Week 9 :SDQL/ Regression teasers

@jowchoo thank you so much for sharing these. I am having trouble understanding - would you please help understand this? Genuinely curious and want to learn. Thank you again!

Teams that rate to regress(either sides or totals) relative to their ATS record are combined with teaser insurance. It is that simple, when a team

gets out of balance with their ats record, the value is already with a regression and when adding in the insurance from teasers you are +EV.

Anchor teasers are aggressive and produce a lot of plays and are not for many punters.

The guy asked about back to back double digit wins. Use >9 instead of >10.  

[Quote: Originally Posted by Jimmy_Cats]Quote Originally Posted by jowchoo: Actually I found it: p:margin>10 and pp:margin>10 and season>=2021 and n:rest>10 Since 2021 there have only been 4 occurrences with these conditions and the the ATS record is (2-2) You are right Pittsburg fits this querry but your info is faulty according to killersports data base..................gl The guy asked about back to back double digit wins. Use >9 instead of >10.[/Quote  

Right you are should have greater than or equal to................. thx

@jowchoo

 Bol this week

Very interesting. How do you know when a team that is rate to regress relative to their ATS record? I.e. when a team gets out of balance with their ATS record. Do you have a certain criteria for this?

Also when you have the 2 anchor teasers for example this week in week 9 are you using those 2 anchor teasers and then add Green Bay +10.5 in it making it a 3 leg teaser? Then do the same thing except add NYG +10 in the second teaser and so on?

Thank you so much for the reply!

Each anchor teaser is tied to each satellite,there are no (3 team) teasers. About 25 teasers (2 team) for each anchor................................gl

p:line > 9 and pp:line > 9 and FH and week > 5 and 45>total>35 and season>1996

Thx spottie, that convinces me, especially the margin of loss, over a td (7.6 points.)

teaser addition:

NE +9.5...............................................gl with your puck doggies.

@jowchoo

Oh wow this is insane to me lol! Over 25 teasers lmao. I am so intrigued with this.

1) How do you know when a team that is rate to regress relative to their ATS record? I.e. when a team gets out of balance with their ATS record. Do you have a certain criteria for this?

2) How did you decide your anchor teasers?

Appreciate your insight!

teaser additions;

30. BUFF pk

31. NO -1

32. CINC -1.5

33. WASH +3

34. PHIL -1.5

KaBOOM!!!

Both anchors covered and the satellites behaved magnificently (26-5-2)

So, my net is 2X (26-5-2)= (52-10) or +42 to my record

Crazy stuff @jowchoo looking forward to your next post in week 10! Keep up the good work.

Each anchor teaser wins 2 as KC was a double play. So, 2x2= 4

Record after week 9

YTD: 185-115 (61.7%)