*****Week 6, NFL*****

Crashed and burned yesterday in college. Hope I am able to get back on track today with the Pro's. Anyway, gonna be posting picks throughout the day. Feel free to fade away...

Week 6 Sunday, 10/12/2008 1:00 PM

OAKLAND (1 - 3) at NEW ORLEANS (2 - 3)

Since 1992, 46 games went under the total, while 22 games went over the total.
Edge against the total=Under

Play Under - Any team against the total (NEW ORLEANS) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (23-27 PPG).
(214-142 since 1983.) (60.1%, +57.8 units)

Play Under - Home teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (NEW ORLEANS) - after a game where they committed 4 or more turnovers.
(160-104 since 1983.) (60.6%, +45.6 units)

Play Under - Any team against the total (OAKLAND) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (23-27 PPG).
(214-142 since 1983.) (60.1%, +57.8 units)

OAKLAND is 30-16 UNDER (+12.4 Units) when they gain 150 or less net passing yards since 1992.
The average score was OAKLAND 15.8, OPPONENT 19.8

OAKLAND is 22-10 UNDER (+11.0 Units) when they gain 100 to 150 net passing yards since 1992.
The average score was OAKLAND 15.5, OPPONENT 19.1

OAKLAND is 20-7 UNDER (+12.3 Units) when they rush for 125 to 150 yards since 1992.
The average score was OAKLAND 20.0, OPPONENT 19.4

NEW ORLEANS is 39-22 UNDER (+14.8 Units) when their defense allows 150 or less net passing yards since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 19.6, OPPONENT 16.3

NEW ORLEANS is 17-6 UNDER (+10.4 Units) in home games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) since 1992.
The average score was NEW ORLEANS 18.0, OPPONENT 16.4

OAKLAND is 14-4 UNDER (+9.6 Units) in road games off a home loss against a division rival since 1992.
The average score was OAKLAND 15.9, OPPONENT 21.1

Under is 6-0 in Raiders last 6 games in October.

Under is 6-0 in Raiders last 6 games in Week 6.

My opinion in this game is to take:

OAK/NO UNDER 48 (hook)

**Yes, I know about the QB situation for Detroit**

Week 6 Sunday, 10/12/2008 1:00 PM

DETROIT (0 - 4) at MINNESOTA (2 - 3)

Since 1992, the road underdog covered the first half line 30 times, while the home favorite covered the first half line 15 times.
Edge against the first half line=DETROIT

Over the last 3 seasons, the road underdog covered the first half line 8 times, while the home favorite covered the first half line 2 times.
Edge against the first half line=DETROIT

Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (DETROIT) - with a poor rushing defense - allowing 4.5 or more rushing yards/carry, after gaining 75 or less rushing yards last game.
(42-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.4%, +24.4 units. Rating = 2*)

Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (DETROIT) - after being outgained by 75 or more total yards in 3 consecutive games.
(24-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.4%, +16.3 units

MINNESOTA is 3-11 against the 1rst half line (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 10.2, OPPONENT 12.0 - (Rating = 0*)

MINNESOTA is 0-7 against the 1rst half line (-7.7 Units) in home games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 7.9, OPPONENT 17.3

MINNESOTA is 1-11 against the 1rst half line (-11.1 Units) in home games after the first month of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 10.8, OPPONENT 16.6

MINNESOTA is 3-11 against the 1rst half line (-9.1 Units) as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 11.0, OPPONENT 11.9

MINNESOTA is 4-14 against the 1rst half line (-11.4 Units) versus the 1rst half line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 9.6, OPPONENT 12.9

MINNESOTA is 4-14 against the 1rst half line (-11.4 Units) versus the 1rst half line in home games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 9.6, OPPONENT 12.9

MINNESOTA is 3-11 against the 1rst half line (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 10.4, OPPONENT 12.7

MINNESOTA is 6-15 against the 1rst half line (-10.5 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 10.5, OPPONENT 12.5

