Which dog will win Thursday?

3 big spreads on Thursday! But it’s Thanksgiving, all nationally televised. I think at least one dog will win straight up. I’d say the commanders or Seahawks have a good chance to pull the upset. What do you guys think? 

Packers 

@Paal

 Possibly, lions don’t look too good against bears. But I think 1-2 dogs win straight up. I’m thinking of taking the points in every. Cowboys have lost at home in thanksgiving many times the past few years, as favorites. Should be fun to watch. 

None of them.  Two of the dogs are on the road for thanksgiving!  The last dog at home with a hurt QB.  

Their might be a cover but no dog gonna win.

Bad timing or bad scheduling the dogs going into next week are hurt.

They are all divisional games.  Crazy stuff does happen in divisional games.  They may be a cover or two though.

Half the Packers are 1st or 2nd year.  Lions have been the joke of Thanksgiving for almost two decades.  Its an aaron less packers . Plus packers rbs got hurt this week.

They are walking into a hornets nest.

Lions have never won NFC NORTH.  

If its one game they want real bad.  This is that game!

These are not the same old Lions!

@Ppkay

 Good comments. Geno Smith is out for game for sure? If so, then I agree, niners win and cover. The backup was terrible for that last quarter on Sunday. Lol. 

Packers 

Seattle........If they lose this game 49ers win the west

Take all road teams Thursday and Friday. 

1 home team gonna rug pull 

Give me the Commanders for sure to win outright. Dallas undefeated at home, and those games haven't been close all year. Not Thursday, different story.

I also think GB could knock off Detroit. We shall see

RR gets fired after Thursday....

Would have fired him Monday...

EB will take over Friday morning....

Packers. Detroit is good but overvalued. I believe they start coming back down to earth in the closing stretch of the season. Jared Goff is playing well but he has always been turnover prone. Dan Campbell is doing a good job but will his aggressive coaching style come to bite him eventually? I believe it has to.

I play pick them straight up contests on two betting sites. On average, 2-3 big spread dogs win outright win every week in NfL. Big dog spreads of 6+ or higher. I usually pick 1-2 dogs to win outright. I went 13-1 straight up this past weekend, only loss was picking jets to upset the bills. Lol. There are 5 big spread dogs this weekend, I’m betting at least 2 win outright. Should be fun. But I think I’m taking the points in all 5 big spread this weekend. Well, maybe on 3-4 of them. 

My guess is that 2 cover & 1 wins outright. If Geno is healthy & 100%, give Seattle the best chance to win SU at home by 1-4. But that's a big if & 1 good hit on his elbow & he'll be gone.

Lions not losing on Thanksgiving.  For years they have lost on Thanksgiving to Rodgers and the packers when they were shitty. Now tables are turned. 

Great question! I like it. Hopefully some good games!!!:)

None.

Why does a dog HAVE to win?

@JS12

 They don’t have to win. But on average, 2-3 big dogs usually win outright every week. There are always big upsets. All nationally televised games on Thursday, I think at least one dog wins outright. Should be fun to watch. Even if all favorites win. 

L

BOYS destroy his Very weak Skins squad..heck, they lost to G-men at home and Boys absolutely crushed Giants in both games...can easily see what you're predicting Friday 

First time since 2001 all 3 Thanksgiving games favored by 7 or more 

favorites of a TD or more 21 -2 s/u 17-6 ATS

Favorites of 10 or more 8-0 s/u 11-0 ATS

Favorites on the road of 7 or more 9-0 SU 8-1 ATS

Road favs 21-4 s/u 19-6 ats

BUT these stats is excluding 1 team Dallas Cowboys 1-11 ats and Dak is 1-5 ats on Thanksgiving

Green Bay 23% chance of winning.

Washington  17% chance.

Seattle 33% chance.

I like Seattle with the points and have also teased them to +14.5. 

Dont see any of the three winning but Seahawks may give em a game.

gl on your plays

I could see Seattle upsetting San Francisco.  49ers haven't looked quite the same on the road and it's a night game in Seattle.  Detroit is regressing and I lean to GB covering the spread, but I think the Lions pull it out.  Commanders have little chance unless Dallas gives the ball away multiple times.

I think the 3 are good dog plays on spreads. Even the commanders will cover the spread. I have faded Dallas on thanksgiving many times and have won 70%+ the past few years. 

@Lewis1218

 I think there are good dogs that can win outright from time to time, but I just don’t see any of these dogs getting it done. Covering? Yes possibly. But winning, I can’t see it.

MAYBE Seahawks..