Week 5

This line in the bengals ravens has moved too far in my opinion. Bengals showed some life last week, although it was against the panthers, but the run game finally showed up and we know what burrow can do through the air. They do this every year it seems btw, lay eggs in the first couple games then hit their stride. Baltimore is also coming off of 2 big wins at Dallas and on sunday night vs the surging Bills. Do we see any sort of let down here? maybe. This matchup in cincy last year had baltimore as a 3 point dog, i just dont know what has changed in the past year to make a 5.5-6 point difference in this spread. I do not think this years ravens team is better than last. The cincy defense is clearly a problem, but baltimore has given up a ton of air yards throughout these first few weeks which plays right into burrows hand. I just think this line is an overreaction and and i trust Burrow to keep this game close. I like the desperate dog at home getting a field goal. Juiced up at DK

-Cincinatti is 23-15-1 ATS after a straight up win

-Burrow is 14-8 ATS (63.6%) as an underdog

Bengals +3 (-118) 1.5u

@Rollz

 BOL this week, nice write up 

@Rollz

 Rollz.........thank you for your early thought's buddy......

here's to a winning week5......indy

@Rollz

BOL

Good luck Rollz.  

@sportschat

@Supat125

@indy2

@D-Town

Thanks all  

Texans +1 (-110) 1.5u

Going the other way. Balt. is moving in the right direction.

Division game is important. Balt.-2.5

@tahoejoe2

 Divison game is important for both teams, but actually tends to lend to the dog. Especially in the AFC North.

-Underdogs in AFC North divisional games are 45-29 ATS (61%) since 2018, best of any division, they are .500 ATS or better in 7 straight seasons and they are 23-14 ATS since 2021.

I just think these teams are more even than this line implies. I get the case for the Ravens though, Lamar has been a cash cow as a favorite of 2.5 or less throughout his career. Gl this week buddy

Steelers -1.5 (-115) 1.5u

BOL Rollz

GL  on your plays @Rollz

Another line that feels like an overreaction with the public seemingly hammering the Bucs. I think this line should be a field goal so I’ll take the value with the home team. Just a 1 unit play 

Falcons -2.5 (-108) 1u

@MP2056

@Macwestie1

Much Appreciated fellas gl this week  

Good luck on this weeks plays Rollz 

Panthers +4 (-110) 1.5u

My best bet on WK5

BOL

@Rollz

Your picks on WK5 are same as mine .

Start with the bang on Falcons.

You are really on the roll.

WK5 is ours. Let bang the book.

Best of Luck, Bro.

@Rollz

  #1 very enticing indeed 

BOL this week 

@Coloneljim

@Macwestie1

@Raiders22

@Supat125

Thanks all, BOL on any plays 

Picked up a smaller play on Jets. Looking at a couple others 

Falcons -2.5 (-108) 1u 

Jets +2.5 (-105) 1u

Bengals +3 (-118) 1.5u

Texans +1 (-110) 1.5u

Steelers -1.5 (-115) 1.5u

Panthers +4 (-110) 1.5u

Updated record

13-17 (-5.00 units)

Broncos -2.5 (-120) 1u

Good Luck! 

Good work Rollz! With you on Pitt BOL