Week 4

Question

Jaguars &#x2B;7 (-115) 1.5u

Rollz · Accepted Answer

Jags 0-3 with their backs against the wall. Love getting 7 in a divisional matchup at Houston. Houston has not been a good cover as a favorite, as stroud is 3-8 ats as a fav. This has also been a great spot to back the dog..

-Teams to lose by 35+ pts, are 76-47-6 ATS (62%) in their next game. When those teams are +4 or higher in their next game, they are 50-19-2 ATS (73%)

I would expect a focused jags team hoping to notch their first win off an embarrassing loss on Monday night

Rollz · Answer

Jaguars &#x2B;7 (-115) 1.5u

D-Town · Answer

Good luck Rollz.

jowchoo · Answer

I try very hard Not to get caught up in recency bias as it is a bankroll killer, BUT this Jags team has been just terrible on both sides

of the ball and looked to have quit on their coach. I have a strong angle on NO.

jowchoo · Answer

&#xA; &#xA;HF and week&lt;11 and n:day=Thursday&#xA;69%&#xA;NO &#x2B;1.5 (double play)

jowchoo · Answer

should be&#xA;NO-7

jowchoo · Answer

&#xA;Disregard, few too many rums...lol

sportschat · Answer

BOL this week Rollz

Rollz · Answer

@jowchoo&#xA; I lean towards NO myself. BOL this week pal

Rollz · Answer

When you start hearing Sam Darnold mvp talks I think you’ve probably hit near the top of the market on Minny. Vikings aren’t going to cover every game, and I think this line is very generous for Green Bay at Lambeau. I understand this Vikings defense is legit, with one of the highest blitz rates in the nfl. That shouldn’t disrupt Jordan love much (assuming he plays) as he was the 2nd highest graded passer against the blitz last year. He also threw for 256 w/ 3 TD against this Vikings defense last year in Minnesota. Packers defense thus far has looked very opportunistic leading the league in interceptions. That’s scary for Sam Darnold who has had his fair share of questionable decisions through the air. Like this spot for the pack. Some other notes…

-Teams that are 3-0 and an underdog in game 4 are 6-19 SU, 9-15 ATS last 20 yrs

-Lafleur is 19-11 ATS against divisional opponents as head coach of the packers

-Lafleur is 23-14 ATS as a home favorite with the packers

-Sam Darnold is 9-19 SU on the road

Packers -2.5 (-115) 1.5u

Wizerguy · Answer

Love it Rollz..may tail the GB pick..wont post out of respect

Rollz · Answer

@Wizerguy&#xA; Hope all is well man! No worries brotha If you like it post it won&#x2019;t hurt my feelings. I just wanted to get it in early in case this line gets to 3. BOL this week

Rollz · Answer

Colts &#x2B;2 (-112) 1.5u

Macwestie1 · Answer

GL on your plays @Rollz&#xA;Go Packers

Rollz · Answer

@Macwestie1&#xA; Much appreciated mac

Rollz · Answer

Couple adds..&#xA;Bengals -4 (-120) 1.5u&#xA;Ravens -2.5 (-110) 1.5u

Rollz · Answer

Full card. Picked up AZ.&#xA; &#xA;Jaguars &#x2B;7 (-115) 1.5u&#xA;Packers -2.5 (-115) 1.5u&#xA;Colts &#x2B;2 (-112) 1.5u&#xA;Bengals -4 (-120) 1.5u&#xA;Cardinals -3.5 (-102) 1.5u&#xA;Ravens -2.5 (-110) 1.5u&#xA; &#xA;Updated record&#xA;8-14 (-7.19 units)