Posted:
#1
Let the haters come out now. All the final numbers are in and while the lines may move a bit, these are what I get as final scores and what I'll be playing. If you think you "busted" me for using OddsShark as one of my resources, fine. They post the earliest picks so helps me gauge the week. Weight all the other sites and this is what I get. Listen if you want, it makes no difference to me. I just post this to help. I take no credit for the research, just the formula and the math...Like I always have.
STL/JAX - 19-7. The spread is now 12 so I'll stay away from the game but I like the U41 a lot.
KC/TEN - 25-19. With a spread of 3 that's too close for me and the O/U is at 39 so maybe a 5pt over but better stuff is out there.
PHL/NYG - 23-15. I STILL think this is not gonna be a shootout so...Philly getting 3 (a gift) and the U53.5 will be booked.
BAL/MIA - 20-18. BAL getting 3 may be a ML play too (haven't decided) and the u43.5. Too close on the O/U and the game may or may not happen, right now...I'll say won't happen.
SEA/IND - 25-25. IND getting 3 at home may be the difference. The O/U is 44 so over by 6 but this game may be more fun to watch than bet.
DET/GB - 31-31. I think EVERONE expects a shootout and a close game therefore DET +7 looks nice and LV can't go much higher on the O54. I like both DET and the O
NO/CHC - 33-27. Are we betting on the weather? Line has moved to NO -1 so people like Brees' chances. I agree though only a 5 pt cover isn't really attractive. The O49. That's a bet!
CAR/AZ - 23-17. Game is too tight on both ends. CAR should cover by 4 at a -2 and the O/U of 42 looks pretty accurate.
DEN/DAL - 38-27. Can't wait to watch this one! Can anyone stop Peyton? Sure DEN is giving 9 in Big D but should still squeak a cover. My bet is on the O57 though as they should beat it by a TD and some garbage time points.
HOU/SF - 21-20. Houston getting 7? Wow! A lotta Bay area money must be coming in. I like HOU at +7 but hate the O/U at 42.
SD/OAK - 25-21. Hate the line of SD -5 and hate the O/U of 45. OUT!
NYJ/ATL - 22-19. I think we all agree here after all the comments I've read. ATL is not gonna win by 10, just a FG. I'll wait till Monday on this game. I have a hard time betting on NYJ. The O/U of 43.5 sucks too.
Anyway, my official picks and ones I'm playing are:
STL/JAX U41
PHL/NYG U53.5
DET +7
DET/GB O54
NO/CHC O49
DEN/DAL O57
HOU +7
The only bet that changed since Monday is that I flipped on the SD/OAK game and never liked it anyway. Best of luck to all and if you hate me, hate me. I didn't ask you to care anyway!
STL/JAX - 19-7. The spread is now 12 so I'll stay away from the game but I like the U41 a lot.
KC/TEN - 25-19. With a spread of 3 that's too close for me and the O/U is at 39 so maybe a 5pt over but better stuff is out there.
PHL/NYG - 23-15. I STILL think this is not gonna be a shootout so...Philly getting 3 (a gift) and the U53.5 will be booked.
BAL/MIA - 20-18. BAL getting 3 may be a ML play too (haven't decided) and the u43.5. Too close on the O/U and the game may or may not happen, right now...I'll say won't happen.
SEA/IND - 25-25. IND getting 3 at home may be the difference. The O/U is 44 so over by 6 but this game may be more fun to watch than bet.
DET/GB - 31-31. I think EVERONE expects a shootout and a close game therefore DET +7 looks nice and LV can't go much higher on the O54. I like both DET and the O
NO/CHC - 33-27. Are we betting on the weather? Line has moved to NO -1 so people like Brees' chances. I agree though only a 5 pt cover isn't really attractive. The O49. That's a bet!
CAR/AZ - 23-17. Game is too tight on both ends. CAR should cover by 4 at a -2 and the O/U of 42 looks pretty accurate.
DEN/DAL - 38-27. Can't wait to watch this one! Can anyone stop Peyton? Sure DEN is giving 9 in Big D but should still squeak a cover. My bet is on the O57 though as they should beat it by a TD and some garbage time points.
HOU/SF - 21-20. Houston getting 7? Wow! A lotta Bay area money must be coming in. I like HOU at +7 but hate the O/U at 42.
SD/OAK - 25-21. Hate the line of SD -5 and hate the O/U of 45. OUT!
NYJ/ATL - 22-19. I think we all agree here after all the comments I've read. ATL is not gonna win by 10, just a FG. I'll wait till Monday on this game. I have a hard time betting on NYJ. The O/U of 43.5 sucks too.
Anyway, my official picks and ones I'm playing are:
STL/JAX U41
PHL/NYG U53.5
DET +7
DET/GB O54
NO/CHC O49
DEN/DAL O57
HOU +7
The only bet that changed since Monday is that I flipped on the SD/OAK game and never liked it anyway. Best of luck to all and if you hate me, hate me. I didn't ask you to care anyway!
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