs 

SEAHAWKS  38 CARDINALS 30

PACKERS  23.  BUCCANEERS 26

WASHINGTON.  24.  RAMS 21 

SAINTS.   34.  BUCCANEERS 27

SEAHAWKS  34.  WASHINGTON 21

SAINTS  34. SEAHAWKS 30 

Week 13 INVESTMENTS 

BUCKET OF WINGS WAGER (4+ UNITS)

BUFFALO BILLS -2.5 -114

$912/$800 

Great spot for the BILLS with the game being shifted to Arizona ..Offense is built for warmer weather or a dome ..Defense is playing much better as of late and gets stud LB Matt Milano back ( as well as LB Ty Dodson ) ..This is the healthiest the BILLS have been since week 1 ...With the Dolphins hot on their heels I dont think a letdown is possible...The BILLS are a huge TV RATINGS draw and should flourish with their next 4 games on NATIONAL TV ...

DOUBLE SIZED WAGER ( 2-3.75 UNITS )

WASHINGTON DC +8.5 

$462/420 

Should be a excellent spot catching the Steeelers on a short week after they played on Wednesday ....Might sprinkle a little on DC ML as well ....I don't think this line should be any higher than +3.5 ...

* More to follow ....

@DoubleUp4Life

 Buffalo PK now? Bouncing between -1/+1 makes me nervous.

@BuffaloGuy1967

I think that's just cause SF just beat the Rams as +5 dogs.  They looked good.  But they're a very up and down team cause of their injuries.  Tough to know what Niners team will show up.. My guess is they're not consistent / healthy enough to play that well week to week..

Another small but perhaps further motivating angle, is the Bills also get a chance to expunge the brutal last-second hail-mary loss to the Cardinals on this same field a few weeks ago.

Oddsmakers love playing mind games  .

If this was a regular sunday game , and the BILLS had a 2+  game lead over the Phins I'd have some concerns ...

However this is a good spot on Monday night football  ..O Line and Defense are starting to play their best ball of the season.  ..BILLS staying close to the STEELERS for the following weeks sunday night show down ...

On the other hand this is as much respect the oddsmakers have given the 49ers since their rash of  injuries started ...BETTING the RAMS might have them way overvalued ...

Best of luck Brother 

Bet with confidence

Sweep your board 

Gonna be upgraded to a mortgage wager with line movement?

Love the thread.  Love the work.  Thanks as always!!!  The college Buffalo squad looking legit too!

Any picks/plays from your local?  He seems to crush the 2-5 plays a year he suggests to you.

Thanks thanks!!!

Appreciate the kindness .

TOO BAD UNIVERSITY AT BUFFALO'S game was cancelled this week ...

Talked to him yesterday...Hopefully he gives me a play or 2 this weekend..

Last weekend was one of his best this season ...Said his bettors got crushed on these games .

Seattle leaving the backdoor open 

Kansas City same ...

Pittsburgh losing against the spread and in teasers -5 . 

Dallas losing 

Raiders losing 

Giants non cover ...

This week its early , but he said Pittsburgh , Las Vegas and Tennessee are used in a majority of teasers ...Maybe one, Two  or all 3 lose outright??? 

I'll check back with him on Sunday morning and post what he says here...

Best of luck Brother 

Talk to you soon 

Udated final record Predictions

Take these with a grain of salt ...NOT meant to dictate weekly wagering, other than possible Futures with value

Ravens 10-6.

Steelers 14-2  

Browns 10-6.

Bengals. 2-13-1

Bills. 12-4.

Dolphins 10-6. 

Patriots 7-9

Jets 1-15  

Titans 11-5. 

Colts. 10-6.

Texans 6-10

Jaguars 2-14.

Chiefs 14-2 

Broncos 6-10 -

Chargers. 5-11. 

Raiders. 9-7. 

AFC playoffs ( Rough draft ) 

STEELERS  23 BROWNS 24 

BILLS  27.   RAVENS 20 

TITANS. 28.   DOPHINS  20

CHIEFS 41.  BROWNS 23

BILLS  29.  TITANS 26

CHEIFS 33.  BILLS 27  

Maybe if i start pounding beers on monday ( 95%) chance that happens ..lol 

No I'm fighting the urge to add any more...Really like both Monday night games right where I have them ..4  and 2 units ...

