Posted:
#1
Record YTD: 16-11-1
Lastwk we went a mediocre 6-4, but we finished with big wins on SNF n MNF. Looking to build off that momentum...
Week 5 Picks:
Philadelphia -2.5 (@ Buffalo)
The Eagles are coming off an awful home collapse. Buffalo finally suffered their first loss of the season. I'm sure most people expected this to be a 1-3 team vs a 3-1 team, but the teams records were probably reversed. This game isn't actually in Buffalo but rather it's in Canada. Granted, that's pretty close to Buff but make no mistake, Philly fans travel very well! This won't be a 95-5 fan split, probably more 60-40, not exactly an insanely overwhelming homefield advantage for the Bills. Philly needs this Win very badly and I believe their players have stepped up and addressed eachother, basically putting all of their individual talents into a collective mindset. I believe we see a fluid Eagles team, and I believe it's on both sides of the ball. Offensively I see the Eagles scoring early and often, while defensively I see them shutting down Buffalos WRs. I'm slightly worried about FJax, but I think their LBs step up and play fast, ganging up on the Buff run game. I think the Eagles give us a glimpse of what they couldve been... Or maybe will be from here on out. (Laying 2 Units)
KC +2 (@ Indy)
I understand that Curtis Painter definitely looked better behind center than Collins, as I was on Indy, but it's not exactly like Painter was great. 150 of his 280 Yds came on two plays to Pierre Garçon, where Pierres YAC (yards after catch) was probably 130 of that 150. The first was a slightly blown coverage where Garçon made someone miss n the other was basically a WR screen where Pierre followed his blocks well n made ppl miss. Painters throws didn't "make the plays" if you will. He basically just managed the game and allowed his playmakers to make plays. I expect KC to play this game hard and aggressively, as it could be one of their few wins this season. I expect KC to force some TOs and possible take em to the house. Curtis Painter will look more like... Well, Curtis Painter! (Laying 1.5 Units)
Oakland +7 (@ Houston)
It's no secret that Andre Johnson is out, and it's no secret that Andre Johnson is awesome! If Calvins Megatron, then Andres Optimus Prime (color scheme is similar too! Lol). Without Andre, this Texans offense lacks a big play threat and just appears ok. Granted, Arian is back and looked great but without Andre to open defenses up, I expect Oakland to pounce on the run game. Oakland is physical and believes they can beat anyone. Houston is coming off one of their biggest Wins in franchise history. Jason Campbell commands an efficient offense that just hammers the rock with RunDMC and Mike Bush. I look for Campbell to make more plays than Schaub and IMO, the run games will be a wash, so I expect QB play to decide the outcome. Campbells WRs are fast and will make some big plays while Schaub and his WRs struggle to get downfield. Physical Defense will knock around Schaub and getting to the ball carrier in a hurry will bottle up Foster, atleast enough to keep it close. Keeping Foster under 100yds rushing will be good enough for Oakland to Win. (Laying 1.5 Unit)
Denver +4 (Vs San Diego)
San Diego isn't traditionally a good road team but Denver just flat out isn't a good team at all. Denver will play his Division Rival tough, running the ball efficiently and Ortons got a couple play makers at WR with Lloyd and emerging second yr WR Eric Decker. VJax appears to be injured or atleast slowed. Him not playing will be big for us but it won't make or break this play. Not too much info to back this play, but anytime I can get a Homedawg getting Over a FG against a Bad Road Team, I'm certainly gonna take a look. (Laying 1 Unit)
Atlanta +5.5 (Vs Green Bay)
These are two teams headed in completely opposite directions. Its no secret; GB is amazing and looks like they could repeat and Atlanta looks absolutely nothing like the 13-3 team of a year ago. Matty Ice plays much better at Home, which is also no secret but I think we get a classic Marty Ice performance on SNF. Every QB can have a bad game and I just have a weird feeling that ARod, or possibly the GB Offense in general, is gonna play a bit mediocre... I mean they can't play like "gods" every single game right? Matt Ryans got a Big new Weapon in Julio Jones (my fav player drafted thisyr). Julio is big, strong, fast, and can make HUGE plays in the passing game or on end around type plays. I expect Julio to be unleashed in this one, showing his dynamic play making ability and breaking one or more big plays. Atlantas defense will play inspired and make this GB Offense look normal for once this season. (Laying 1.5 Units)
These are my only plays for now but I'm leaning heavily towards Chicago in the Monday Nighter. Detroit is a bit overrated and I look for every bozzo to chase their weeks debts on Detroit. I'm hoping to get this at 6.5+, we shall see...
I'm also leaning towards Jacksonville. Not too much logic here but Cinci is coming off a huge home win Vs the darling Bills and Jax has Gabbert starting his second career game. Jax is at home in this one and I could see them Winning a dog fight here. We shall see...
I will almost certainly add one of these plays, possibly more, and quite possibly other plays that aren't listed.
Recap of Plays:
Phila -2.5 (2u)
KC +2 (1.5u)
Oak +7 (1.5u)
Den +4 (1u)
Atl +5.5 (1.5u)
Goodluck to All!!!