MINNESOTA is 4-14 against the 1rst half line (-11.4 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 9.6, OPPONENT 12.9

MINNESOTA is 1-8 against the 1rst half line (-7.8 Units) in home games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 10.2, OPPONENT 15.2

MINNESOTA is 2-11 against the 1rst half line (-10.1 Units) in home games after playing their last game on the road over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 11.0, OPPONENT 14.1

Childress is 13-23 against the 1rst half line (-12.3 Units) versus the first half line in all games as the coach of MINNESOTA.
The average score was MINNESOTA 9.8, OPPONENT 11.1

Childress is 13-23 against the 1rst half line (-12.3 Units) versus the first half line in all games as the coach of MINNESOTA.
The average score was MINNESOTA 9.8, OPPONENT 11.1

Childress is 3-11 against the 1rst half line (-9.1 Units) as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line as the coach of MINNESOTA.
The average score was MINNESOTA 11.0, OPPONENT 11.9

Childress is 2-9 against the 1rst half line (-7.9 Units) as a home favorite vs. the 1rst half line as the coach of MINNESOTA.
The average score was MINNESOTA 11.0, OPPONENT 13.4

Childress is 4-14 against the 1rst half line (-11.4 Units) versus the 1rst half line in home games as the coach of MINNESOTA.
The average score was MINNESOTA 9.6, OPPONENT 12.9

Childress is 4-14 against the 1rst half line (-11.4 Units) versus the 1rst half line in home games as the coach of MINNESOTA.
The average score was MINNESOTA 9.6, OPPONENT 12.9

Childress is 9-18 against the 1rst half line (-10.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest as the coach of MINNESOTA.
The average score was MINNESOTA 10.0, OPPONENT 10.6

Childress is 6-15 against the 1rst half line (-10.5 Units) in dome games as the coach of MINNESOTA.
The average score was MINNESOTA 10.5, OPPONENT 12.5

Childress is 4-14 against the 1rst half line (-11.4 Units) in home games in games played on turf as the coach of MINNESOTA.
The average score was MINNESOTA 9.6, OPPONENT 12.9

Childress is 1-8 against the 1rst half line (-7.8 Units) in home games after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game as the coach of MINNESOTA.
The average score was MINNESOTA 10.2, OPPONENT 15.2

Childress is 2-11 against the 1rst half line (-10.1 Units) in home games after playing their last game on the road as the coach of MINNESOTA.
The average score was MINNESOTA 11.0, OPPONENT 14.1

Childress is 3-11 against the 1rst half line (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record as the coach of MINNESOTA.
The average score was MINNESOTA 10.2, OPPONENT 12.0

Childress is 0-7 against the 1rst half line (-7.7 Units) in home games vs. excellent punt coverage teams, allowing <= 7.5 yards per return as the coach of MINNESOTA.
The average score was MINNESOTA 7.9, OPPONENT 17.3

Childress is 1-11 against the 1rst half line (-11.1 Units) in home games after the first month of the season as the coach of MINNESOTA.
The average score was MINNESOTA 10.8, OPPONENT 16.6

My opinion in this game is to take:

DETROIT +7.5 First Half

Week 6 Sunday, 10/12/2008 1:00 PM

MIAMI (2 - 2) at HOUSTON (0 - 4)

Play On - Any team (HOUSTON) - off 4 or more consecutive overs against opponent off 1 or more consecutive unders.
(38-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.5%, +23.7 units)

Play Against - Road teams (MIAMI) - off an upset win as a home underdog, after the first month of the season.
(152-90 since 1983.) (62.8%, +53 units)

MIAMI is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when they allow 6 or more total yards per play over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 17.8, OPPONENT 33.7

HOUSTON is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when they allow 15 to 21 points since 1992.
The average score was HOUSTON 18.8, OPPONENT 18.4

HOUSTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games when they allow 300 to 350 total yards over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was HOUSTON 25.0, OPPONENT 16.3

MIAMI is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) versus poor rushing defenses - allowing >=130 rushing yards/game since 1992.
The average score was MIAMI 19.9, OPPONENT 19.8