Best of luck Brother 

Sweep your board 

@DoubleUp4Life

 BOL, sweep the board baby!!! 

Need Fantasy football help ....

6-6 in a crazy 8 way tie for 3rd place ...

6 of the 8 teams will make the playoffs , but I'll probably be on the outside looking in if I lose this week ...

A win definitely gets me in !!! 

Who do I start at QB and FLEX ????

QB LAMAR JACKSON.  Leaning here, but do have some concerns that he is not cleared by Tuesday ...

QB. TAYSOM HILL. He had 24 points against the Falcons a few weeks back...Might not get there this week though ...

QB.  Might need to pickup Alex Smith assuming I roll with Lamar, and he's not cleared to play by 28 hours before kickoff ..

Pencil in the next 3 .

RB Aaron Jones 

RB.  James Robinson 

WR  Stefon Diggs 

WR.  Michael Thomas.  Feels like a must start , but will he produce?? Injuries and fighting teammates have made him a mega bust at the 7th overall pick ...

TE  GOEDERT.   Hope he has another monster game like Monday night ..

K.  Bass 

Defense. GREEN BAY.   Like this spot vs Wentz ...

Need a FLEX 

B COOKS ..Decent performer who could be upgraded with the W Fuller suspension...

D BOOKER.   Lucky FA add with JOSH JACOBS out this week.  Seems like a must start at the Jets ???? 

G BERNARD.  KEEPING him on roster so the 3 teams that could use a RB dont have one .

J Meyers.   Decent option at Chargers,  but I like the top 2 above....

B Snell.    Again on roster to keep someone else from possibly starting him 

GRONK.  Bye 

R Jones.  BYE ...

PLEASE HELP !!

HUGE Bills fan here. Got Allen for Mvp 50-1, can throw that in the trash now unfortunately. I def see over reaction to niners this week af the r the W last week and getting some players back. Seems like the public forgets the Bills also “get players back” via Milano. Allen way better than Mullins. But gotta keep their run game to a minimum. Mullins can’t throw downfield and sucks when he hangs into the ball. Press coverage and stack the box = a win for AirAllen and company 27-17

Good Luck this week Double Brother  

Cooks or Booker for sure.  I think I lean towards Booker.  Cooks may struggle without Fuller taking the double-teams.  Booker could be a workhorse if the Jets get pounded.

I think you could make a case for Cooks over Thomas, especially if you start Hill at QB (which I would do).  Some tough decisions but at least you have good options to choose from.

[Quote: Originally Posted by YouWish]@BuffaloGuy1967 I think that's just cause SF just beat the Rams as +5 dogs.  They looked good.  But they're a very up and down team cause of their injuries.  Tough to know what Niners team will show up.. My guess is they're not consistent / healthy enough to play that well week to week..[/Quote

Bingo in my opinion..

49ers beating the Rams has them overvalued right now...

Win or lose Sunday I'd bet the BILLS -3 or less in this spot everytime for 4+ Units ..

BEST of LUCK BROTHER 

SWEEP your BOARD $$$

Have to imagine if anyone believes the 49ers will make a run for the playoffs ( I dont ) they will pound them in this "MUST WIN " spot ...

Bet with confidence BROTHER 

Win or lose I'd BET the BILLS -3 or less here everytime in this spot  for 4+ units .

GO BILLS ..

Buffalo Guy where are you from ??? I went to BENNNETT HS back in the day ...

WASHINGTON DC FOOTBALL TEAM 4-7 

AT STEELERS. +3.4.    Brutal Monday night spot vs a rested DC squad ??? STEELERS will have Sunday night game or moved to MNF at BILLS on deck ...This was a INSTA INVESTMENT +8.5  for 2 UNITS ..

AT *SF 49ERS. -0.8.  . Everyone appears to be in love with the 49ers right now after they beat the RAMS ..Predicting that will change after they lose to the BILLS...This game could be a coin flip and might be another good spot for DC . If splits at Pitt, at *SF they should be down to around -125  to win the division or less ( Assuming Giants lose next 2 )

SEAHAWKS. +3.5 Looks like a tough one on paper , but it is the dreaded trip far east for a west coast team in December ...Hawks have huge division revenge game vs Rams on deck ..That Hawks O Line better get healthy or DC could dominate the line of scrimmage...

