Week 7 Looks Promising

Cleveland +5 - Both tackles are now back for Cleveland and Cincinnati's defense is bad. Cleveland's is respectable. Cleveland will get its offense going this week. Rumor is that Nick Chubb coming back this week. Short week for Cincy on road again playing against a team off of 3 straight road losses. The over might not be a bad play here either. 

Carolina +7.5 - Washington is on a streak of over 3 straight ATS wins including a push last week at Baltimore. They play Chicago at home the week after. Carolina is coming off of 3 straight ATS losses. Flat spot for Washington as an inflated favorite. (Sell high on Washington, buy low on Carolina)

Seattle +2.5 - Seattle off of extended rest now travels to play a team off of 3 straight division games and they have a road game at Tampa Bay on deck. This is a flat spot for Atlanta in a 1 game homestand. Seattle off of 3 straight ATS losses as well. Sell high on Atlanta, buy low on Seattle.

Carolina / Washington under. Rule of 3 in effect. Go opposite of both teams coming in off of 3 straight overs. (Same would have applied if both teams came in off of 3 straight unders. (you play the over in those situations). Strategy has been profitable over the years.

Atlanta / Seattle under. See rule of 3 in effect above. Applies to this game as well.

Miami +3.5 - Indy has covered 4 games ATS in a row and now have a 1 game homestand which is sandwiched in between back to back tightly played tough division road games and they have Houston on the road on deck the following week. Miami has had 2 weeks to prepare for Indy since they are coming off of a bye. I am not saying they win but at least stay within the 3. Indy is banged up and they will probably start Richardson at home this week after Flacco has provided quality back up QB services. Probably no Jonathan Taylor either. Pittman not 100%. Miami is rested. This is a flat spot for Indy.

Underdogs for sure this week after watching road favorites just clean up.

Nope. The dog bettors will get hit again.

@jpot34

 Commanders....

Washington is due for some regression. 

CLE +5 sounds good, but haven’t looked closely at the games yet

Seahawks lead NFL in passing yards/game, but they’ve also lost 3 straight, and are a puny 1-4-1 ATS.    For all their recent talk about running more, maybe this week they’ll actually try to do that, which would favor the Under

At first glance I like the idea of CAR/WAS Under, but then again commandos are tied #2 points scored/game and panthers are dead last in points allowed, so might prefer a play on WAS TT Over

BOL

@jasondemz

Chubb back for the Browns is huge. He is my favorite RB in the NFL. I hesitate because of Watson, not sure of his desire to win. 
Any thoughts on why the Jets are - 1 1/2 @ Pittsburgh??? Does that line seem legit to you? 

Jets is the play here. They lost twice on National TV. 

At San Francisco and Home against Buffalo this year. 

Due for a win under the lights of National TV. Especially on National TV the following week. 

On a more serious note, it is Aaron vs. who is the Steelers QB...lol. 

Jets have a decent defense. Steelers will not be able to pass on NY Jets. They can only run. 

Add in Davante now on the Jets. Easy win. Jets by 10. Steelers will go to Russell after this game. 

@jasondemz

Nice, enjoyed your writeup. 

@jasondemz

 the most biast writeup lol. Jets will lose like they've been the last 20 years! Steelers dont loose to poorly run organizations. 

I am not a Jets fan. (Actually, I am a Broncos fan). Regardless, the Steelers have nobody to throw to outside of Pickens. Gardner will be on Pickens. Advantage Gardner. Jets will stack the box and ask Fields or Wilson to beat them aerially. Not happening this week. The Jets will use Hall more in this game as a pass catching RB in the flats to stifle Pittsburgh pass rush. Jets offensive line can handle Pittsburgh front. Rodgers has too many weapons now. They have Adams on the field with Garrett Wilson, Lazard, and possibly Mike Williams, and Breece Hall. It is too much for the Steelers to handle even with their top 10 defense. The real deciding point is simple. The Steelers will not be able to keep up on offense from a scoring perspective. Rodgers is coming off of 3 straight losses and now you have him as a favorite of less than 3 with a top to bottom better roster than the Steelers. Rare spot that you need to bet. Talent wins out here in this game... even with Tomlin playing as an underdog at home on National TV. (which has been a historically good spot to bet on Pittsburgh). 

@jasondemz

 I agree brother.

Tampa Bay looking like a strong play as well. Ravens have covered 4;straight games. Tampa Bay at home as an underdog of 3.5 with a good run defense. Lamar as a favorite on road above 3 points is not a good spot. Baltimore in a flat spot with a divsion road game at Cleveland on deck. Add to the fact that you are asking him to throw to win the game is also not the best option. Add in that Ravens secondary is not good going against Godwin and Evans and you have a recipe for a Tampa cover. FG game either way. Taking the points. 

@dataholicxx1

 Steelers have multiple guys out on an O-Line that already has problems. Now you put a slow Wilson under center? 

Jets all day 

Good Luck!!