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Where SB money is made?

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Posted: #1

Guys please use some common sense and consider the bigger picture. Dont over think this superbowl. Most of the money that the sportsbooks make on superbowl betting is on prop betting . Lot of average Joe's out there who dont even bet during the regular season bet on this game including knuckle heads that live in england who show up wearing a packers cheesehead hat to a Seahawks vs raiders game hosted in Tottenham stadium. Thats an example  of stupidness I have seen at these NFL games from people in England. So the action is usually about even in the superbowl for a worldwide audience. The Patriots will win by 1 point. Tom Brady won his first superbowl with  the rams and this maybe his last against the rams.

 
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Posted: #2
Quote Originally Posted by hillardoh1:

Guys please use some common sense and consider the bigger picture. Dont over think this superbowl. Most of the money that the sportsbooks make on superbowl betting is on prop betting . Lot of average Joe's out there who dont even bet during the regular season bet on this game including knuckle heads that live in england who show up wearing a packers cheesehead hat to a Seahawks vs raiders game hosted in Tottenham stadium. Thats an example  of stupidness I have seen at these NFL games from people in England. So the action is usually about even in the superbowl for a worldwide audience. The Patriots will win by 1 point. Tom Brady won his first superbowl with  the rams and this maybe his last against the rams.

Good Luck!!
STAY HUNGRY MY FRIENDS!!!!!
 
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Posted: #3
Whenever I think you can't get dumber....  you prove me wrong with your next post   
 
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Posted: #4
So many people on Covers are predicting Patriots by 1 or 2 points that I'm now quite sure it's not going to happen. 
 
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Posted: #5
What would I do without you.
 
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Posted: #6

Quote Originally Posted by NinjaNight:

So many people on Covers are predicting Patriots by 1 or 2 points that I'm now quite sure it's not going to happen.

 

Will you believe in collusion in the NFL if it does?

 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by byharleyjames:

 

Will you believe in collusion in the NFL if it does?


No it would take more than just that, one of the computer projections I check regularly actually has NE winning 29-28 lol. These teams are very evenly matched and it really wouldn't be a surprise at all to see anyone win by a very small margin. 

The no call in the Saints game is the only highly suspicious thing on my radar. Things like this are very rare though.
 
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Posted: #8

So you're saying props are suck bets?

 

 
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Posted: #9

*sucker bets

 

If only I could see what I'm typing

 
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Posted: #10
roughly 30% of the Super Bowl handle is on Prop bets  That is from a casino source
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by NinjaNight:

So many people on Covers are predicting Patriots by 1 or 2 points that I'm now quite sure it's not going to happen. 

Why couldn’t this happen? Please explain. I said it early last week this game very well could land on 1 or 2 for the Patriots. Sooooooo many when talking about the spread can’t believe it’s -2.5 Patriots. It kind of invites Patriots money right? So what if the plus money on the Rams ML is moot and the the true play is taking the Rams spread or Patriots ML? Think about it. Didn’t both plus ML bets win in the championship games? You think it happens again in the big one especially when sooooo many loved the Rams all year at their odds to win the Super Bowl? You think the books pay all that out? The ML for the Patriots is where it’s at because not many wanna lay that juice. Could there be a reason for the -150? Thankfully I got in at -130 Pats ML and if this one pushes at the 3 that some books are handing out, no worry for this guy. I will end with this: -2.5 Patriots seems like a huge gift and in this big of game, I wouldn’t be surprised if it didn’t hit. Yet why the -150 ML? I could see the books making a ton with Patriots winning by 1 or 2 making it one of the sharpest plays ever to take that Pats ML or Rams +2.5. I mean how many are picking the Rams to win? Not many
 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by NinjaNight:

So many people on Covers are predicting Patriots by 1 or 2 points that I'm now quite sure it's not going to happen. 

Post 3 in my thread by YOU says you agreed with me that this could be a battle and that it could end with the Pats winning by 1 or 2....yet again, you are flip flopping by saying in here it prolly won’t happen. Tje laughing rolling emoji face follows.....interesting. Are you that easily swayed by some of the clowns on this site? Or is this how you roll? In one thread you pick a side but in another you pick the other side.....Tou do you though. 
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by Achilles1629:


Post 3 in my thread by YOU says you agreed with me that this could be a battle and that it could end with the Pats winning by 1 or 2....yet again, you are flip flopping by saying in here it prolly won’t happen. Tje laughing rolling emoji face follows.....interesting. Are you that easily swayed by some of the clowns on this site? Or is this how you roll? In one thread you pick a side but in another you pick the other side.....Tou do you though. 

No, that's right I thought it was a strong possibility when I said that in your thread but after seeing so many people believing Patriots win by 1 here it's very hard for me to believe it's actually going to happen. I really doubt a bunch of people on covers are going to predict the exact result.

You were one of very few predicting that when I made that comment in your thread. Now there's all kinds of people saying NE by 1. That makes me think something is wrong here.
 
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Posted: #14
And yes opinions are subject to change, it's not like I ever posted my own finalized play. I've said over and over I'm undecided about this game.
 
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Posted: #15

Just like a random hoops game...home 3.5 fav wins by 1 or 2...why would this be collusion? Is that what clown college teaches these donkeys?

Pats ML takes alot of flukiness endings out of the equation.