MIAMI is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game since 1992.
The average score was MIAMI 18.5, OPPONENT 23.0

MIAMI is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 14.3, OPPONENT 21.8

MIAMI is 12-28 ATS (-18.8 Units) off a upset win as an underdog since 1992.
The average score was MIAMI 16.0, OPPONENT 20.5

MIAMI is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after allowing 75 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 15.0, OPPONENT 24.5

MIAMI is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 18.3, OPPONENT 24.4

HOUSTON is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
The average score was HOUSTON 19.3, OPPONENT 23.1

Texans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.

Dolphins are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 6.

My opinion in this game is to take:

HOUSTON -3

Week 6 Sunday, 10/12/2008 4:05 PM

JACKSONVILLE (2 - 3) at DENVER (4 - 1)

Jacksonville will be looking to win in Denver for the second straight season, while the Broncos will be looking to finish off a home game for its backers for the first time in ’08. Despite being 3-0 thus far at Invesco Field, Denver has yet to beat a Vegas pointspread, failing to cover minor numbers of -1.5, -4.5, and -3.5. For those who have seen Mike Shanahan’s team go just 5-15 ATS in their L20 home games, the results shouldn’t come as a surprise. Still, they find themselves 4-1 after five weeks and in control of the AFC West Division. Jacksonville heads into its open date after this game and is 3-0 SU & ATS in its L3 in that scenario, including the 23-14 ’07 win in Denver. Overall in this head-to-head series, the underdog is on a 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS run.

Over the last 3 seasons, the road underdog has covered the spread 6 times, while the home favorite covered the spread 0 times.
Edge against the spread=JACKSONVILLE

JACKSONVILLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they rush for 150 to 175 yards over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 26.2, OPPONENT 12.5

JACKSONVILLE is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when they rush for 125 or more yards over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 29.8, OPPONENT 15.4

JACKSONVILLE is 47-16 ATS (+29.4 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points since 1992.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 24.9, OPPONENT 20.0

JACKSONVILLE is 35-19 ATS (+14.1 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers since 1992.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 21.5, OPPONENT 19.0

JACKSONVILLE is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) when they gain 6 or more total yards per play since 1992.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 27.2, OPPONENT 20.2

DENVER is 16-38 ATS (-25.8 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points since 1992.
The average score was DENVER 23.7, OPPONENT 25.0

DENVER is 14-35 ATS (-24.5 Units) when they allow 150 or more rushing yards since 1992.
The average score was DENVER 19.4, OPPONENT 25.0

DENVER is 35-64 ATS (-35.4 Units) when both teams score 20 or more points since 1992.
The average score was DENVER 28.2, OPPONENT 27.8

DENVER is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when they allow 6 or more total yards per play over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 22.1, OPPONENT 32.0

DENVER is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 17.9, OPPONENT 26.6

DENVER is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) vs. awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 18.0, OPPONENT 31.8

DENVER is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) vs. excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 15.9, OPPONENT 34.9

DENVER is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 22.3, OPPONENT 25.7

DENVER is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 21.8, OPPONENT 22.2

DENVER is 36-58 ATS (-27.8 Units) after having won 2 out of their last 3 games since 1992.
The average score was DENVER 21.9, OPPONENT 21.1

DENVER is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a home win over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 21.2, OPPONENT 29.2

DENVER is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after a win by 6 or less points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 22.3, OPPONENT 25.8

DENVER is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 20.6, OPPONENT 31.7

DENVER is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 24.8, OPPONENT 28.1

DENVER is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 22.3, OPPONENT 26.1

DENVER is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 22.3, OPPONENT 25.7

DENVER is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 22.5, OPPONENT 20.4

DENVER is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 23.4, OPPONENT 20.3

DENVER is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 22.6, OPPONENT 21.7

DENVER is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 22.6, OPPONENT 21.7

DENVER is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 20.3, OPPONENT 28.2

