Not one to ever flex as it is uncouth and weak, however, will make an exception here.
Had an award winning year with MY model of regression and Anchor teasers won 61.2%
over 733 posted plays (448-285). The decades old truism that when the pendulum swings
too far one then back it will return back (regression). After doing the deep dive for the previous
5 years it became evident that there was +EV when identifying the highest candidates for regression.
When embedded in to a two team teaser model the EV grew. Being that ROI is my yardstick, I
had projected a 58% win rate for 450+ plays. Well, as fate would have it I became somewhat agile
with the SDQL protocols (thanx indigo, hoody, DBW, spottie, and riderx) and my field of available potential
candidates increased as well. I love more action and believe this is what stopped anyone from benefiting from
this MONSTER SCHEME. My juice ranged from (-108 to -123) and completely got outside of recency bias, match ups,
power ratings, revenge angles, strength of schedule, sandwich games, trap lines etc. I use Vegas' own lines to
form my basis, nobody will usurp the sharp prices that Vegas creates.
My year has three phases: FUTURES, REGULAR SEASON, PLAYOFFS
FUTURES;
HOUSTON to win AFC SOUTH (W) 5%
HOUSTON to go OVER 9.5 wins (W) 2%
Lost a hedge bet on TENN this week (L) 4.5%
Still have 1.5%@8.5:1 to win AFC and 1%@16:1 to win SB
Will guarantee some more profit from better hedging....lol
REGULAR SEASON: Already discussed, never seen a more prolific winning system
with this massive sample size. Remember "SDQL Anchor Regressive Teaser"
PLAYOFFS:
Also a much different approach, we will see if this experiment merits
further considerations. That will be my FIRST and LAST flex.
GOOD LUCK ALL !!