Lastwk we went a mediocre 6-4, but we finished with big wins on SNF n MNF. Looking to build off that momentum...
Week 5 Picks:
Philadelphia -2.5 (@ Buffalo)
The Eagles are coming off an awful home collapse. Buffalo finally suffered their first loss of the season. I'm sure most people expected this to be a 1-3 team vs a 3-1 team, but the teams records were probably reversed. This game isn't actually in Buffalo but rather it's in Canada. Granted, that's pretty close to Buff but make no mistake, Philly fans travel very well! This won't be a 95-5 fan split, probably more 60-40, not exactly an insanely overwhelming homefield advantage for the Bills. Philly needs this Win very badly and I believe their players have stepped up and addressed eachother, basically putting all of their individual talents into a collective mindset. I believe we see a fluid Eagles team, and I believe it's on both sides of the ball. Offensively I see the Eagles scoring early and often, while defensively I see them shutting down Buffalos WRs. I'm slightly worried about FJax, but I think their LBs step up and play fast, ganging up on the Buff run game. I think the Eagles give us a glimpse of what they couldve been... Or maybe will be from here on out. (Laying 2 Units)
KC +2 (@ Indy)
I understand that Curtis Painter definitely looked better behind center than Collins, as I was on Indy, but it's not exactly like Painter was great. 150 of his 280 Yds came on two plays to Pierre Garçon, where Pierres YAC (yards after catch) was probably 130 of that 150. The first was a slightly blown coverage where Garçon made someone miss n the other was basically a WR screen where Pierre followed his blocks well n made ppl miss. Painters throws didn't "make the plays" if you will. He basically just managed the game and allowed his playmakers to make plays. I expect KC to play this game hard and aggressively, as it could be one of their few wins this season. I expect KC to force some TOs and possible take em to the house. Curtis Painter will look more like... Well, Curtis Painter! (Laying 1.5 Units)
Oakland +7 (@ Houston)
It's no secret that Andre Johnson is out, and it's no secret that Andre Johnson is awesome! If Calvins Megatron, then Andres Optimus Prime (color scheme is similar too! Lol). Without Andre, this Texans offense lacks a big play threat and just appears ok. Granted, Arian is back and looked great but without Andre to open defenses up, I expect Oakland to pounce on the run game. Oakland is physical and believes they can beat anyone. Houston is coming off one of their biggest Wins in franchise history. Jason Campbell commands an efficient offense that just hammers the rock with RunDMC and Mike Bush. I look for Campbell to make more plays than Schaub and IMO, the run games will be a wash, so I expect QB play to decide the outcome. Campbells WRs are fast and will make some big plays while Schaub and his WRs struggle to get downfield. Physical Defense will knock around Schaub and getting to the ball carrier in a hurry will bottle up Foster, atleast enough to keep it close. Keeping Foster under 100yds rushing will be good enough for Oakland to Win. (Laying 1.5 Unit)
Denver +4 (Vs San Diego)
San Diego isn't traditionally a good road team but Denver just flat out isn't a good team at all. Denver will play his Division Rival tough, running the ball efficiently and Ortons got a couple play makers at WR with Lloyd and emerging second yr WR Eric Decker. VJax appears to be injured or atleast slowed. Him not playing will be big for us but it won't make or break this play. Not too much info to back this play, but anytime I can get a Homedawg getting Over a FG against a Bad Road Team, I'm certainly gonna take a look. (Laying 1 Unit)
Atlanta +5.5 (Vs Green Bay)
These are two teams headed in completely opposite directions. Its no secret; GB is amazing and looks like they could repeat and Atlanta looks absolutely nothing like the 13-3 team of a year ago. Matty Ice plays much better at Home, which is also no secret but I think we get a classic Marty Ice performance on SNF. Every QB can have a bad game and I just have a weird feeling that ARod, or possibly the GB Offense in general, is gonna play a bit mediocre... I mean they can't play like "gods" every single game right? Matt Ryans got a Big new Weapon in Julio Jones (my fav player drafted thisyr). Julio is big, strong, fast, and can make HUGE plays in the passing game or on end around type plays. I expect Julio to be unleashed in this one, showing his dynamic play making ability and breaking one or more big plays. Atlantas defense will play inspired and make this GB Offense look normal for once this season. (Laying 1.5 Units)
These are my only plays for now but I'm leaning heavily towards Chicago in the Monday Nighter. Detroit is a bit overrated and I look for every bozzo to chase their weeks debts on Detroit. I'm hoping to get this at 6.5+, we shall see...
I'm also leaning towards Jacksonville. Not too much logic here but Cinci is coming off a huge home win Vs the darling Bills and Jax has Gabbert starting his second career game. Jax is at home in this one and I could see them Winning a dog fight here. We shall see...
I will almost certainly add one of these plays, possibly more, and quite possibly other plays that aren't listed.
Recap of Plays:
Phila -2.5 (2u)
KC +2 (1.5u)
Oak +7 (1.5u)
Den +4 (1u)
Atl +5.5 (1.5u)
Goodluck to All!!!
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