DENVER is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 16.7, OPPONENT 31.7

DENVER is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 22.1, OPPONENT 28.1

Del Rio is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) as an underdog as the coach of JACKSONVILLE.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 18.4, OPPONENT 20.9

Del Rio is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a road underdog as the coach of JACKSONVILLE.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 18.6, OPPONENT 21.4

Del Rio is 35-24 ATS (+8.6 Units) after the first month of the season as the coach of JACKSONVILLE.
The average score was JACKSONVILLE 22.4, OPPONENT 18.6

Shanahan is 73-86 ATS (-21.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest as the coach of DENVER.
The average score was DENVER 24.4, OPPONENT 20.6

Shanahan is 26-48 ATS (-26.8 Units) after having won 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of DENVER.
The average score was DENVER 22.4, OPPONENT 21.6

Shanahan is 31-43 ATS (-16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record as the coach of DENVER.
The average score was DENVER 25.2, OPPONENT 18.6

Broncos are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in October.

Broncos are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

Broncos are 1-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

My opinion in this game is to take:

JACKSONVILLE +3.5

Week 6 Sunday, 10/12/2008 4:15 PM

PHILADELPHIA (2 - 3) at SAN FRANCISCO (2 - 3)

Since 1992, the road favorite has covered the spread 33 times, while the home underdog covered the spread 15 times.
Edge against the spread=PHILADELPHIA

Play Against - Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - after 1 or more consecutive losses, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%).
(47-20 since 1983.) (70.1%, +25 units)

PHILADELPHIA is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) when they allow 75 to 100 rushing yards since 1992.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 22.0, OPPONENT 16.9

PHILADELPHIA is 35-13 ATS (+20.7 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points since 1992.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 25.0, OPPONENT 17.8

SAN FRANCISCO is 18-40 ATS (-26.0 Units) when they allow 350 to 400 total yards since 1992.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 21.2, OPPONENT 27.1

SAN FRANCISCO is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when they are outgained by their opponents by 100-150 yards since 1992.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 16.6, OPPONENT 30.3

SAN FRANCISCO is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when they're outgained by opponents by 0.5 to 1 yards/play since 1992.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 20.6, OPPONENT 24.4

SAN FRANCISCO is 16-40 ATS (-28.0 Units) when they allow 22 to 28 points since 1992.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 21.3, OPPONENT 25.1

SAN FRANCISCO is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) when their defense allows 250 to 300 net passing yards since 1992.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 23.0, OPPONENT 26.3

SAN FRANCISCO is 20-45 ATS (-29.5 Units) when they allow 100 to 125 rushing yards since 1992.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 20.1, OPPONENT 23.3

SAN FRANCISCO is 17-37 ATS (-23.7 Units) when they rush for 75 to 100 yards since 1992.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 21.1, OPPONENT 25.2

SAN FRANCISCO is 24-44 ATS (-24.4 Units) when they score 15 to 21 points since 1992.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 18.4, OPPONENT 20.9

SAN FRANCISCO is 21-42 ATS (-25.2 Units) when they commit 2 turnovers since 1992.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 20.1, OPPONENT 25.1

PHILADELPHIA is 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) vs. mistake free teams - 42 or less penalty yards per game since 1992.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 22.9, OPPONENT 18.8

SAN FRANCISCO is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) versus good rushing defenses - allowing <=90 rushing yards/game since 1992.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 19.0, OPPONENT 25.4

PHILADELPHIA is 31-16 ATS (+13.4 Units) after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game since 1992.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 22.4, OPPONENT 19.3

PHILADELPHIA is 120-86 ATS (+25.4 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 21.2, OPPONENT 18.2

PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a division game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 26.4, OPPONENT 13.9

PHILADELPHIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a loss against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 27.4, OPPONENT 14.4

PHILADELPHIA is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) after allowing 175 or more rushing yards last game since 1992.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 23.0, OPPONENT 18.4

PHILADELPHIA is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) after being outrushed by 100 or more yards last game since 1992.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 22.6, OPPONENT 17.0

