Every 1-1 week is better than 0-2 so i'll take the Bucs loss as a something normal and will move on. Later in the week i will post my plays... already have some leans but nothing special or concrete. BOL fellas... let's find the edge this week.
Every 1-1 week is better than 0-2 so i'll take the Bucs loss as a something normal and will move on. Later in the week i will post my plays... already have some leans but nothing special or concrete. BOL fellas... let's find the edge this week.
The game on my radar is Broncos at Raiders. Denver are 4-0 and have one of the best defenses in football right now.. especially their pass defense is awesome. They look as an absolute lock to win AFC West again. They face much weaker opponent like Raiders this week. Everything points like a fifth consecutive win for the Broncos. Oakland lost their last game against one of the worst teams in the league right now Chicago. Most of the people was on Oakland side that game and they now will love to fade this bunch of losers against a team that have 7 consecutive wins over them (Broncos). All of these 7 wins was with double digit blowouts including last season's 41-17 and 47-14... Last five lines in that clash Raiders were 10,16,10,12.5 and 16.5 dogs... it seems like Denver has the Oakland numbers and this (what?!?!) 5 points spread won't be problem for Broncos and they will go easily with 5-0 before their bye week huh ? What a gift! But no thanks... i won't jump in that lake and gladly will take the improved Oakland team with QB that i really like (Carr) to stay close and play like they did in their last home game against Ravens. I see the same scenario this week like it was in week 2. Lots of Broncos tickets with the reason "they have their numbers" and "there is no way Raiders to cover here" to burn cause Oakland are much different team since last season and they finally won't get that Big double digit L they took last seven times. One of my system criteria which point me to play Raiders in week 2 as a home dog against Ravens again show me the Raiders side. Right now i see Oak as good dog value team. And i will take this situation again.
Lean: Oakland Raiders + 5
0
The game on my radar is Broncos at Raiders. Denver are 4-0 and have one of the best defenses in football right now.. especially their pass defense is awesome. They look as an absolute lock to win AFC West again. They face much weaker opponent like Raiders this week. Everything points like a fifth consecutive win for the Broncos. Oakland lost their last game against one of the worst teams in the league right now Chicago. Most of the people was on Oakland side that game and they now will love to fade this bunch of losers against a team that have 7 consecutive wins over them (Broncos). All of these 7 wins was with double digit blowouts including last season's 41-17 and 47-14... Last five lines in that clash Raiders were 10,16,10,12.5 and 16.5 dogs... it seems like Denver has the Oakland numbers and this (what?!?!) 5 points spread won't be problem for Broncos and they will go easily with 5-0 before their bye week huh ? What a gift! But no thanks... i won't jump in that lake and gladly will take the improved Oakland team with QB that i really like (Carr) to stay close and play like they did in their last home game against Ravens. I see the same scenario this week like it was in week 2. Lots of Broncos tickets with the reason "they have their numbers" and "there is no way Raiders to cover here" to burn cause Oakland are much different team since last season and they finally won't get that Big double digit L they took last seven times. One of my system criteria which point me to play Raiders in week 2 as a home dog against Ravens again show me the Raiders side. Right now i see Oak as good dog value team. And i will take this situation again.
Let's see if this is a huge trap cause that line is fishy as hell IMO. I have one home favorite but will need more research to make it a play. Later in the week i will post it.
Let's see if this is a huge trap cause that line is fishy as hell IMO. I have one home favorite but will need more research to make it a play. Later in the week i will post it.
Just at a glance, something is telling me Den blowout.. have not looked at this game yet but now I need to consider you are on oak!! GL this week buddy!
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Just at a glance, something is telling me Den blowout.. have not looked at this game yet but now I need to consider you are on oak!! GL this week buddy!
I think it will goes to - 4 soon but later in the week (Saturday and Sunday) the square plays (depend on the money of course) could move it again to something around - 5. Really can't say 100% what is gonna happen but i like my + 5 right now when i saw in the morning that already is + 4.5. I also watched one particular line right now cause it's moving in my favor so i just wait to pound my second and final bet for the week (home favorite).
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I think it will goes to - 4 soon but later in the week (Saturday and Sunday) the square plays (depend on the money of course) could move it again to something around - 5. Really can't say 100% what is gonna happen but i like my + 5 right now when i saw in the morning that already is + 4.5. I also watched one particular line right now cause it's moving in my favor so i just wait to pound my second and final bet for the week (home favorite).
We have both teams with the hardest schedules so far in the season. Both teams with 1-3 record. And both teams fighting for safe the season this weekend. Kansas is more talented team here and there is no doubt. However Chiefs play awful ball since start of the season... their offense doesn't click at all... they have only one passing TD in four games... they even didn't score any TD last week against Bengals and all of their points were made by field goals. The good news for the Kansas fans is that at least their kicker is awesome and made every next field goal. I write that because you what is the situation with the field goals since start of the season.. There are teams like Buccaneers that can't score single field goal... it's pathetic. On the other side we have Chicago Bears which finally get their first win last week with Cutler back. Surprisingly Chicago are top 10 defense in the league right now. The question here is how can you pass the free 8-10 points for the Bears which the books give it to you ? Kansas offense looks like garbage and it seems this team find hard time to score points... The game is written for Bears to cover isn't it ? But i will tell you that this line is set too high for a reason and you will understand why on Sunday early afternoon. I will take KC for sure and will lay the points for the easy double digits win. Any single digit line here for me have value for this pissed off hungry team in front of one of the best home crowds in the league.
Lean: Kansas City Chiefs - 8.5
Will wait a little if i can catch - 8 but i think this - 8.5 would be the best here.
0
The second game on my radar is Bears at Chiefs.
We have both teams with the hardest schedules so far in the season. Both teams with 1-3 record. And both teams fighting for safe the season this weekend. Kansas is more talented team here and there is no doubt. However Chiefs play awful ball since start of the season... their offense doesn't click at all... they have only one passing TD in four games... they even didn't score any TD last week against Bengals and all of their points were made by field goals. The good news for the Kansas fans is that at least their kicker is awesome and made every next field goal. I write that because you what is the situation with the field goals since start of the season.. There are teams like Buccaneers that can't score single field goal... it's pathetic. On the other side we have Chicago Bears which finally get their first win last week with Cutler back. Surprisingly Chicago are top 10 defense in the league right now. The question here is how can you pass the free 8-10 points for the Bears which the books give it to you ? Kansas offense looks like garbage and it seems this team find hard time to score points... The game is written for Bears to cover isn't it ? But i will tell you that this line is set too high for a reason and you will understand why on Sunday early afternoon. I will take KC for sure and will lay the points for the easy double digits win. Any single digit line here for me have value for this pissed off hungry team in front of one of the best home crowds in the league.
Lean: Kansas City Chiefs - 8.5
Will wait a little if i can catch - 8 but i think this - 8.5 would be the best here.
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