Do you have any feel as to the quarterbacks that will carry their teams to Super Bowl. If you do, can you also state what coaches will lead their teams to Super Bowl. Then, let's see where have the matches if we really do. I mean, will we have the same teams that in our opinion will be lead by their QB and the coach to Super Bowl?
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Do you have any feel as to the quarterbacks that will carry their teams to Super Bowl. If you do, can you also state what coaches will lead their teams to Super Bowl. Then, let's see where have the matches if we really do. I mean, will we have the same teams that in our opinion will be lead by their QB and the coach to Super Bowl?
I say Josh Allen and Aron Rodgers will be the quarterbacks in Super Bowl, but, then I have two coaches who have the best chances to get to Super Bowl and they are Sean McVay and Mike Tomlin.
So, the simulations I ran on my system show 4 teams and I want to narrow it down to 2. Since the QB wise those are the Bills and the Packers two Super Bowl teams and coaches wise those are the Rams and the Steelers.
I know it sounds crazy. Especially McVay and Tomlin, but, the simulation based on 10 seasons back with 363 categories of variable stats - punch the result clearly.
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I say Josh Allen and Aron Rodgers will be the quarterbacks in Super Bowl, but, then I have two coaches who have the best chances to get to Super Bowl and they are Sean McVay and Mike Tomlin.
So, the simulations I ran on my system show 4 teams and I want to narrow it down to 2. Since the QB wise those are the Bills and the Packers two Super Bowl teams and coaches wise those are the Rams and the Steelers.
I know it sounds crazy. Especially McVay and Tomlin, but, the simulation based on 10 seasons back with 363 categories of variable stats - punch the result clearly.
I can see Allen and Rodgers, but NO WAY Tomlin gets there....
I know that doesn't make sense. But, please go back a decade and tell me if the Super Bowl quarterback/coach pairs were the ones you'd predict at the beginning of the season except Brady/Belichik and Wilson/Carrol?
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Quote Originally Posted by LogCottage:
I can see Allen and Rodgers, but NO WAY Tomlin gets there....
I know that doesn't make sense. But, please go back a decade and tell me if the Super Bowl quarterback/coach pairs were the ones you'd predict at the beginning of the season except Brady/Belichik and Wilson/Carrol?
I say Josh Allen and Aron Rodgers will be the quarterbacks in Super Bowl, but, then I have two coaches who have the best chances to get to Super Bowl and they are Sean McVay and Mike Tomlin. So, the simulations I ran on my system show 4 teams and I want to narrow it down to 2.
Grunger1972...
So your hunch/gut says 2 QBs but 2 other HCs? Doesn't the HC more or less have to be dragged along with the QB's team? If you got Rodgers and Allen, then what more do you want? I thought you could only run sims on teams with stats and data? You said your computer did sims and came up with 4 teams. So run the sims on GBvsLAR and on BUFvsPIT? But Tomlin and McVay aren't on the field like Josh Allen and Aaron Rodgers. Not sure what you're trying to do...do.
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Quote Originally Posted by Grunger1972:
I say Josh Allen and Aron Rodgers will be the quarterbacks in Super Bowl, but, then I have two coaches who have the best chances to get to Super Bowl and they are Sean McVay and Mike Tomlin. So, the simulations I ran on my system show 4 teams and I want to narrow it down to 2.
Grunger1972...
So your hunch/gut says 2 QBs but 2 other HCs? Doesn't the HC more or less have to be dragged along with the QB's team? If you got Rodgers and Allen, then what more do you want? I thought you could only run sims on teams with stats and data? You said your computer did sims and came up with 4 teams. So run the sims on GBvsLAR and on BUFvsPIT? But Tomlin and McVay aren't on the field like Josh Allen and Aaron Rodgers. Not sure what you're trying to do...do.
Quote Originally Posted by Grunger1972: I say Josh Allen and Aron Rodgers will be the quarterbacks in Super Bowl, but, then I have two coaches who have the best chances to get to Super Bowl and they are Sean McVay and Mike Tomlin. So, the simulations I ran on my system show 4 teams and I want to narrow it down to 2. Grunger1972... So your hunch/gut says 2 QBs but 2 other HCs? Doesn't the HC more or less have to be dragged along with the QB's team? If you got Rodgers and Allen, then what more do you want? I thought you could only run sims on teams with stats and data? You said your computer did sims and came up with 4 teams. So run the sims on GBvsLAR and on BUFvsPIT? But Tomlin and McVay aren't on the field like Josh Allen and Aaron Rodgers. Not sure what you're trying to do...do.
Each quarterback and each coach are evaluated separately with sample sizes available up to 10 seasons. Parameters are 363 single strings of categories independent of each other. For an example: Andy Reid is not evaluated based only on his record with the Chiefs but throughout the whole decade. and, once I said that, I also might add that you have to consider the attributed data on other teams and their players performances also over the 10 year sample size max. The data output I received are the 4 names you see under my choices. That is a machine choices. Now I ask for your human choices while I understand that the pairings will be from the same team. But, that doesn't matter as the machine choices will only act as the "fabric softener" and not as a "detergent".
