Posted:
#1
oakland cost me the sweep last week but i will take 4-1 all day everyday !!
onto week 7 and 3 lines that are hard to justify imo
miami +3
this line equates to buffalo laying 10 at home to the dolphins. last week they laid 10.5 to the worst/2nd worst team in the league (49ers). miami would definately not be pick em on a neutral field with san fran. we are getting at least 3pts worth of line value here imo.
kansas city -6
im not sold on kc as a team yet (but giving both teams 4pts for home field) this line makes new orleans -2 if we flip the venues. i would make kc slight favs in that game so once again we are getting at least a field goal worth of value in the line.
philadelphia +3
buy low sell high and right now minnys stock is as high as its been. in their last 2 games both at home they layed 3.5 to the giants and 6 to houston. this line equates to minnesota -9 at home so are we saying the giants are 5.5 pts better than philly and houston is 3 pts better. no of course not !!! the fact of the matter is that minnesota is now overvalued and phillys stock has dropped after 2 defeats. the perfect storm
good luck to all this week
onto week 7 and 3 lines that are hard to justify imo
miami +3
this line equates to buffalo laying 10 at home to the dolphins. last week they laid 10.5 to the worst/2nd worst team in the league (49ers). miami would definately not be pick em on a neutral field with san fran. we are getting at least 3pts worth of line value here imo.
kansas city -6
im not sold on kc as a team yet (but giving both teams 4pts for home field) this line makes new orleans -2 if we flip the venues. i would make kc slight favs in that game so once again we are getting at least a field goal worth of value in the line.
philadelphia +3
buy low sell high and right now minnys stock is as high as its been. in their last 2 games both at home they layed 3.5 to the giants and 6 to houston. this line equates to minnesota -9 at home so are we saying the giants are 5.5 pts better than philly and houston is 3 pts better. no of course not !!! the fact of the matter is that minnesota is now overvalued and phillys stock has dropped after 2 defeats. the perfect storm
good luck to all this week
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