Week 3 Prop Plays

Rhamondre Stevenson O 16.5 Rush Attempts (+105) - Is this a trap?  25 and 21 attempts in week 1 and 2.  Don't see the game-plan changing much vs. NYJ who have struggled vs. the run so far.  Seems to me NE will try to milk clock and play keep away, hoping this is tight late in the 4th quarter.  

Also looking at Demario Douglas and Hunter Henry receptions.  Douglas is upset that he got 0 targets last week and Mayo has said they will try to get the ball to him. Sad to say, but they are probably the next best offensive players after Stevenson.  Henry has always been a talent, but he's always hurt.  Douglas averaged 40 yards per game last season (Total @ 22.5 vs. NYJ) and won't face Sauce or DJ Reed in the slot, likely gets Michael Carter

Josh Jacob’s and Jamir White are due

@BigMick87

 Seems very reasonable. Surprised its not 19.5-21.5. You would certainly think the game plan as you said, which is really the only game plan the Pats have would support him getting at least 20 carries.

@Yanasaur

Rashid Shaheed OVER Rec. Yards (48.5 -115) Longest Reception (22.5 -110) - This game could be a let-down spot for New Orleans, but i'm expecting points either way.  The Eagles defense have proved over the last year that they are highly susceptible to the big play in the passing game and right now i'm not sure there isn't a better 'big-play' threat than Shaheed.  

GL  on your plays props to you mah man @BigMick87 

@Macwestie1

Antonio Gibson O 1.5 Receptions (+135) - He saw a bump in carries last week and performed well (11 carries 96 yards) and caught his 1st pass of the season.  Being a receiving RB has been Gibson's role since he came into the NFL, last year he had at least 2 catches in 12/16 games with Washington.  I know this is a different team, but Brissett has been a checkdown-machine in his career.  This is also a slight fade of my Rhamondre prop, since it's possible the short week causes more of a 50/50 split in snaps between the 2 RB's.

@BigMick87

 I think I like this one the best. I just played it myself too

@Yanasaur

 Gibson. 

glad it hit, because Stevenson ain’t getting getting there.   

Gibson was +175 before kickoff, but couldn’t pull trigger. Honestly may not have hit since he never entered the game until Stevenson hurt his pinky

(16-12)  

Jalen Hurts Over 40.5 Rushing Yards(-110) - Saints play a lot of 'man-coverage' which causes DB's to have their backs turned to a scrambling QB.  Saints gave up the 3rd most rushing yards to QB's last season.  Hurts is forced to run more with A.J. Brown still out of the lineup 

Brock Bowers ATD (+230) - Bowers is the most targeted TE in NFL through 2 weeks. Panthers have allowed 2 TD's to TE's already....worth a shot  

Jaylen Warren Over 6.5 Rushing attempts (-110) - He seems to be over his hamstring injury and this backfield has been more of timeshare going back to last season when Warren had at least 7 rushing attempts in 13 of 17 games.  One thing that can screw this up is Arthur Smith's love affair with Corradelle Patterson.  

Checking out some Unders too

Another guy i'm looking at (more like waiting on) is Xavier Legette.  I was going to take his Over on receptions 1.5, but the only book with it has it juiced -135, so i'm waiting if i can find better odds

@BigMick87

 I was checking out bowers and minshew  looks like he always looks for his TE.I think I'm a play this

Good stuff, I like that Bowers and Warren play. I added the Bowers but my book only has 6+ rush attempts at -200 something or 9+ at +200 something so im out on that. 

Good luck tomorrow, lets wreck the prop market

@Yanasaur

  my man  

I'm having some trouble locking down Unders i like  

Thinking about Daniel Jones Under 181.5 Passing yards.  Jones actually has better career passing numbers on the road, but Browns pass defense has been strong at home over the last year. Jones faced the worst pass defense in WAS las week and still was held to 178 yards.  If this was a cold and windy Cleveland day, i'd be all over this, but it's going to be near 90 degrees and Sunny    I'll sleep on it  

See you before early kickoff 

2 RB Parlay Prop  

Jaleel McLaughlin Over 1.5 Receptions & Devon Achane Over 3.5 Receptions (+168) - McLaughlin let me down in Week 1, but he still had 5 catches.  The other bad news is that he saw 0 targets in Week 2, but this Broncos team needs a spark and McLaughlin is that type of player to provide one. The entire backfield and running game has been awful, so Payton is going to lean on the pass.  Through 2 Weeks, Achane has seen 14 targets and has 14 catches.  I don't see much changing in their gameplan today, i expect short passes close to the LOS out of Skylar Thompson.  If the Dolphins get behind, i like this even better  

Cam Akers Under 58.5 Rushing Yards (-110) - Don't expect Texans to run much today and Minnesota has done well against the run so far this year

Shaheed WTF 

Kubiak blowing all that good will he built up over last 2 weeks.  Philly is crowding the LOS and they keep running Kamara right into it  

Where are the pass plays against a stacked front???? Awful play-calling

Even Greg Olson calling it out....like WTF are you doing?????

McLaughlin   Bo Nix completes all them passes and only 1 to him.  I'd take this again because he was wide open all game, only issue was that so was every Bronco receiver downfield

Warren Shaheed Hurts    

Akers

falling apart...need a Bowers TD to salvage the day