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Quote Originally Posted by DB51daBEARS:
Quote Originally Posted by Grunger1972: I say Josh Allen and Aron Rodgers will be the quarterbacks in Super Bowl, but, then I have two coaches who have the best chances to get to Super Bowl and they are Sean McVay and Mike Tomlin. So, the simulations I ran on my system show 4 teams and I want to narrow it down to 2. Grunger1972... So your hunch/gut says 2 QBs but 2 other HCs? Doesn't the HC more or less have to be dragged along with the QB's team? If you got Rodgers and Allen, then what more do you want? I thought you could only run sims on teams with stats and data? You said your computer did sims and came up with 4 teams. So run the sims on GBvsLAR and on BUFvsPIT? But Tomlin and McVay aren't on the field like Josh Allen and Aaron Rodgers. Not sure what you're trying to do...do.
Each quarterback and each coach are evaluated separately with sample sizes available up to 10 seasons. Parameters are 363 single strings of categories independent of each other. For an example: Andy Reid is not evaluated based only on his record with the Chiefs but throughout the whole decade. and, once I said that, I also might add that you have to consider the attributed data on other teams and their players performances also over the 10 year sample size max. The data output I received are the 4 names you see under my choices. That is a machine choices. Now I ask for your human choices while I understand that the pairings will be from the same team. But, that doesn't matter as the machine choices will only act as the "fabric softener" and not as a "detergent".
Is taking Allen and Jackson just a way of not taking the obvious choice in the AFC? I guess the choices create a keen discussion but until Mahomes loses another game, he has to be the AFC selection in the Super Bowl. The Chiefs play the remainder of their games at home (not that there will be a distinct advantage with no fans) and the team is on a 22-1 roll in their last 23 games. Barring an injury to a key component, Mahomes is simply too mobile and accurate, with too many game-breaking weapons, to be ousted. In the NFC, the Packers are 11-3 but the only team they've beaten with a winning record is the Saints, way back in week three. I think New Orleans is the better team, with a better defense, between the two to represent the NFC. Packers enjoyed a soft schedule. Just my two cents fellows.
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Is taking Allen and Jackson just a way of not taking the obvious choice in the AFC? I guess the choices create a keen discussion but until Mahomes loses another game, he has to be the AFC selection in the Super Bowl. The Chiefs play the remainder of their games at home (not that there will be a distinct advantage with no fans) and the team is on a 22-1 roll in their last 23 games. Barring an injury to a key component, Mahomes is simply too mobile and accurate, with too many game-breaking weapons, to be ousted. In the NFC, the Packers are 11-3 but the only team they've beaten with a winning record is the Saints, way back in week three. I think New Orleans is the better team, with a better defense, between the two to represent the NFC. Packers enjoyed a soft schedule. Just my two cents fellows.
By no means is the NFC a lot weaker than the AFC, the AFC is just top-heavy........they have two of the best teams overall but also the four worst teams overall.
Obviously KC with Mahomes can win it (again), & Buffalo (Allen) is for real. Other than those two, the rest look like also-rans (Pitt is coming back to earth).
NFC is tougher. GB, Seattle, Rams, NO, maybe even TB now, all have a legit shot as all but the Rams have HOF qb's.
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By no means is the NFC a lot weaker than the AFC, the AFC is just top-heavy........they have two of the best teams overall but also the four worst teams overall.
Obviously KC with Mahomes can win it (again), & Buffalo (Allen) is for real. Other than those two, the rest look like also-rans (Pitt is coming back to earth).
NFC is tougher. GB, Seattle, Rams, NO, maybe even TB now, all have a legit shot as all but the Rams have HOF qb's.
The last time the same team won the Super Bowl a year after a year was Super Bowl XXXVIII Feb. 1, 2004 Reliant Stadium (Houston) New England 32, Carolina 29 and Super Bowl XXXIX Feb. 6, 2005 Alltel Stadium (Jacksonville, Fla.) New England 24, Philadelphia 21. So, do not expect the machine to have feelings towards Mahomes and his performance or Reid for that matter. The axiom is that the Chiefs won't win Super Bowl this year. Will they win AFC? Well, the history shows that they may very well win AFC just to reach Super Bowl and drop it . Seattle and New England are the examples.
The beauty of it is making sense out of what machine output is rather than forcing the machine our premonitions or prerogatives.
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@Charo757
The last time the same team won the Super Bowl a year after a year was Super Bowl XXXVIII Feb. 1, 2004 Reliant Stadium (Houston) New England 32, Carolina 29 and Super Bowl XXXIX Feb. 6, 2005 Alltel Stadium (Jacksonville, Fla.) New England 24, Philadelphia 21. So, do not expect the machine to have feelings towards Mahomes and his performance or Reid for that matter. The axiom is that the Chiefs won't win Super Bowl this year. Will they win AFC? Well, the history shows that they may very well win AFC just to reach Super Bowl and drop it . Seattle and New England are the examples.
The beauty of it is making sense out of what machine output is rather than forcing the machine our premonitions or prerogatives.
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