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    All Forums | NFL Betting Forum

    Week 18

    NutinButtLove
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    NutinButtLove
    NutinButtLove
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2025 - 10:52 AM ET #1

    Not a week to go crazy on, all the teams with something to play for it's baked into the line and they're playing bad teams so the spreads are quite high. Laying 14 is about as unpalatable as taking a team like the Saints

    Colts -3

    The Jags have just swept the titans but have lost to everyone else in the last 2 months. Colts are out of it now but everyone who isn't is either a huge fav or sitting starters so there's a little value here to get a reasonable spread vs a bad team. They could be flat after that elimination loss but I'll see if they can get up for a division opponent for the final game.

    Falcons -7.5

    They can't get in unless the Bucs lose to Carolina which isn't happening but I still think they can blow out Carolina. The Panthers have played better of late but the resurgence has fizzled out as their defense has given up over 30 the last 3 games and the offense wasn't better just because Bryce Young - Chuba Hubbard balled out this year he has the 6th most rush yards and 171 yards receiving. He is done for the season and so is Sanders, they basically have no RBs now. He is a critical loss for them. I also kinda like the over here as both teams will probably want to get their young QBs lots of reps throwing to develop them for next season

     

    Broncos -10.5

    KC owns Denver, so is unlikely to care about this game or care if Denver makes the playoffs. A rookie QB isn't gonna come into Arrowhead and beat Spags defense. The offense was mediocre just doing enough to win so the backups facing a very good Denver defense probably won't do much. Anyone of any importance to the offense will sit as KC has been plagued by injuries all season. Denver will relish the opportunity to not only make the playoffs but finally get a big win over KC. Wentz holds the ball too long, the Denver Pass rush is a bad matchup for him IMO

    Lions Moneyline

    Their defense has been getting torched lately but I still think they are the best team in the division and probably the NFC. Minnesota tried to get into a track meet with them last time, it didn't work because Detroit is in their element in those type of games, but that's all their coach knows is to push the aggression. Should be a great game but I like the Lions to stamp their authority here coming home after back to back road games and winning a game they didn't even need just to prove they could. In a big game like this I'll trust the team with the QB that has been to the super bowl over the one that has never even played in a playoff game.

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Not a week to go crazy on, all the teams with something to play for it's baked into the line and they're playing bad teams so the spreads are quite high. Laying 14 is about as unpalatable as taking a team like the Saints

    Colts -3

    The Jags have just swept the titans but have lost to everyone else in the last 2 months. Colts are out of it now but everyone who isn't is either a huge fav or sitting starters so there's a little value here to get a reasonable spread vs a bad team. They could be flat after that elimination loss but I'll see if they can get up for a division opponent for the final game.

    Falcons -7.5

    They can't get in unless the Bucs lose to Carolina which isn't happening but I still think they can blow out Carolina. The Panthers have played better of late but the resurgence has fizzled out as their defense has given up over 30 the last 3 games and the offense wasn't better just because Bryce Young - Chuba Hubbard balled out this year he has the 6th most rush yards and 171 yards receiving. He is done for the season and so is Sanders, they basically have no RBs now. He is a critical loss for them. I also kinda like the over here as both teams will probably want to get their young QBs lots of reps throwing to develop them for next season

     

    Broncos -10.5

    KC owns Denver, so is unlikely to care about this game or care if Denver makes the playoffs. A rookie QB isn't gonna come into Arrowhead and beat Spags defense. The offense was mediocre just doing enough to win so the backups facing a very good Denver defense probably won't do much. Anyone of any importance to the offense will sit as KC has been plagued by injuries all season. Denver will relish the opportunity to not only make the playoffs but finally get a big win over KC. Wentz holds the ball too long, the Denver Pass rush is a bad matchup for him IMO

    Lions Moneyline

    Their defense has been getting torched lately but I still think they are the best team in the division and probably the NFC. Minnesota tried to get into a track meet with them last time, it didn't work because Detroit is in their element in those type of games, but that's all their coach knows is to push the aggression. Should be a great game but I like the Lions to stamp their authority here coming home after back to back road games and winning a game they didn't even need just to prove they could. In a big game like this I'll trust the team with the QB that has been to the super bowl over the one that has never even played in a playoff game.

     
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2025 - 10:55 AM ET #2

    @NutinButtLove

     cloveran_cheers

    Reply

    @NutinButtLove

     cloveran_cheers

     
     
    Fuse
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    Posts: 85270
    Posted: Jan. 5, 2025 - 10:58 AM ET #3

    LOVE peaceclover

    Learn, be content and stay disciplined.
    Reply

    LOVE peaceclover

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