Victory Belongs to the Most Tenacious
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by NinjaNight:


No, that's right I thought it was a strong possibility when I said that in your thread but after seeing so many people believing Patriots win by 1 here it's very hard for me to believe it's actually going to happen. I really doubt a bunch of people on covers are going to predict the exact result.

You were one of very few predicting that when I made that comment in your thread. Now there's all kinds of people saying NE by 1. That makes me think something is wrong here.

So you ARE influenced by others? Just because a seed was planted and it has bloomed, does that mean it can’t grow into a beautiful flower?! Haaaaaaaaaa!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I could care less how many the Pats win by because at Pats ML -130, I’m not over extended with -2.5 at -120. I’m losing out on 1 unit With 16 units on this game, if they cover. That’s ok because it’s worth me not having to worry about points. Pats win, it’s all good. If they win and cover, am I mad that I could have won an extra unit, not really because it’s gonna be a great nite anyways. For those still trying to figure out which route to go.....the Pats ML may be long gone considering it’s moved a good amount. Do people take the +2.5? I think they could wait until they see +3. I see a few books offering +3 but at -120. Do people take the Rams ML? If so I led prolly jump on it now because I feel there will be Rams money coming in starting tomorrow. This is one of the few years I jumped in early and I’m glad I did. It’s funny how you are skeptical now of the line coming into play. In a few days who knows where you are at aftervresfing the crap on this site. Good luck.
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by NinjaNight:

And yes opinions are subject to change, it's not like I ever posted my own finalized play. I've said over and over I'm undecided about this game.

Heres some advice: do your own research and don’t rely on anyone in here at this time of year to make your pick for you. There are too many clowns on here that will try to persuade you. They’ll copy and paste nonsense, they’ll fudge their records, they’ll look at one side and post trends that cater to their nonsense. Do your own research man. It’s only gonna get worse in here in the next few days. Good luck. 
 
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Posted: #18

Quote Originally Posted by the1toturn2:

roughly 30% of the Super Bowl handle is on Prop bets  That is from a casino source
you dont need a high percentage of the handle on prop bets to tilt the edge in the houses favor. The patriots can still win and the casinos still rake in the cash. 

 
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Posted: #19
This game will go back and forth, and the books will clean up--like they awalys do--with LIVE BETS
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by Achilles1629:


So you ARE influenced by others? Just because a seed was planted and it has bloomed, does that mean it can’t grow into a beautiful flower?! Haaaaaaaaaa!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I could care less how many the Pats win by because at Pats ML -130, I’m not over extended with -2.5 at -120. I’m losing out on 1 unit With 16 units on this game, if they cover. That’s ok because it’s worth me not having to worry about points. Pats win, it’s all good. If they win and cover, am I mad that I could have won an extra unit, not really because it’s gonna be a great nite anyways. For those still trying to figure out which route to go.....the Pats ML may be long gone considering it’s moved a good amount. Do people take the +2.5? I think they could wait until they see +3. I see a few books offering +3 but at -120. Do people take the Rams ML? If so I led prolly jump on it now because I feel there will be Rams money coming in starting tomorrow. This is one of the few years I jumped in early and I’m glad I did. It’s funny how you are skeptical now of the line coming into play. In a few days who knows where you are at aftervresfing the crap on this site. Good luck.

No one convinced me of anything, I see many covers people predicting Patriots by 1 I then become suspicious of it really happening. Has nothing to do with being swayed by anyones opinion. You're going off the deep end with this.

If you believe in Patriots winning by 1 by all means go for it, maybe it will somehow happen
 
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Posted: #21
I believe  that  only 6 of the  52 Super  Bowls  has  the  spread  mattered . Just  something  to  consider .
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by Achilles1629:


Heres some advice: do your own research and don’t rely on anyone in here at this time of year to make your pick for you. There are too many clowns on here that will try to persuade you. They’ll copy and paste nonsense, they’ll fudge their records, they’ll look at one side and post trends that cater to their nonsense. Do your own research man. It’s only gonna get worse in here in the next few days. Good luck. 

Yea I understand, like I said it had nothing to do with anyone persuading me. It's just when I see more than a handful of people all thinking Patriots are going to win by one that looks very strange to me, how are so many people coming to the same conclusion of the exact score? When stuff like that happens I never see it come true
 
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Posted: #23
BUT EVERYONE KNOWS THAT THE HOOKERS WILL NO DOUBT BRING IN THE MOST REVENUE.

THEY WILL WIN BECAUSE THEY HAVE THE MOST DIVERSE AND CREATIVE PLAYBOOK.....
 
 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by zebrakiller:

again i brng up the solid 100% trend of teams  who lost to tampa legit without going bench NEVER won the superbowl

we now have 4 teams who lost to Tampa bay and got to superbowl and LOST

Rams was the only favorite -14 all other 3 were dogs

Rams lost super bowl in 79 to steelers Dolphins vs 49ers blow out win JOE M vs Dan Marino Rams -14 points lost superbowl and the 3 point dog falcons LOST the superbowl







Don't forget, the Saints lost to TB and still made/won the Super Bowl.  You always forget that one.  Just wanted to make sure you remembered since you always forget that one.  They lost to TB in OT while playing their starters the entire game. Don't forget that one because you sound silly saying no one ever lost to TB and still won the SB.  

GL on the game Zebra.  Make sure you don't forget to watch it when you are too busy on the forums regurgitating the same info over and over and over and over again...........
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