Posted:
#1
easy cash with pittsburgh last week vs kansas city following on from our other winner arizona over tampa bay
onto week 5 and the first time we have multiple plays all which offer tremendous line value imo
la rams (scr) vs buffalo
how can this line be right ?? this line equates to buffalo being 6-7 pt favs (depending on how much hfa you give both teams) if the fixture was reversed. 2 weeks ago arizona were 5pt favs at buffalo so are arizona 11-12 pts better than the rams on a neutral field. well last week they were laying 10 at home and lost outright !! massive value with the rams.
detroit (+4) vs philadelphia
again reverse this line and philly is laying 10 at home to the lions. 4 weeks ago they were laying 3.5 to cleveland and 2 weeks ago were getting 3.5 from the steelers. are cleveland 6.5 points better than detroit on a neutral NO and would you want to lay 13.5 with the steelers on a neutral (well i certainly wouldn't). this line is way over inflated and the lions are the play.
denver (-?) vs atlanta
holding out for a -4 at the moment being a key number but even at -4.5 this line is out of whack. according to this line (if we say -4) atlanta would be a field goal favourite against an unbeaten team. talk about an overreaction to 1 good result from the falcons !! first game of the season atlanta layed 2.5 to the buccaneers but no one here would take pick em tampa over denver on a neutral.
3 very strong line plays imo hoping to keep the run going.
onto week 5 and the first time we have multiple plays all which offer tremendous line value imo
la rams (scr) vs buffalo
how can this line be right ?? this line equates to buffalo being 6-7 pt favs (depending on how much hfa you give both teams) if the fixture was reversed. 2 weeks ago arizona were 5pt favs at buffalo so are arizona 11-12 pts better than the rams on a neutral field. well last week they were laying 10 at home and lost outright !! massive value with the rams.
detroit (+4) vs philadelphia
again reverse this line and philly is laying 10 at home to the lions. 4 weeks ago they were laying 3.5 to cleveland and 2 weeks ago were getting 3.5 from the steelers. are cleveland 6.5 points better than detroit on a neutral NO and would you want to lay 13.5 with the steelers on a neutral (well i certainly wouldn't). this line is way over inflated and the lions are the play.
denver (-?) vs atlanta
holding out for a -4 at the moment being a key number but even at -4.5 this line is out of whack. according to this line (if we say -4) atlanta would be a field goal favourite against an unbeaten team. talk about an overreaction to 1 good result from the falcons !! first game of the season atlanta layed 2.5 to the buccaneers but no one here would take pick em tampa over denver on a neutral.
3 very strong line plays imo hoping to keep the run going.
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