SAN FRANCISCO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 12.4, OPPONENT 24.4

SAN FRANCISCO is 45-66 ATS (-27.6 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 17.7, OPPONENT 27.2

Reid is 34-23 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of PHILADELPHIA.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 24.8, OPPONENT 14.6

Reid is 93-66 ATS (+20.4 Units) in all games as the coach of PHILADELPHIA.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 22.1, OPPONENT 18.1

Reid is 93-66 ATS (+20.4 Units) in all lined games as the coach of PHILADELPHIA.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 22.1, OPPONENT 18.1

Reid is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points as the coach of PHILADELPHIA.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 22.3, OPPONENT 16.3

Reid is 56-41 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points as the coach of PHILADELPHIA.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 21.8, OPPONENT 16.9

Reid is 76-45 ATS (+26.5 Units) against conference opponents as the coach of PHILADELPHIA.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 22.8, OPPONENT 17.1

Reid is 35-24 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest as the coach of PHILADELPHIA.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 20.5, OPPONENT 19.2

Reid is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) off a division game as the coach of PHILADELPHIA.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 21.3, OPPONENT 16.7

Reid is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field as the coach of PHILADELPHIA.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 21.0, OPPONENT 18.2

Reid is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) off 1 or more consecutive unders as the coach of PHILADELPHIA.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 22.6, OPPONENT 19.0

Reid is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games as the coach of PHILADELPHIA.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 19.8, OPPONENT 19.1

Reid is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) off a loss against a division rival as the coach of PHILADELPHIA.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 19.3, OPPONENT 15.6

Reid is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) off a home loss as the coach of PHILADELPHIA.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 21.5, OPPONENT 17.5

Reid is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after allowing 175 or more rushing yards last game as the coach of PHILADELPHIA.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 25.0, OPPONENT 18.2

Reid is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after allowing 200 or more rushing yards last game as the coach of PHILADELPHIA.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 25.5, OPPONENT 17.6

Reid is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) after playing a game at home as the coach of PHILADELPHIA.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 22.3, OPPONENT 19.6

Reid is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses as the coach of PHILADELPHIA.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 20.8, OPPONENT 17.4

Reid is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record as the coach of PHILADELPHIA.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 22.2, OPPONENT 14.7

Reid is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%) as the coach of PHILADELPHIA.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 23.2, OPPONENT 13.4

Reid is 61-46 ATS (+10.4 Units) after the first month of the season as the coach of PHILADELPHIA.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 21.6, OPPONENT 18.5

Eagles are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.

49ers are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

My opinion in this game is to take:

PHILADELPHIA -4.5

Week 6 Sunday, 10/12/2008 4:15 PM

GREEN BAY (2 - 3) at SEATTLE (1 - 3)

Play On - Any team (SEATTLE) - with a terrible defense - allowing 360 or more total yards/game, after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game.
(111-70 over the last 10 seasons.) (61.3%, +34 units)

Play On - Any team (SEATTLE) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 28 points in their previous game, after the first month of the season.
(44-15 over the last 10 seasons.) (74.6%, +27.5 units)

Play On - Favorites (SEATTLE) - after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season.
(35-11 over the last 10 seasons.) (76.1%, +22.9 units)

Play On - Home favorites (SEATTLE) - after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season.
(29-8 over the last 10 seasons.) (78.4%, +20.2 units)

Play On - Home teams (SEATTLE) - with a terrible defense - allowing 360 or more total yards/game, after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game.
(70-33 over the last 10 seasons.) (68%, +33.7 units)

Play Against - Any team (GREEN BAY) - with a poor scoring defense - allowing 24 or more points/game, after 2 straight games where 50 total points or more were scored.
(102-56 over the last 10 seasons.) (64.6%, +40.4 units)

Play Against - Underdogs or pick (GREEN BAY) - with a poor scoring defense - allowing 24 or more points/game, after 2 straight games where 50 total points or more were scored.
(53-22 over the last 10 seasons.) (70.7%, +28.8 units)

SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when they gain 300 to 350 total yards over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SEATTLE 28.6, OPPONENT 15.9

Holmgren is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in home games after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was Holmgren 26.2, OPPONENT 16.7

Seahawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

Seahawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.

Seahawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.

Seahawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.

Seahawks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU loss of more than 14 points.

Packers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.

My opinion in this game is to play:

SEATTLE -1

Week 6 Sunday, 10/12/2008 8:15 PM

NEW ENGLAND (3 - 1) at SAN DIEGO (2 - 3)

Play On - Any team (SAN DIEGO) - with a terrible defense - allowing 360 or more total yards/game, after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game.
(111-70 over the last 10 seasons.) (61.3%, +34 units)

Play On - Favorites (SAN DIEGO) - after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record.
(35-11 since 1983.) (76.1%, +22.9 units)

Play On - Home teams (SAN DIEGO) - with a terrible defense - allowing 360 or more total yards/game, after being outgained by opp by 100 or more total yards last game.
(70-33 over the last 10 seasons.) (68%, +33.7 units)

SAN DIEGO is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) when they gain 5.5 to 6 total yards per play since 1992.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 24.3, OPPONENT 19.3

SAN DIEGO is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) when they rush for 125 to 150 yards since 1992.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 25.3, OPPONENT 18.6

SAN DIEGO is 49-21 ATS (+25.9 Units) when they score 22 to 28 points since 1992.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 25.3, OPPONENT 21.0

SAN DIEGO is 47-23 ATS (+21.7 Units) when their defense forces 2 turnovers since 1992.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 23.8, OPPONENT 19.5

SAN DIEGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 29.5, OPPONENT 11.3

SAN DIEGO is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 25.8, OPPONENT 14.6

SAN DIEGO is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 25.7, OPPONENT 19.3

SAN DIEGO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after the first month of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 32.0, OPPONENT 12.7

SAN DIEGO is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 25.7, OPPONENT 19.3

SAN DIEGO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 26.9, OPPONENT 16.5

SAN DIEGO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 28.3, OPPONENT 15.5

SAN DIEGO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 28.3, OPPONENT 15.5

SAN DIEGO is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 31.7, OPPONENT 13.4

SAN DIEGO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 27.8, OPPONENT 19.0

SAN DIEGO is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 25.6, OPPONENT 18.7

SAN DIEGO is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 27.3, OPPONENT 17.3

Turner is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games as the coach of SAN DIEGO.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 25.7, OPPONENT 19.3

Turner is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games as the coach of SAN DIEGO.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 25.7, OPPONENT 19.3

Turner is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) as a favorite as the coach of SAN DIEGO.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 26.9, OPPONENT 16.5

Turner is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games as the coach of SAN DIEGO.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 28.3, OPPONENT 15.5

Turner is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home lined games as the coach of SAN DIEGO.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 28.3, OPPONENT 15.5

Turner is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points as the coach of SAN DIEGO.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 31.7, OPPONENT 13.4

Turner is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points as the coach of SAN DIEGO.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 27.8, OPPONENT 19.0

Turner is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) against conference opponents as the coach of SAN DIEGO.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 25.6, OPPONENT 18.7

Turner is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in games played on a grass field as the coach of SAN DIEGO.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 27.3, OPPONENT 17.3

Turner is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse as the coach of SAN DIEGO.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 29.5, OPPONENT 11.3

Turner is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. as the coach of SAN DIEGO.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 25.8, OPPONENT 14.6

Turner is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after the first month of the season as the coach of SAN DIEGO.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 32.0, OPPONENT 12.7

Patriots are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Patriots are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC.

Patriots are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. win.

Patriots are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Chargers are 4-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 6.

Chargers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Chargers are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.

Chargers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

My opinion in this game is to take:

SAN DIEGO -5

OAK/NO UNDER 48 (hook) WINNER

DETROIT +7.5 First Half WINNER