PANTHERS. -8.1. Carolina has been a tough out for the most part , but maybe they've already packed it in by this point ??? As one of our Fantastic Covers BROTHERS mentioned RIVERA vs his old team ...

At EAGLES. -1.1  . My Numbers have the Eagles losing their next 4 games( or at least 3 )  ..Wentz keeps taking hits he might not be around here...Even if the Eagles go 1-3 this game could be meaningless for them ....

3-2  , with a crack at 4-1 ???  3-2 probably wins the Divison despite NEW JERSEY GIANTS owning the tie break ..2-3 will likely not be good enough 

Never underestimate the human interest story that ALEX SMITH brings to the table ..The NFL loves these soap operas .

Anything is possible from here on out....Maybe win a playoff game??

7-9 are my current predictions.

NY GIANTS. 4-7

They look do look a tad sexy at the current number +200. and more so before week 12 , but keep in mind they barely beat a bad Bungals squad and now Daniel Jones is banged up ...

At SEAHAWKS. +10.3. Hawks appear to be in a must win spot ..

CARDINALS +4.  . If I could bet the CARDS on a look ahead line now I would...That being said this game is an coin flip at best ..With a healthy Jones the G MEN should be a 1-2.5 point chalk, and I'll probably be on ARIZONA for 1+ UNITS .......Cards should be desperate for a playoff push needed W.

BROWNS. +0.1  . Another coin flip at best ..The Browns offense appears to be built for tough North East December games

AT RAVENS. +6.9. Baltimore will definitely need this game for a playoff push ...

COWBOYS. -1.9 .  Wish I could write off the Cowboys but theyll likely be the chalk in 3 if their 4 games before this ...Who knows at this point ..

Maybe 3-2 at Best  , but if they go 1-2 in the next 3 games it looks like a 2-3 or worse overall finish....2-3 or 1-4 ??? Or does the NFL HELP THE BIG CITY???

 6-10 is my PREDICTION

I took pitt -7(-105)

Considering the line opened -10 and hit -10.5 at some books early, I couldn't pass up the value. If I push I'm fine with it.

GL this week DU 

P.S. looks like Christmas is early in your house this year, just like that jive turkey came a week early

EAGLES. 3-7-1 

The O Line is horrible and Wentz is a liability on every snap...Behind an average O Line Wentz would probably be a decent NFL STARTING QB ...He could be knocked out at any time ...Hurts probably loses every game he starts . 

AT PACKERS. +9.8.  Might be a letdown spot for the PACK , but I dont see how the Eagles can keep up !!!  

SAINTS +4. Might be a must win at home for the Eagles playoff chances ..The Saints front 7 is capable of knocking Wentz into 2021 ...Slight let down spot for the Saints ??

AT. CARDINALS. +7.2. Another brutal spot vs a team that can put up points in bunches...

At COWBOYS +4.4  COIN Flip at best , but "America's team" should laying at least a FG ...Might depend on who has more healthy O Linemen ...

WASHINGTON DC. +1.1 .  Most of my numbers have this game being meaningless for the EAGLES ...Win or lose here i dont think they have a realistic chance of this game getting them into the playoffs...

1-4 with a bottom feeders crack at 0-5 finish ...

4-11-1.  

COWBOYS 3-8 

Stick a fork in them ??? No they could be the chalk in 4 of the 5 remaining games...Dont think they can win more than 3 though .

at RAVENS. +6.9.  WHO knows what Ravens will suit up next week This number is based on Lamar and others being cleared. 

AT BENGALS -6.1. Guessing the NATIONAL FLAG LEAGUE ( Or non flag league ) will help Jerry's kids I'd needed here ...

49ers. -3.6.   Another spot where the NFL could help Dallas ...49ers have a crack at playing the ultimate spoiler down the stretch with a slight chance at a playoff spot..Especially if they add an 8th seed ...

EAGLES -4.4 . Who knows but I like this matchup on paper for the Boys ......

At GIANTS +1.9.  This could be for the Divison, but there is so much football left to be played and the Cowboys will probably need a 3-1 run before the finale for this game to be a defacto playoff game ...

3-2 I guess , but 2-3 seems more likely with this extremely inconsistent squad ..M[ore injuries ??

4-1 needed to win the Division???

6-10