Who thinks GB@Dallas is turing into a no-play?

First let's talk about the point spread being at +7 !

Everyone knows GB has Woodson and KGB on the watch list for tonight's game. Thus making bettor's believe that a healthy Dallas can just walk all over them. I believe that this game is going to be very close, but if Romo and TO get on fire they won't be stopped. I really like  GB getting the point's, but it just seems like a trap. Also at the same time if Dallas is so healthy why not just take them. Maybe because I fear a game like Buffalo earlier this year. This game will come down to whatever team can put more pressure on the QB's. This game could also be a break-out game for Favre. I just think both ends of the spectrum are just to tough to call here. Might be a 2nd half play and feel the teams out first.

2nd the  O/U. 51.5

This game could either bring out the best in both teams Defense or the worst in both. I can see this game being a shoot-out, but at the same time I can see both defenses stepping up strong and making this a low scoring game.

I have heard arguments from both sides and still can not figure out which bet to lay down on tonight. I am going back and forth. My first instinct was to take the points and the over. My second was take Dallas and the under. I am just not sure which way to shoot the bullet. Much help needed here. Should I just go with my gut and take GB and the over like Vegas wants or go against my gut and take Dallas and the under.

Well.... do you like my gut instinct or Dallas and the under ?

A breakout game for Favre????? What is he breaking out from???? He doesn't need a breakout game, he is a HOF'er.

By breaking out I meant throwing a lot of touchdowns and just overall playing a great game. Or will he put that sad puppy dog face on tonight.

Thanks Fanatic. Fuck it I am going with Gb and getting the points. This has been my gut feeling from the start , so I am going to go with it. Needed something like your post to make me pull the trigger. This game has been giving me a headache. Any thoughts on the O/U ?

Thanks Bet2Win. Let's hope Favre shows us his magic passing abilities tonight.

any thoughts on the O/U?

Cowboys Pass D is underrated.  This will be the 1st game all year the have their full D healthy.  Greg Ellis missed the beginning of the season, and his impact on the pass rush is huge.  The Cowboys will have Anthony Henry back starting this week.  Also, since the Cowboys are usually up, teams tend to pass more often.  So it makes sense that the Cowboys pass D isn't rated very high.

You claim the Packers defense is underrated?  Why?  Because they haven't faced a decent offense all year?  Tell me a good offense that they slowed down.

I'm not saying the Cowboys will definitely win or cover, but to me the Packers are slightly overrated.  I little too much Brett Favre worshiping going on right now.  I will probably lay off the game until HT hoping the game is fairly close so I can hammer Dallas at halftime.

No such thing as a "no play" to a compulsive gambler.

OVer is the play

Dude me saying "No Play" is just a way of saying who the hell am I going to pick. This is the one of the biggest games of the year to bet on in the NFL. I just signed on a new bookie for this game lol.

No play to me = headache not knowing who to pick.

Have bounced back off my GB pick again. I am liking Dallas for some reason now lol. When will this shit end. I probably won't pick a team till 5 min. before kick-off. I want to see the players come out the tunnel and then I will determine who I want.

GL to everyone

pretty funny. Man I would rather go to prison !

I love all the statistics. Guess what they all mean? NOTHING. THEY MEAN NOTHING SO SHUT UP. Dallas is #21 in defense. Great. Why do you think that is? When they score so much, it gives the teams they play against more scoring opportunities. Lets see, they also played against New England and got slapped up a bit. If that game was against a weaker team that alone might give them a better defensive rating around #15 or #11 or so. All these stats are nothing more than evidence of the past. If you try and use them as predictors of the future you will come out with expected outcomes within 3 points of the spread every matchup. yet we KNOW most games end up 5+ points from the actual spread.

Stop thinking about this game in terms of stats. If anything the NFL stats, out of all sporting stats, should be taken very lightly. Any one given day can change stats for a team drastically. They only play a handful of games in a season. Not 82 or 115 or whatever....They play under 20 games. WAKE up people. You can't use stats in these situations.
Think of all the assumptions you are making: Stats throughout the year are all equal (if a team gives up a bunch of running yards early in the year and very few as the year progresses, and the average is still pretty high, they are considered a weak run defense) You are assuming that if team A does something well against team B, and Team B does the same thing poorly against team C, you can predict how team A will do vs. team C. This is laughable.

The bottom line is most of you so called cappers are nothing more than zealous statistical analyzers. good luck though.